Upload
doc-searls
View
537
Download
1
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Slides that accompanied the opening keynote at the Kynetx Impact conference in Provo, Utah. Note: uses American Typewriter Condensed, not on all machines. If you have formatting problems, use the .pdf version
Citation preview
1
The Intention Economy:What happens when customers
get real power
18 November 2009, Kynetx Impact
Some perspective.
2
We’re all familiar with:
3
The universe took a while to make.
4
The Net’s taking some time too.
Right now we have a few light elements, a lot of heat and no galaxies.
5
TCP/IP NOW Whatever
Giant Zero
AmbientConnectivity
Web
Blogging& RSS
1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 20XXs 2XXXs XXXXs
Early openprotocols
ISPs
Graphicalbrowsers
Freesoftware
Opensource
Live“real-time”
Web
Dunno
Linux
Consider the online shopping “experience”
Doc’s wife, in 1996:“Why can’t I take my shopping cart from one site to another?”
6
7
Consider “Terms of ‘Service’” that also haven’t changed since 1996:
Why even bother reading something you have to accept,and which give all advantages to the seller?
You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it.
Accept.
It’s so early that…
8
Brick & mortar businesses areadopting what’s broken online.
It’s so early online that you have to become a “member” and “sign in” to buy anything. SSO still isn’t here.
The old brick & mortar world was free of this silly friction.Now it’s encumbered. And it’s crazy.
9
Loyalty cardsare the Green Stamps of our time.
The biggest press run in history was the 1966 Green Stamps Saver Book.Green stamps were about “raising switching costs”…
“differentiation” … “driving loyalty”… It’s all part of industrial automation gone wild.
10
Take for example one fine grocery store…
11
… with all the modern inconveniences.
To check out “fast” at Shaws,you need to operate one of these:
This is part of the cool new retail trendof outsourcing customer support.
To the customer.12
Note to selves: When somebody sells an “experience,” think of this:
“Experience” too often means vendor control of the user.13
A typical check-out story.
Went to Shaws, gathered a bunch of groceries.Scanned and bagged at the “fast” self-check-out thing.
Failed to get the Shaws card discount.Went to Customer Service.
Had 20 minutes of life sucked away.Got a generous gift card from a Shaws human who hates the system too.
Why didn’t we learn from the Green Stamps experience?
14
Because we’ve idealized impersonal business.
Take for example“Customer Relationship Management.”
15
Do an image search for CRMand you’ll find these:
All are ways to “acquire,” “control,” “retain,” “manage”and otherwise “own” customers.
We talk about customers as if they were slaves. Or Worse.16
Where do you fit in this picture?
Right about here:
17
18
The problem is the persistent belief thatthe best customer is a captive one.
So we think “the best captor wins.”And we is all of us. Not just sellers.
19
Thus we think a “free market”is “your choice of captor.”
Even though the Net is now in the middle of everything.
Every captor is also a silofor storing customer data.
So a “free market” becomes “your choice of data captor.”20
So the hospitality marketlooks like this:
All your data for each, and from each, is captive in each.21
“Social” systems are silos too.
22
We’ve broken out of silos before.One example:
Novell and the NOS blew that all up in the 80s.23
And look what the Net blew upin the 90s:
But…`24
We’re still in the past.
We need to keep building out the Net.And the Net is personal. Not just social.
25
TCP/IP NOW Whatever
Giant ZeroUbiquity
Web
RSS
1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 20XXs 2XXXs XXXXs
Early openprotocols
ISPsGraphicalbrowsers
Freesoftware
Opensource
Live Web
Dunno
“Social” whatever
26
How do we prove that a free customer is more valuable than a captive one.?
27
One solution isVendor Relationship Management
That’s how each of us manages relations with them…at least as well as they think they’re relating to us.
28
VRM is the reciprocal of CRM.
VRMCRM
It will work together with CRM.Or without it.
Either way, sellers will have to deal for real with empowered customers.
29
With VRM, the individual is the point of integration for his or her own data.
… and the point of origination for what’s done with it.
30
Here is someof what we want VRM to do.
31
Manage our own health care data.
This is a tall order, and very long term. But there are some great people working on, for
example, personal health records (PHRs).
32
Issue a “personal RFP” to whole markets, on the fly.
For example, send a message saying you need a 200w 220->110 converter
in Amsterdam on a Sunday afternoon…— without giving any more than the required information.
Scott Adams calls this “broadcast shopping.”
33
Assert useful Terms of Service.
That are ours instead of theirs.
You agree we aren't liable for annoying interruptions caused by you; or a third party, buildings, hills, network congestion, rye whiskey falling sickness or unexpected acts of God or man, and will save harmless rotary lyrfmstrdl detections of bargas overload prevention, or in the event of random siding management retrenchments, or Elvis leaving the building. Unattended overseas submissions in saved mail hazard functions will be subject to bad weather or sneeze funneling through contractor felch reform blister pack truncation, or for the duration of the remaining unintended contractual subsequent lost or expired obligations, except in the state of Michigan at night. We also save ourselves and close relatives harmless from anything we don't control; including clear weather and oddball acts of random gods. You also agree we are not liable for missed garments, body parts, or voice mails, even if you have saved them. Nothing we say or mumble here is trustworthy or true, or meant for any purpose other than to feed the fears of our legal department, which has no other reason to live. Whether for reasons of drugs, hormones, gas or mood, we may terminate this agreement with cheeful impunity, and there’s not a damn thing you can do about it.
Accept.
Have governance of and by— and not just for — the people
34
35
Create a new business modelfor free media.
Free media include…Non-commercial broadcasting
Blogs, podcastsMusic…
Anything that’s either free on purpose or too easy to “steal.”
For example,on the Public Radio Player…
36
We’ll reform retail by giving customers their own tools of engagement.
Customers won’t be able to price everything.But they will be able to drive supply more directly.
And they will become platforms for whole new business categories.
37
A new service category will appear.
Fourth-party services will be customer-driven.
38
There will be no limit to the number or power of 4th parties.
It’s a big, green field. Built on the customer.39
So, for example, with hotels…
Fourth parties can represent, intermediate, or otherwise help out.
So, as this business expands…40
The Intention Economywill get real.
It will be based on what customers actually want.Rather than the “attention economy” of guessing
what customers want.… or “driving” customers (like cattle) to want stuff.
As a result…41
The advertising bubblewill burst.
No, it won’t go away. We’ll always need some.It just won’t the business model of first resort.
At best it will be the reciprocal of customers advertising what they want.
42