Nationaal Lucht- en Ruimtevaartlaboratorium – National Aerospace Laboratory NLR

NLR and Aviation Safety

Michel Piers, Business Manager Aerospace Operations

Seminar “Airport Cargo, Safety & Security: a Dutch perspective”Brasilia, 28 October 2015

NLR Netherlands Aerospace Centre Mission

To support and enhance decision-making and innovation capabilities of government and industry To develop and apply high-grade technology

Independent, not for profit organisation Founded in 1919 Staff 640 in 2015 Aerospace Systems, Vehicles and Operations Operating many facilities for simulation, testing and qualification National and international client-base Working for industry and government M€72 turn-over in 2014

NLR Aerospace Operations Research Facilities

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ATC Simulator Research Aircraft Flight Simulator

Tower Simulator

External ATC + flight simulators or ops. systems

Dedicated to Innovation in Aerospace

NLR and safety - overview

Main areas of work: Operational & flight technical

assessment Safety management Safety regulation & oversight Safety cases Air safety data analysis &

accident investigation Research: Development of

(simulation) models, methods & techniques and safety of new ATM concepts

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National Safety Policy Government

Internationally agreed safety objectives

Policy Implementation

(Institutions, resources, guidance)

Dept. for Transport

Feedback into Policy

Accident Inv. Authority

Policy Output (stand., inspect, report, guidance)

CAA

Policy Impact

Airlines, ATC, Airports

Outcomes National

safety Record

Safety performance is built by many stakeholders

Air Transport Safety Institute - overview 6

Safety performance - Managing risk

Change Management

· Safety Cases· Aeronautical Studies

Operational Risk Management· Short term decisions· Limited information

STRATEGIC TACTICAL

REACTIVE

Safety Performance Monitoring· Trends· Emergent risk

Occurrence reports

Flight Data Monitoring

RISK

Making sense of performance data...

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Safety data analysis & models

We specialize in safety data collection & analysis (Accident / Incident Data, Occurrence reporting programs, Flight Data (FDR & QAR)

NLR maintains one of the worlds largest air safety data repositories and has developed the safety data warehouse of EASA

We develop quantified causal models to translate safety data into performance

NLR develops and applies safety data analysis capabilities. To name a few: FAA (risk-based oversight, certification stds) CAA Swiss (Safety performance monitoring) SAC – NL (Airport building turbulence citeria) CAA Singapore (Safety performance indicators) German Wings (Runway excursion risk)

Air Transport Safety Institute - overview 9

Safety Cases & Aeronautical Studies

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Non-compliant, independent, segregated or mixed mode runway use for Lisbon airport

IATA & ATC South-Africa contracted NLR to develop and maintain the Safety Case for the introduction of RVSM over Africa

Safety Case for the introduction of the A380 in Schiphol Operations

Reduction in ATC tower crew in Norway Introduction of IMC Point in Space

approaches for Swiss rescue helicopters Safety Case for new Wake Vortex

separation criteria in Europe Windturbines, Solar farms, Powerlines

Operational Risk Management

Hier spl winter ops !!!! Daar leren we ze vooral samenwerken en recoveren

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1. Identify Hazards2. Assess Hazards3. Make Risk Decisions4. Implement Controls5. Supervise (watch for change)

1. Understand each others ops2. Identify weaklinks3. Ensure communication4. Excercise5. Evaluate

Models & tools supporting performance management

We develop quantified causal models: To understand causal relations Identify safety performance indicators To predict impact of safety measures

Models of different levels of sophistication needed: simple profilers (incursion risk) large policy models complex multi-agent models

Models developed for: FAA (NextGen) ICAO (balked landing) EUROCONTROL (In-trail following) ATC-NL (runway incursion monitor) EASA, ATC-Germany, etc.

Beyond SMS – Safety Culture

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... If the winds are blowing from east to west, but the currents are flowing west to east, is there any doubt in wich direction the iceberg will travel ...? - Brian Bacon

ASC-IT Safety Culture Assessment

Safety culture

CommitmentBehaviour

AwarenessInformationAdaptability

Justness

The safety culture model

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Overall

Commitment

Behaviour

Awareness

Adaptability

Information

Justness

Management Operations

Assessment results

• Safety culture must be managed like any other performance driver.

• NLR has developed method and tool to assess and help improve safety culture.

• ASC-IT allows user to establish safety culture maturity level and identify weakspots

• Used by Airlines, Airports, Ground Handlers & others across the globe

Future Sky Safety ProgramMain EU innovation program for safety

Runway excursion accident prevention Resolving the organizational accident Advanced flight envelope protection Total system risk assessment Emergence detection and big data Human Performance Envelope Flight crew resilience and automation Reducing the effect of icing hazards Mitigating the risk of fire, smoke & fumes

EU Coordinated Research & Innovation Action 6 year program, 40 M€ budget, 35 partners, led by

NLR Nine technical projects for safety innovation

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ManagedPerformance