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Slides 1
Financial Sector: Q3 FY2013 Results from Japanese Banks
Corporate and Individual Loans
Loans/Deposits: MUFJ & Mizuho
Individual loans (other than housing) would be in the 2.2 Trillion Others section
Unsecured lending and guarantees would be approx. half.
Mizuho has 65.3Tn Yen of loans, hasnt increased overseas lending as rapidly as MUFJ
Banking Slides: MUFJ
Domestic Deposit/Lending Rates
Low Interest Rate environment
MUFJ and other banks make higher margin on individual loans over corporate loans
Domestic/Overseas Lending
Overseas corporate lending is 33% of corporate loans
MUFJ: Growing Overseas lending by 50% to 18Tn JPY
India and Korea are 18% combined
ASEAN presumably is Thailand, Indonesia, and Singapore
Greater China is HK and China which are very different, and percentage of foreign lending is lower in China
Customer business gross profits
From H2 FY09 (3 years), non-Japanese profits ratio just rose from 54.1% to 58.7% but Investment Banking profit doubled, Loan profits up by 50%, Deposit profits up by over 2x
Sumitomo Trust Looks for Higher Returns by Investing in Foreign Assets and Alternative Investments
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings
Government bonds are 50% of available securities
Real estate lending expanding, focusing on individuals and REITS
20% of AUM is due to Nikko Asset management
Custody and Pension business large but assets under management flat
Global Markets and Retail Financial services are #1 and #2 drivers of gross profits, but global markets is #1 in net profits
Asia Expansion in a Quest for Higher Loan Margins Overseas
MUFJ: Holdings of Investment Securities and Asia Strategy
Holdings of investment securities 93% are bonds
60% of total is government bonds
Another 27% is foreign bonds
Asia Strategy (2)
In Asia Developed Markets like HK, Australia, and Singapore, high percentage of foreign lending
India and Korea also stand out for high rate of MNC focused lending
Asia Strategy: Competing with Foreign banks like HSBC
3rd position in China behind HSBC and Citi
2nd behind HSBC In Korea
Retail strategy in Japan focused on private banking, wealth management and mass affluent advisory
Aozora: Recent Change in Ownership
12% of loans are overseas, relatively flat
Reflecting former owners, Cerberus, over 25% were LBO loans
50% of securities in JGBs, with another 30% in foreign bonds, and 15% in other investments
Very different portfolio mix compared to large Japanese banks
Consumer Finance
ACOM has managed to increase market share from 19.0% to 32% in 3 years while unsecured loans have declined 40%
Guarantee business growing
BTMU BANQUIC
Looking at Retail: revolving Credit Balance Increasing, Card Loan products sales increasing almost 8x in 3 years
Yet Retail is only the 4th priority on the basic strategy slide
Consumer Finance
ACOM has managed to increase market share from 19.0% to 32% in 3 years while unsecured loans have declined 40%
Guarantee business growing
BTMU BANQUIC
Looking at Retail: revolving Credit Balance Increasing, Card Loan products sales increasing almost 8x in 3 years
Yet Retail is only the 4th priority on the basic strategy slide
Investment Banking: Sales & Trading
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust & Shinsei
Increased holdings of JGBs while MUFJ lowered there holdings
Overall increase in JPY bonds 20%
Increased holdings of US Treasuries as a hedge?
Reduced cross-shareholdings
Shinsei increasing customers in LAKE consumer finance business, but cannibalizing existing customers, as overall number of consumer finance customers decline
Loosening approval standards?
Sumitomo Mitsui Financial
Overseas deposit balance but likely institutional, not retail
Almost 20% of net income is due to Consumer Finance and Credit Cards
While the same risk evaluation is used to drive the guarantee business
Overseas loan balance growing by over 50% in 3 years
Growth in guarantee business replacing individual guarantees by family or friends, driven by changes in society
Shinsei
Shinsei has a higher net interest marginbecause its investments carry higher risk?
Growth in housing loans, and balance by 20% in overall loan balance
Consumer Finance
Consumer Finance : Competition Increasing and margins decreasing
Approval rates are increasing
New customer growth flat so lending more to existing customers?
But overall loan balance has decreasing in 2 years
Loan guarantee business growing while consumer loans decreasing
Tokyo Star Bank
83% of domestic bond holdings were JGBs, while 16% were corporate bonds
Increased JGB bond holdings by 30% in 3 months to Dec 2012
2.1Tn in loans, of which almost 90% to individuals
Of 1.4Tn of securities, almost 70% in foreign government bonds
Retail Business: MUFJ
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2/11/13