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9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

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In line with the conference theme, “What Will We Do Now?”,Ellen Dunham-Jones will open the conference with a discussion on how to transform the sprawl of suburbia into a more resilient and more urban future. Ms. Dunham-Jones co-authored the book, “Retrofitting Suburbia”, which catalogs a full range of strategies from full-scale town center redevelopment to transformations of big box sites into churches, call centers, and public libraries to incremental strategies such as improving accessibility, so residents can age in place. Ms. Dunham-Jones is an award-winning architect, professor at the Georgia Institute of Technology and a leading authority on suburban redevelopment. She teaches and researches contemporary architectural urban design studios and theory. Her insights and their potential for application in Florida should be of particular interest as communities come to terms with sprawling development patterns in the face of fewer available resources needed to serve them.

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Page 1: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones
Page 2: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Source unverified

U.S. home prices have lost 33% of their value since mid-2006; 28% are “underwater”; and the term “zombie subdivision” has entered the dictionary in 2010.

Page 3: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

1100 shopping malls: 100+ dead, 200 sick 50,000+ strip malls, 11% vacancy rate

350,000+ big box stores, 300 mil vacant sf

Retail square footage/capita in shopping centers:

U.S.A. 23sf (up from 15 in 1986)Canada 13sfAustralia 11sfSweden 3sf (largest in Europe)

Discretionary shopping as % of GLA: 1971: 25.7% , up to 31.9% in 2010

Page 4: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

1100 shopping malls: 100+ dead, 200 sick 50,000+ strip malls, 11% vacancy rate

350,000+ big box stores, 300 mil vacant sf

Yet, according to the 1000 Friends of Florida website, Florida DCA has approved more than 2500 amendments to Future Land Use Maps. this is close to 1 million new dwelling units and THE EQUIVALENT OF 270 NEW REGIONAL SHOPPING MALLS.

IS THIS SOLVING OR PERPETUATING A PROBLEM?

Page 5: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

On average, urban dwellers in the U.S. have 1/3 the carbon footprint of suburban dwellers.

Interpolation from various studies

imperative :

climate change

Page 6: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

The Joint Chiefs of Staff’s office sees reduced energy consumption as a national security issue.

Col. Puck Myckleby, 2010

Vehicle miles traveled per capita doubled between 1983 and 2007, an increase more than five times population growth, while consuming 30% of all developed land in the U.S.

Reid Ewing, Growing Cooler, 2007

imperative :

dependence on foreign oil

Page 7: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Suburban development patterns have been linked with sedentary lifestyles, dramatic increases in obesity and consequent higher risk factors for cardiovascular disease and diabetes.

One in three American children born in 2000 will develop diabetes and car accidents are the leading cause of death amongst persons 0-24 years old.Centers for Disease Control, Healthy Communities Initiative

imperative :

health

Page 8: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

imperative :

affordability

Average U.S. household spending on transportation is 19% of income. -12% in “walkable urbanism” -25% in “drivable suburbanism” -30% for those in the lower income 1/2 of U.S. households (2004)

Government pays 20-40% more per household to provide road infrastructure for suburban densities

Center for Neighborhood Technology

Page 9: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Housing + Transportation Affordability IndexCenter for Neighborhood Technologies, http://htaindex.cnt.org

Page 10: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Housing + Transportation Affordability IndexCenter for Neighborhood Technologies, http://htaindex.cnt.org

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• 75-85% of new households through 2025 will not have children in them (various researchers)

• 77% of Millenials/Gen Y say they want to live in an urban core (RCLCO 2008 survey)

• 75% of retiring boomers say they want mixed-age and mixed-use communities (RCLCO 2009 survey)

dynamic :

demographic shift

Suburban Household 1960(all hh)

2000 2008

With children 48% 35% 24%

Without children 52% 65% 76%

Single person 13% 26% 30%

Page 12: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Early suburbs, formerly on the edge of metropolitan development, have been leapfrogged so many times that they now have a relatively central location and are prime sites for transit service and retrofitting.

dynamic:

leapfrogging & recentralization

Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson

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2.8 million acres of greyfields to be available for redevelopment by 2015. If ¼ were redeveloped, we could meet half our housing needs.

