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The Big Shift in Where, How and With Whom We Will Be Working
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Target group: DISCOVER The Future 2012 event attendees
DISCOVER | The Future of Work
Summary:
The Big Shift In Where, How and With Whom We Will Be Working
The journey so far: how we learned to leverage technology to increase our productivity and created wealth & happiness
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Technology driven innovations led to:
§ Increased productivity
§ Tremendous growth in GDP
§ Many new products & services
§ Higher life expectancy
And in terms of Gross National Happiness (GNH)
§ Wellbeing and happiness
Change Can be anticipated and planned for (linear thinking)
Competition Is the game we are in Highly uncertain
Organisations Focus on shareholders and other stakeholders
Social responsibility
Leaders Focus on the why and what
Managers Focus on the how and when
Professionals Use talents to specialize
Unskilled Workers
Unit of cost that should be made redundant if possible
The existing economic and management paradigm: from early Taylorism to advanced MBA Thinking (1985 – 2010’s)
How we learned to connect our brain with the outside world:
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Core belief : only organisations have the
knowledge and capital resources to create
wealth efficiently
What is a paradigm?
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Paradigm The accepted theories, values and scienti!c practices within which a particular !eld of science operates
Thomas Kuhn The Structure of Scienti!c Revolutions
What did we accomplish with all our hard work?: our relative to the USA labour productivity from 1970 – 2000’s
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Early signs of the end of an era? The true story about what happened after 9/11 ….
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Oversized !nancial sector ¡
Over-engineered products & services ¡
Borrowed and virtual growth ¡
Results of the prevailing economic paradigm
What did we accomplish with all our hard work in the last 10 years? A lost decade (already) ….. ?!
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A look into our and your future: the power of a strong demographic trend
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UN High
UN Medium
UN Low
Will lead to:
§ A growing population (avg. est. 9bn. in 2045)
§ An aging population
Big challenges ahead of us! ¡
§ Rising prices of energy and commodities
§ Social friction and unrest
The big shift: a global brain and new social consciousness is gaining traction and becoming increasingly more powerful!
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Core Belief : only organisations have the
knowledge and capital resources to create
wealth efficiently Governments Organisations
First question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want to create and what kind of life do you want to construct?
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Default Future within the existing
paradigm?
Crafted Future by building a new paradigm?
Second question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you want to be part of?
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Fragmentation and isolation?
Connecting and co-creation?
Third question to ask yourself: what kind of world do you value?
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Social Exclusion?
Social Engagement?
The !rst shift for building a new paradigm: what kind of skills do you need?
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SPECIALISATION: Single talent? Generalist?
Multiple talents? SUPER-SPECIALISITION
The second shift for building a new paradigm: compete or collaborate?
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COMPETE WITH OTHERS? 0 | 0
0 – 0 COLLABORATE WITH OTHERS?
The third shift for building a new paradigm: happiness from money or from meaning?
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Work – Money – Consume – Happy €
∞ Work – Meaning – Happy – Money
The existing economic and management paradigm: how do paradigms die?
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Paradigm shifts A new scienti!c truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die.
Max Planck
The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die?
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Paradigm shift 1. The existing paradigm encounters an anomaly
2. Initially the anomaly is ignored or rejected
3. People try to explain the anomaly within the existing paradigm
4. A new paradigm is proposed in which the anomaly is resolved
5. The establishment rejects the new model, often ridicules its proponents
6. The new paradigm !nally gains acceptance as it accounts for new observations
The existing management paradigm: how do paradigms die?
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Paradigm shift Every truth passes through three stages before it is recognized: 1. First it is ridiculed 2. Second it is opposed 3. Third, it is regard as self-evident
Arthur Schöpenhauer