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Basic Social Math Beyond Statistics — Testing Paradigms Against Empirical Evidence © 2012 By Jared Lee Hanson Presented on 26 June 2012 at the Beijing INFORMS International Meeting

Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

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See the video at http://www.facebook.com/video/video.php?v=448476978503521 Testing Paradigms and Assumptions Against Empirical Evidence Neither normative nor descriptive modeling, as currently constituted, can achieve scientific objectivity. Within the statistical paradigm of quantitative & qualitative research, assumptions, values, & beliefs are not rigorously corresponded to empirical systems. Conversions of meaning to numbers and numbers to meaning rely on social constructions, not empirical evidence. This creates subjectivity in computations. Only the linguistic rigor of basic math can re-establish computational legitimacy.

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Page 1: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

Basic Social MathBasic Social MathBeyond Statistics — Testing Paradigms Against Empirical EvidenceBeyond Statistics — Testing Paradigms Against Empirical Evidence

© 2012 By Jared Lee HansonPresented on 26 June 2012 at the Beijing INFORMS International Meeting

Page 2: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

Losing the Power of

Abstraction

Losing the Power of

Abstraction

Why don’t our calculations generalize across social contexts of operation?

Assumptive vs Theoretic Generalization (Meredith, 1998)

Why don’t our calculations generalize across social contexts of operation?

Assumptive vs Theoretic Generalization (Meredith, 1998)

Page 3: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

• OR/MS Identity Crisis: Bipolar Disorder?• OR/MS Identity Crisis: Bipolar Disorder?

Quantitative vs QualitativeQuantitative vs Qualitative

• The role of the observer in calculating meaning

• Subjectivity from social constructions & cultural bias

• The role of the observer in calculating meaning

• Subjectivity from social constructions & cultural bias

Page 4: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

Problem of LanguageProblem of Language

Page 5: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

How do we re-establish objectivity in our computations?

How do we re-establish objectivity in our computations?

Page 6: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

Problem of ParadigmsProblem of Paradigms

What questions do we ask to do epicycle

calculations?

What questions do we ask to do statistical

calculations?

What questions do we ask to do epicycle

calculations?

What questions do we ask to do statistical

calculations?

• Adding Epicycles & Model Complexity• Adding Epicycles & Model Complexity

Page 7: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

Are We Asking Questions

That Lead to Innovation?

Are We Asking Questions

That Lead to Innovation?

• Do Planets Actually Move Through Space in This Way?

• Do Planets Actually Move Through Space in This Way?

Page 8: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

• Ending the Rigor vs Relevance Debate

(Gulati, 2007)

• Ending the Rigor vs Relevance Debate

(Gulati, 2007)

Establishing Direct

Correspondence to

Empirical Evidence

Establishing Direct

Correspondence to

Empirical Evidence

http://cosmiclog.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/06/06/12090848-your-views-and-videos-of-venus?lite

“Decision making is a fundamental particle of management” (Noonan, 2007)

Page 9: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

“Lack of empirics in the modeling culture is an unaddressed issue”

(Hubbard & Samuelson, 2009)

Anchoring on Empirics

Anchoring on Empirics

http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap120609.html

Achieving New Perspectives of Observation

Achieving New Perspectives of Observation

Page 10: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

• Testing Paradigms Against Empirical Evidence

• Anchoring to Empirical Processes in order to Frame and Navigate Complex Problems

• Testing Paradigms Against Empirical Evidence

• Anchoring to Empirical Processes in order to Frame and Navigate Complex Problems

Basic Social MathBasic Social Math

Page 11: Basic Social Math - Beyond Statistics

ReferencesReferences• Gulati, Ranjay. “Tent Poles, Tribalism, and Boundary Spanning:

The Rigor-Relevance Debate in Management Research.” Academy of Management Journal, v50 (4) 2007: 775-782.

• Hubbard, Douglas, and Douglas A. Samuelson. “Modeling Without Measurements.” ORMS Today, v36 (5) 2009: 26.

• Meredith, Jack. “Building Operations Management Theory Through Case and Field Research.” Journal of Operations Management, v16, 1998: 441-454.

• Noonan, Patrick S. "Designing, Selling a Hybrid Course." ORMS Today, v34 (4) 2007: 10.

• Gulati, Ranjay. “Tent Poles, Tribalism, and Boundary Spanning: The Rigor-Relevance Debate in Management Research.” Academy of Management Journal, v50 (4) 2007: 775-782.

• Hubbard, Douglas, and Douglas A. Samuelson. “Modeling Without Measurements.” ORMS Today, v36 (5) 2009: 26.

• Meredith, Jack. “Building Operations Management Theory Through Case and Field Research.” Journal of Operations Management, v16, 1998: 441-454.

• Noonan, Patrick S. "Designing, Selling a Hybrid Course." ORMS Today, v34 (4) 2007: 10.