A. Chris Nelson, 2006

Perimeter Center Mall, Atlanta (right)

dynamic:

underperforming asphalt (we’re not as

--built-out as we thought)

Page 14: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

space for community-serving uses that cannot afford new construction

“third places”

food as a catalyst for neighborhood revitalization

keep the lights on

strategy:

Re-inhabitation

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from grocery store to library North Branch Public LibraryDenton, TexasMeyer, Scherer and Rockcastle Architects

Peter Sieger

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from strip center to hip “third place”La Grande Orange Groceria, Phoenix AZBob Lynn, Kris and Craig DeMarco

Photo by Robyn Lee

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Meds & Eds: From dying mall to revived mall and university medical centerOne Hundred Oaks, Nashville, TN

Source unverified

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densify

urbanize

green the infrastructure

strategy:

Redevelopment

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From grocery anchored strip mall to village centerThe A&P Lofts, Old Cloverdale, Montgomery ALCity Loft Corporation, McAlpine Tankersley Architecture, The Colonial Company

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1985 2005 2025

Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson 2009

from strip center to “attachable urbanism”Mashpee Commons, Cape Cod, MA1988-presentCornish Assoc. Ltd / Duany Plater-Zyberk & Co / Imai, Keller Moore

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transit triggers infill of an office parkUniversity Town Center, Hyattsville, MDPrince George’s Metro Center, Inc.Parker RodriguezRTKL Associates WDG Architecture

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University Town Center

1940

a large farm estate adjacent to the village of Hyattsville

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Highway triggers a mall, the office park, and buffer buildings

University Town Center

1980

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First retrofit triggers four more

University Town Center

2020(revised 6/10)

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New Main StreetNnNEw

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from 69 houses to TOD with 1,174 d.u., 1mil sf office, 190k sf retail and green infrastructureMetroWest, Vienna, VAPulte Homes, Lessard Arch Group, EDAW

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Infilling edge city with new form-based zoning over multiple parcelsDowntown Kendall / Dadeland, Kendall, FLMiami-Dade County Urban Design CenterDover Kohl & PartnersDuany Plater-Zyberk & Co.

before “after”

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Downtown Kendall / Dadeland

1970

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Downtown Kendall / Dadeland

1995

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Downtown Kendall / Dadeland

2020

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breaking up the superblocks with a street grid pegged to the mall’s internal “streets” and parks at intersecting parcel anchor points

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Mizner Park, Boca Raton, FL; Cooper Carry Architects, 1990From dead mall to mixed-use downtown with linear park Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2009

Before

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From dead mall to green downtownBelmar, Lakewood,COContinuum PartnersElkus Manfredi Architects, Civitas Inc.Van Meter Williams Pollack Architects

Before

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before - Villa Italia mall• 140 subtenant leases • PPP with City of Lakewood, Lakewood Reinvestment Authority, Continuum Partners• Infrastructure delivered by Developer, paid back out of sales tax collected on site

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Belmar

1975

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Belmar

1995

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Belmar

2015

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• 2002-8 fiscal and economic impact on Lakewood of $207.2 million ($49.5 million in 2008 alone), including a fiscal impact of $10.6 million

• 9 acres of public space and parks including a 2.1 acre park, 1.1 acre plaza • 8 bus lines come through the new downtown• 2/3 complete in ‘09: 1.1 mil sf retail, .9mil sf office, 1300 residential units

Page 43: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

8 of 13 regional malls in the Denver Metro area have been retrofitted or announced plans to be.

Retrofitting does NOT imply the wholesale redevelopment of existing neighborhoods.

Rather it provides existing neighborhoods with urban nodes on targeted underperforming sites-raising the question, how to connect the dots?

Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2009

Page 44: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

from commercial strip to multi-way boulevard and new downtownPalm Canyon Drive, Cathedral City, CA; Freedman, Tung & Bottomley source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2009

Page 45: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

From 32-mile commercial strip to 16-municipality regional redevelopment collaborationState Road 7/US 441, Broward & Miami-Dade Counties, South Florida Regional Planning Council and others

Page 46: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Columbia Pike, Arlington County, VA, Ferrell Madden Associates, Dover Kohl & Partnersform-based codes to induce densification & transit along a commercial strip

Page 47: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

retrofitting land use, transportation and energy on a commercial corridorCambie Corridor, Vancouver, BC, Vancouver City Planning Department

Page 48: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

reconstruct local ecology, daylight culverted streams, and clean run-off

add parks to increase adjacent property values

food and energy production

carbon sequestration

strategy:

Re-greening

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Suburban farming: growing organic veggies in the front yard - or inside the mall – or on foreclosed neighborhoods

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from shopping center to wetland w/ new lakefront property investmentPhalen Village, St Paul, MN,U.Minn CALA (Dowdell, Fraker, Nassauer) and City of St. Paul

Before After

Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2009

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from mall parking lot to TOD with condos, senior housing, and daylit creek park

Thornton Place, Northgate Mall, North Seattle, WA: LEED-ND pilot program

Mithun Architects for Stellar Holdings & Lorig Associates Source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2010

Page 52: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Thornton Place, North Seattle, WA: Mithun Architects for Stellar Holdings & Lorig Associates

Using the bioswale as a park improves both water quality and property values

Page 53: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Amateur photographers protesting for the right to public space on the Astroturf green at Downtown Silver Spring, MD, July 4, 2007

Page 54: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Remove obstacles and increase incentives for retrofitting

Conduct greyfield audits and target retrofitting strategies at the metro scale

Improve architectural quality and the design of “instant urbanism”

Develop new research, tools, and technologies

strategy:

Next Steps

Page 55: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

State Policies Advancing RetrofittingVirginia requires new development to contribute to the efficiency of the street network by meeting Connectivity Index thresholds.

