Upload
frost-sullivan
View
4.286
Download
7
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
An analyst briefing about the road ahead for the biosimilars market in Europe.
Citation preview
Biosimilars in Europe: The Road AheadBiosimilars in Europe: The Road Ahead
K. Srinivas Sashidhar, Research Analyst
HealthcareHealthcare
6th March 2012
© 2012 Frost & Sullivan. All rights reserved. This document contains highly confidential information and is the sole property of Frost & Sullivan. No part of it may be circulated, quoted, copied or otherwise reproduced without the written approval of Frost & Sullivan.
Today’s Presenter
Functional Expertise•Experience in Healthcare and Biotechnology domain - R&D
Industry Expertise•Experience in Healthcare industry •Experience in the clinical diagnostics segment
What I bring to the Team•Strong Technical background and expertise•Effective communication and Presentation skills
Career Highlights
2
•Currently working as Research Analyst for Life sciences Division at Frost & Sullivan (Feb 2011 – Present)•Worked as Associate Genetic Research Analyst at Histogenetics India Private Limited (2 Years)
Projects Completed•European Diabetes Therapeutics Market (Published September 2011)•Analysis of European Biosimilars Market (Published December 2011)
Presently Working•Western European In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD) Market•European Diabetes Diagnostics Market
K. Srinivas SashidharResearch AnalystLifesciencesHealthcare Europe
Frost & SullivanChennai
Focus PointsFocus PointsFocus PointsFocus Points
Sneak Peek – Current scenario and how far would it go?
Biosimilars Overview and Key Segments
Key Drivers, Restraints and Challenges
Focus Points
3
Focus PointsFocus PointsFocus PointsFocus Points
Key market participants involved and where do they stand?
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Regional Focus and factors influencing the biosimilars market
Key Strategies and Conclusions
Market Overview
Biosimilars: Legally approved subsequent versions of innovator biopharmaceutical products following patent and exclusivity expiry.
Huge Opportunities from patent expiries. More than $100 billion worth biologics due to expire in the next decade.
Early stages—very limited experience in the biosimilar market. High initial investment is still a major barrier for new entrants.
4
Existing Biosimilars
Erythropoietin
Human Growth Hormone
Granulocyte Colony Stimulating Factors
Monoclonal Antibodies
Interferons
Insulins
Emerging Biosimilars
Biosimilars Market: Market Segmentation (Europe), 2010
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
European Biosimilars Market—Comparative Analysis:Generics, Biosimilars and Biologics
Moderate (50−75%)Low (~30%)
BiosimilarsGenerics Biologics
Probability of successProbability of success
TimeTime
CostCost
PricingPricing
Short (3−4 Yrs) Long (8−12)
Low (~$5 million)High
($350−800 million)
Commodity pricing Premium (full pricing)
High (~90%)
Moderate (7−8 Yrs)
$100−200 million
Lower pricing value
Moderate
Pro
du
ct
Dev
elo
pm
en
t
5
Source: Hospira Education Forum and Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Mark
eti
ng
Oth
er
Dyn
am
ics
Marketing investmentMarketing investment
Point of differentiationPoint of differentiation
Barriers to entryBarriers to entry
Product operational profit margins
Product operational profit margins
Decision makersDecision makers
CompetitorsCompetitors
Low High
Group purchasing / Medical professional
OrganisationsPrescribers, patients
High, Less differentiated
Few, well differentiated
Price, breadth of portfolio
Product profile, marketing
Low (Cost efficiency)
High (development process)
Low (~20%) High (~40%)
Payers, prescribers
Moderate
Few, Partially differentiated
Price, Product profile & technology
High (capital and development)
Mixed (25−30%)
Key Industry Challenges
Interchangeability and biosimilar substitution is a contentious issue
Complex manufacturing process is a major challenge for manufacturers
Biosimilars Market: Key Industry Challenges (Europe), 2011−−−−2017
6
Industry Challenges
Industry Challenges
High manufacturing cost poses a major barrier for market entrants
Scaling up of production to meet market demands will be a challenge with increase in demand
Complex regulatory approval process is a challenge for product entry into market
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis
Key Market Drivers
Emergence of new market participants
in Europe drives market expansion
Reduction in
Biosimilars Market: Key Market Drivers (Europe), 2011−−−−2017
7
Reduction in medical
expenditure drives demand for
biosimilar drugs
