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Billion-Dollar Lessons Learning From Others’ Failures— So They Won’t Happen To You Chunka Mui [email protected] BillionDollarLessons.com

Billion-Dollar Lessons

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Recent overview of "Billion Dollar Lessons" plus a description of our process for Independent Devil's Advocate Reviews.

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Page 1: Billion-Dollar Lessons

Billion-Dollar Lessons

Learning From Others’ Failures—

So They Won’t Happen To You

Chunka Mui

[email protected]

Page 2: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | http://www.chunkamui.com

Page 3: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | http://www.chunkamui.com

Page 4: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Outline

1. Three Insights

2. One Recommendation

3. Personal Implications

Page 5: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Insight 1

Strategy Matters

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

46% 54%

FlawedStrategies

Inept Execution or Exogenous Factors

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Insight 2

Seven Failure Patterns, with Predictable Warning Signs

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Seven Failure Patterns

1. Illusions of Synergy

2. Faulty Financial Engineering

3. Deflated Rollups

4. Staying the (Misguided) Course

5. Misjudged Adjacencies

6. Fumbling Technology

7. Consolidation Blues

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Insight 3

Why do bad strategies happen to smart people and good

companies?

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© The New Yorker Collection 1979 Henry Martin from cartoonbank.com. All Rights Reserved.

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Outline

1. Three Insights

2. One Recommendation

3. Personal Implications

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

One Recommendation

Agree to Disagree

Page 13: Billion-Dollar Lessons

Decisions of the kind the executive has to make ... are made well only if based on conflicting views, the dialogue between

different points of view, the choice between different judgments.

– Peter Drucker

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Three Models

Alfred P. Sloan Catholic ChurchAncient Persians

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1. Surface and Test Strategic Assumptions

2. Examine Key Design Questions

3. Last Chance Review of Full Strategy

Independent Devil’s Advocate Review

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Strategy Development

Page 16: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Devil’s Advocate Principles

• Transparent throughout the organization, even to the Board of Directors

• Led by a trusted, independent outsider

• Offers fresh perspectives

• Focuses on facts, not emotion or intuition

• Delivers questions, not answers

Page 17: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Outline

1. Three Insights

2. One Recommendation

3. Personal Implications

Page 18: Billion-Dollar Lessons

© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

What does this mean for you?

• Investors

• Board of Directors

• CEO

• Functional Executives

• Business Unit Leaders

• Line Management

• Front Lines

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© 2008 Chunka Mui | BillionDollarLessons.com

Chunka Mui’s perspectives have been shaped by more than 25 years of research, consulting, management and entrepreneurship. He is the co-author, with Paul Carroll, of Billion-Dollar Lessons: What You Can Learn from the Most Inexcusable Business Failures of the Last 25 Years. A companion article, Seven Ways to Fail Big, appears in the September 2008 issue of the Harvard Business Review. Chunka is also the co-author of the best-selling Unleashing the Killer App: Digital Strategies for Market Dominance (Harvard Business School Press, 1998). The Wall Street Journal recently named the book one of the five best books on business and the Internet.

Chunka is an independent business advisor. He is also a fellow with Diamond Management & Technology Consultants, a global consulting firm headquartered in Chicago. He holds a B.S. in electrical engineering and computer science from MIT. More information can be found at billiondollarlessons.com.

Biography