Illinois requires state agencies to use an index of the combined cost of housing + transportation in screening applications for housing, economic development, & transportation investments. Similarly, HUD is calling for mortgage underwriting to factor in location efficiency.

New York, California, Maryland have smart growth bills requiring coordination of state agencies’ investments according to regional plans that lay out conservation areas and development areas in relation to transportation plans.

South Carolina and Florida have each introduced Commercial Revitalization bills to facilitate the redevelopment of dead shopping mall sites in a walkable manner.

California requires ghg projections with comp plans California has proposed that all retail over 90,000sf (big box) submit economic and community impact plans.

Page 56: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Local Incentives for RetrofittingRE-ZONING and EXPEDITED PERMITTING to incentivize mixed-use.

PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP SAVVY to creatively fund appropriate improvements, including USE OF PUBLIC LAND, TIFS, PILOTS, SALES TAX REBATES, etc .

DEPARTMENTAL COORDINATION and CONSOLIDATION between planning, building, emergency, health, and economic development departments.

PERFORMANCE INCENTIVES for conformance with LEED-ND or raising WALKSCORE.COM scores.

SUBURBAN COALITIONS for collective political clout and problem-solving.

LEADERSHIP AWARDS and DESIGN COMPETITIONS to broaden recognition of new ideas.

To be most effective, all of the above need to be combined with DISINCENTIVES FOR CONTINUED SPRAWL.

Page 57: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Long Island Radically Rezoned, T. Holler, K. Mulry, S. Peters, A. Serra Build a Better Burb Peoples Choice winner, 2010

Page 58: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Grafting 5 more floors on top of the mall and extruding the atrium

Surrey Central City, Surrey, BC, Canada, Simon Frasier UniversityBing Thom Architects, Inc

source: Dunham-Jones, Williamson, 2009

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technological innovation: The Schweeb, the Straddle Bus, and the Bamboo Bike

Page 60: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Leverage public land to get good development patterns approved – and wait

Engage in pre-emptive or anticapatory retrofitting, or employ contingent zoning

Encourage temporary events and tectical urbanism

strategy:

but what do we do now?

Page 61: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

Recapturing traffic islands for redevelopment while making walkable intersectionsFort Totten MetroRail stop, Washington DC Planning Department

Source: Washington DC Planning Dept website

Page 62: 9/8 THUR 12:15 | Keynote Ellen Dunham-Jones

From 3-story regional mall to affordable TOD w/ anticipatory growthEnglewood CityCenter, City of Englewood, Miller Weingarten Realty, Trammell Crow Residential, David Owen Tryba Architects, Calthorpe Associates Sources unverified

tool: Antipatory Retrofitting: Lay out parking lots as future building sites with utilities and trees lining the “streets”

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Source unverified

2-day “Art Installation”Build a Better Block, Go Oak Cliff, October 2010 Oak Cliff, Texas

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ADDITIONAL RESOURCES CNU Sprawl Retrofit Initiative: Active list-serv, website with examples and model legislation. For info go to: http://www.cnu.org/sprawlretrofitSprawl Repair Manual: Book by Galina Tahchieva of DPZ. Prototypical solutions

at the regional, neighborhood, and building scale. Greyfields to Goldfields: 2002 book by Lee Sobel and CNU based on 2001 study of regional mall study by Price Waterhouse CooperMalls into Main Streets: 2005 report by CNU to guide local officials and owners/developers through the process.Suburban Transformations, Paul Lukez, 2007Big Box Reuse, Julia Christenson, 200810 Principles for Reinventing America’s Suburban Business Districts, Geoffrey Booth, et al, ULI, 2002“Retrofitting Suburbia”, Places 17:2, Summer 2005, theme issue guest-edited by Dunham-Jones and WilliamsonRetrofitting Suburbia Facebook page: http://www.facebook.com/pages/Retrofitting-Suburbia/29939207705?ref=tsCNU 20, May 9-12, West Palm Beach, FL – entire track on suburban retrofitting