More patent expiries lead to increase in market opportunity
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Key Market Restraints
Lack of access to process information may effect product
quality
Uncertainty and reluctance of
physicians to adopt biosimilars may have a negative
impact on biosimilar sales
Biosimilars Market: Key Market Restraints (Europe), 2011−−−−2017
8
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Time-consuming approval process may lead to slow
market growth
Key Stake Holders
Biosimilar MarketBiosimilar Market
Biosimilars Market: Key Stake Holders (Europe), 2010
9
Hospitals/ PharmacistsHospitals/
PharmacistsPatientsPatients RegulatorsRegulators
Health MinistryHealth Ministry
Pricing Authorities
Pricing Authorities
ProductionCompaniesProductionCompanies
Wholesalers&
Pharmacists
Wholesalers&
Pharmacists
DemandDemandRegulatory
PathwayRegulatory
PathwaySupplySupply
HospitalPharmacies
HospitalPharmacies
DoctorsDoctors
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Product Profiling—Biosimilars in Europe
Product Common Name (INN) CompanyReference Product Date of Approval
Omnitrope Somatropin Sandoz Genotropin April 12, 2006
Valtropin Somatropin Biopartners Humatrope April 24, 2006
Binocrit Epoetin Alfa Sandoz Eprex August 28, 2007
Epoetin Alfa Hexal Epoetin Alfa Hexal Eprex August 28, 2007
Abseamed Epoetin Alfa Medice Eprex August 28, 2007
Retacrit Epoetin Zeta Hospira Eprex December 18, 2007
Silapo Epoetin Zeta STADA Eprex December 18, 2007
Biosimilars Market: Approved Biosimilars (Europe), 2011
10
Silapo Epoetin Zeta STADA Eprex December 18, 2007
Biograstim Filgrastim CT Arzneimittel GmbH Neupogen September 15, 2008
Filgrastim Ratiopharm Filgrastim Ratiopharm GmbH Neupogen September 15, 2008
Ratiograstim Filgrastim Ratiopharm GmbH Neupogen September 15, 2008
Tevagrastim Filgrastim Teva Generics GmbH Neupogen September 15, 2008
Zarzio Filgrastim Sandoz Neupogen February 6, 2009
Filgrastim Hexal Filgrastim Hexal Neupogen February 6, 2009
Nivestim Filgrastim Hospira Neupogen June 8, 2010
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis & EMEA.
Note: According to EMEA’s latest information, Filgrastim Ratiopharm was withdrawn on 20 April 2011. Thismedicinal product is no longer available in Europe.
Market Share Analysis—Segment Breakdown Europe
Human Growth Hormone
20%
Biosimilars Market: Market Share percent by segment (Europe), 2010
The European biosimilars market is valued at approximately $172.0 million in 2010. The market is expected toreach approximately $3,987.0 million in 2017, at a CAGR of 56.7 percent from 2010 to 2017. The biosimilarmarket was divided among the following segments as shown below.
11
Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2010. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Erythropoeitin60%Granulocyte Colony
Stimulating factor20%
Competitive Landscape Analysis (continued)
Market Segment
Erythropoietin
Total Market
1111 2222 3333 4444 5555
Teva Hospira MediceSTADASandoz
Biosimilars Market: Key Market Players - Rank/Market Share (Europe), 2011
6666
CT Arzneimittel
12
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Erythropoietin
Granulocyte Colony Stimulating Factor
Human Growth Hormone
Hospira MediceSTADASandoz
TevaCT
Arzneimittel
Sandoz
Sandoz
Competitive Landscape Analysis (continued)S
ale
s a
nd
Mark
eti
ng
S
tren
gth
Hig
h Generics and Specialty Pharma
Big Pharma
Sandoz
Teva
HospiraStada
MediceCT
Celltrion
Mylan
Merck
Eli Lilly
Pfizer
Astrazeneca
Key Takeaway: Companies with a strong integration of marketing and R&D is likely to succeed
13
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Sale
s a
nd
Mark
eti
ng
S
tren
gth
Lo
w
Low HighProduct Development Strength
Biotech
Potential Entrants
CT Arzneimittel Biopartners
Zydus Cadila
Actavis
Dr. Reddy’s
Ranbaxy
Biocon
Shantha Biotechnics
(Part of Sanofi Group)
Cangene
Crucell
Reliance Life Sciences
Key Revenue Generating Avenues : Replacement Sale in Western Europe andNew Installations in Eastern Europe
Germany – Largest and High potential marketin Europe; Contributed approx. 53% ofEuropean biosimilars market in 2010.
France – Emphasis on cost-containment and
efforts to encourage biosimilar prescription
UK - Strong generic culture and efforts to
reduce healthcare expenditure
Key Takeaway: Germany is expected to be the most attractive market for biosimilars in the long term owing pro-generic policy environment, and emphasis on cost-containment.
Key Takeaway: Germany is expected to be the most attractive market for biosimilars in the long term owing pro-generic policy environment, and emphasis on cost-containment.
