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APM Risk SIG Romsey- 24 th October 2013 Uncertainty or Risk – is there any difference?

APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

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24th October 2013 conference

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Page 1: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

APM Risk SIGRomsey- 24th October 2013

Uncertainty or Risk – is there any difference?

Page 2: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Introduction

APM BoK Definitions

– Uncertainty: A state of incomplete knowledge about a proposition. Usually associated with risk, both threats and opportunities.

– Risk Event: An uncertain event or set of circumstances that should it or they occur would have an effect on the achievement of one of more project objectives.

Page 3: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Agenda

Session Time SpeakerRegistration and refreshments 09:00  Welcome and Introduction 09:30 Edwina Hayward and Derek Wright

Uncertainties” Are Risks 09:45 Martin Hopkinson

Tea/coffee 10.45  Uncertainty – Understanding the impact and the importance of recording assumptions

11:15 Terry Johns

Quantifying uncertainty in an Operational Environment – Risky weather forecasts?

12:15 Chris Tubbs

Lunch and networking 13.15  Performance uncertainty management is a more effective approach than risk management

14.15 Stephen Ward

Tea/coffee 15.15  

Project case study – Uncertainty v Risk 15.45 Derek Wright

Debate and Summary 16:45 Edwina Hayward and Derek WrightEnd 17:15  

Page 4: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Uncertainties are risks

Martin Hopkinson

Page 6: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Uncertainty – Understanding the impact and the importance of recording assumptions

Terry Johns

Page 7: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Quantifying uncertainty in an Operational Environment – Risky

weather forecasts?

Chris Tubbs

Page 9: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Performance uncertainty management is a more effective approach than risk management

Stephen Ward

Page 11: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Performance uncertainty management is a more effective approach than risk management

Derek Wright

Page 12: APM Risk SIG Uncertainty or risk - is there any difference?

Debate / Summary

APM BoK Definitions

– Uncertainty: A state of incomplete knowledge about a proposition. Usually associated with risk, both threats and opportunities.

– Risk Event: An uncertain event or set of circumstances that should it or they occur would have an effect on the achievement of one of more project objectives.