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Presentation given to TIDES Conference in Samoa, February 18th, 2010
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Investing in the Values of the Future
Anna PollockCEO
Desticorp
Roadmap• The Relevance & Power of Values• Why are they changing?• How are they changing? • Impact on Tourism’s Future in the South Pacific• Implications and opportunities
Tourism A History of Changing Values
Celebration & Pilgrimage
The Grand Tour
Escape
Rest & Relaxation-escape & exclusivity
Romance
Retail Therapy
Exploration & Learning
Source: www.johannaost.com
Adventure
The Real Adventure
Abraham Maslow
Meaning
Meaning
Doing Good
Welcome back the “diaspora”
Coming Home
Why are Values so Important?
Spend our time & money
What attracts our attention
who we trust
•Family•Government•Business
•Friends•Peers•People Like Us
what we count•Income – how much we make•Friends – real and virtual •Net worth – sum of assets and liabilities•GDP – sum total of economic activity•Arrivals – people crossing border•Yield – how much they spend•Growth – more•Happiness – how good we feel inside•Footprint – how we impact the earth•HPI – Happy Planet Index
22
…and how we assign value
• INTRINSIC VALUE• What does it cost?• How necessary is it?
• EXTRINSIC VALUE• How much can I charge?• How much will you pay?
• SCARCITY VALUE
23
What do we Value?
24
Liquid ValueIf the Unit of measure =16 fluid ounces, which has the most extrinsic value?
• Bottled water?• Starbucks Coffee?• Gas (petrol) for your car?• Crude oil?• Tap water?• Unit of atmosphere?
25
If the Unit of measure =16 fluid ounces, which one has the most extrinsic value?
• $1.50 Bottled water• $4.00 Starbucks Coffee• $0.52 Gas or petrol at an Exxon gas station• $0.24 Price of crude oil at $80 a barrel• ? Clean Tap water• ? Unit of atmosphere (clean, pollution free air)
Liquid Value
Whose Values Matter in Tourism?
Host Community
Investor
Guest Supplier
How Do We Anticipate Future Values?
This is where the peoples of the South Pacific have a
built in advantage
The Art of Wayfinding
Surface eddies or deeper ocean currents………….28
Trends
Drivers
Paradigms
Organization,Structure
Outcomes
CultureValues
Perception
our unexamined assumptions
To anticipate future values, go deeper
The power of perception
Defeated by what they couldn’t see
Will Tourism Put Wind in Our Sails?
32
Even though the “NICE” times are over
*NICE = Non-inflationary period of constant expansion
So, are we at a punctuation
point in history?
Is this being asked of us?
“We are at that point of time when a four-hundred-year-old age is rattling in its deathbed and another is struggling to be born – with a shifting of culture, science, society and institutions enormously greater and swifter than the world has ever experienced…..”
…….Ahead lies the possibility of regeneration of individuality, liberty, community and ethics such as the world has ever known, and a harmony with nature, with one another, and with the divine intelligence such as the world has always dreamed. .
Trends Organization,Structure
Outcomes
Drivers CultureValues
Paradigms Perception
our unexamined assumptions
How are people in your markets changing their view of the world?
What Assumptions are Changing?
• We’re separate objects• It’s a material world – value lies in things• Only the fittest survive, compete or die• Growth is essential for economic stability• The earth is a lumberyard with resources to be used to
make and sell things• Technology will solve our problems• Tourism is an industry• GDP measures prosperity
We’re Changing Operating Systems
40
The Industrial Model Assumes
• The universe is a machine of parts and objects• The planet is a lumberyard• The industrial model can be applied to tourism• Places and people are resources to be exploited
The industrial model:
• Productizes• Standardizes
• Homogenizes• Commoditizes
The industrial model ignores THE Key Value Driver = SCARCITY3
• Only one place• Only one period of time• Only one experience
The industrial model is inaccurate
There are no straight lines in nature
Nothing in Nature Grows Indefinitely
Death in Venice
Changing Perception of SpaceWe’ve only one home
But is it toxic real estate?
We’ve only one home
Are we living beyond our means?
49
We Need Three to Support Our Current Population & Current
Lifestyles
We haven’t had to pay for our life support services
Economy Depends on Ecology
• The Economy is a wholly owned subsidiary of the environment
• Not just about “greening” but changing our view of ourselves
CONNECTIVITY & COMMUNITY
From separateness to interconnectivity and interdependence
Future value is in the relationships between people
Law of networks
Tourism is NOT an industry but a Community of Connecting Agents
Individuals Wield Enormous Power
Individuals Wield Enormous Power
55
The web is changing tooFrom a channel to a platform for collaboration
ORGANIZATION
56
• Destinations are communities• Self-organizing, complex, adaptive• They are not assembly lines or factories• Leadership is now about capacity building and
facilitation• Collaboration and Cooperation enable innovation
and resilience
Industrial Organizations
What do they need to survive?
• Orders & Order• Commands & Control• Stability• Continuity• Rules• Fear• Withholding Information• Measurement• Incentives• Competition
Ecological Organizations?
•Everyone is a leader•Everyone sensing, respondingand communicating•Transparency•Trust•Reputation•Agile•Adaptable
How Do They Survive?
Re-thinking What We Measure
• Does GDP measure what we value?
• Can we have prosperity without growth?
• Happy Planet Index• Footprint• Life satisfaction• Health• The ecological efficiency with
which happy & healthy lives are supported
CHANGING CONSUMERS
Implications for the South Pacific
Questions for the South Pacific1. Have you made a conscious choice about the kind, scale
and scope of tourism you want to develop?2. Is this choice true to the values of the community? 3. Do you know how to generate the greatest net benefit from
tourism and integrate it with and serve the entire economy?
4. Are you able to apply principles of Scarcity and Stewardship in your own unique way?
5. How will you define and measure success?6. Will your choices withstand the intense scrutiny of all
stakeholders?7. How willing are you to work in new more collaborative
ways and break down the barriers that have traditionally separated tourism from other economic sectors?
Q&A Session
Anna PollockCEO
Desticorp