Regional Analysis
Scandinavia
14
`
`
Benelux - Strong generics culture and
demand for low-cost drugs
Spain - High use of branded biologics; Moreincentives required to encourage biosimilarsubscription
Italy - Branded biologics dominate the market;
Medium growth expected
Scandinavia – Transparent system, rational
use of medicines, and efforts to monitor
prescription ratesSource: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
UK
Benelux
France
Germany
Italy
Spain
European Biosimilars Market—Impact Assessment of Top Trends
High demand of drugs due to low cost
Increase in number of biosimilar approvals
Emergence of new protein class segments leading to market expansion
High Growth Impact
MediumGrowthImpact
ProjectedImpact on the
European
Biosimilars Market: Impact Assessment of Top Trends (Europe), 2010
Huge Opportunity from patent expiries
15
Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2010. Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Low Impact
CertaintyLow High
Penetration of Indian companies in Europe in the future leading to increase in competition
leading to market expansion
LowGrowthImpact
European Biosimilars
Market
Biosimilars Market—Key Success Factors
Vision
&
Strategy
Scale-up
Production
Capabilities
• Clearly defined long-term vision commitment and strategic fit.
• Goals for in-house development marketing, and geographic focus.
• Competitive intelligence on biologics and biosimilars market.
• Competitor pipeline analysis competitor’s R&D investment
• Technical know-how for
clinical development
• Regulatory expertise on
guidelines such as EMEA,
FDA and pharmacovigilance
• Stable multi-step reproducible manufacturing facilities
• Proper supply chain management• Standard testing control facilities
16
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Competitive
Knowledge
Capital
Investments
Clinical &
Regulatory
Expertise
Marketing
& Sales
Skills
R&D investment strategy.
• Competitive regional benchmarking.
• Effective sales communication to the scientific community
• Effective market activities for commercialization of biosimilars
• Continuous promotional activities and marketing relationship with doctors, pharmacists etc.
pharmacovigilance
Expertise
Success
• Healthy finance infrastructure for high upfront investments
• Ability to cope with high manufacturing, maintenance, and promotional costs
Biosimilars Market—Manufacturing Strategies
Acquisitions CollaborationsScale-up
• Acquisition of biopharmaceutical
companies, having a biosimilar
• Collaboration with companies
with expertise in biosimilar or
• With past experience in
biotechnology, scale-up of the
17
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
companies, having a biosimilar
pipeline, e.g., Teva’s acquisition
of Barr Pharmaceuticals.
• Acquisition of companies with
large-scale production facilities
like CMOs which also have
experience in biopharmaceutical
production scaling up.
with expertise in biosimilar or
biotech companies and access
to production technologies e.g.
Biocon and Pfizer.
• Collaborations with companies
of emerging markets who are
already manufacturing
biosimilars, e.g., Ranbaxy with
Zenotech Laboratories.
biotechnology, scale-up of the
R&D and manufacturing
capabilities to make a logical
extension to the existing
business, e.g., Sandoz
Biosimilars Market—Commercialisation Strategies
RegulatorySales & Marketing
• Access to expertise in
regulatory approval by • Access to sales and marketing
18
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
regulatory approval by
collaborating with contract
research organisations (CROs)
• Companies will have to
educate, train employees about
regulatory processes, and build
these capabilities in house.
capabilities through
collaborations
• Companies need to build these
capabilities in-house as well
Conclusions
Expected Increase in biosimilar approvals
Low costs of drugs leading to higher demand
Conclusions
19
Uncertainties and risks for biosimilar manufacturers to continue
New protein class segments to emerge in Europe
Conclusions
Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.
Next Steps
Develop Your Visionary and Innovative SkillsGrowth Partnership Service Share your growth thought leadership and ideas or
join our GIL Global Community
20
Join our GIL Community NewsletterKeep abreast of innovative growth opportunities
Your Feedback is Important to Us
Growth Forecasts?
Competitive Structure?
What would you like to see from Frost & Sullivan?
21
Emerging Trends?
Strategic Recommendations?
Other?
Please inform us by “Rating” this presentation.
Follow Frost & Sullivan on Facebook, LinkedIn, SlideShare, and Twitter
http://www.facebook.com/FrostandSullivan
http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506
22
http://twitter.com/frost_sullivan
http://www.linkedin.com/companies/4506
http://www.slideshare.net/FrostandSullivan
For Additional Information
Janique Morvan
Corporate Communications
Healthcare
+ 33 (0) 679 22 4142
Noel Anderson
European Vice President
New Business Development
+44 (0) 207 343 8389
23
Ranjith Gopinathan
Program Manager
Healthcare
((+91) 044-66814240
Siddharth Saha
Research Director
Healthcare
(+44) 207-3438374