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www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.co m Multifamily / Land Analysis and Outlook 2013 Presented By: Dan Doyle

2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

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The multifamily and land market update given at the 2013 Charleston-area commercial market forecast, on October 24, 2013 at the Daniel Island Club. The presentation was given by Daniel J. Doyle, Vice President of Development with The Beach Company.

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Page 1: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

www.CharlestonCommercialMarketForecast.com

Multifamily / LandAnalysis and Outlook 2013

Presented By:Dan Doyle

Page 2: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Charleston MSA Historical and Projected Population

2000 2010 2015 2020 -

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

142,651 177,843 187,800

309,969 350,209 360,600

96,413 136,555 152,000

549,033

664,607 700,400

Berkeley Charleston Dorchester Tri-County

Population

* Projections were provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The 2012 Charleston MSA population is 697,439.

Page 3: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Charleston MSA Vs. National Historical and Projected Unemployment Percentage

2010 2011 2012 2013 20140.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

9.29%8.45%

7.40%

6.13% 5.93%

9.60%

8.90%

8.10%

7.20%6.60%

Local Unemployment

National Unemployment

Unemployment %

Page 4: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Real Data: Charleston Area Submarket Multifamily Performance Recap

Central Goose Creek James Island Mt. Pleasant North Charleston

Summerville West Ashley Tri County Area

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

0.0%

1.0%

2.0%

3.0%

4.0%

5.0%

6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

9.0%

10.0%

$870 $853

$1,079

$1,245

$742$847 $879 $903

6.0%

4.2%

2.8%

9.1%

4.6%

6.9%

2.7%

5.2%Rental Rate

Vacancy Rate

Average Rent ($) Vacancy Rate (%)

Page 5: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Charleston Multifamily Construction Pipeline Breakdown

Downtown Mt. Pleasant / Daniel Island

James Island Johns Island West Ashley North Charleston

Hanahan Summerville Total -

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

10,000

656

3,113

578 528

1,717 1,391

331 784

9,098

Pipeline Unit Count

Page 6: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Riviera at Seaside– Mt. Pleasant, SC

Flats at Mixson– North Charleston, SC

The Parks at Nexton– Summerville, SC

Page 7: 2013 Charleston Commercial Market Forecast: Multifamily and Land Update

Multifamily / Land

• Land

• Opportunities Still Available

• Current & Future Risks- Supply- Rising Construction Costs

On the Horizon