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Guilty or not guilty- Social media analysis of the impact of the 2G scamThe latest development on the 2g scam was the court rejecting pleas against Ambani, Tata, Radia and Dayalu. In a matter of just 13 hours, this particular discussion has spanned about 250,000 mentions on the Internet, giving rise to a series of debates and opinions. Read more at http://in.news.yahoo.com/2g-scam-court-rejects-plea-against-ambani-tata-111200878.html. We have analyzed more than 2.7 Million mentions regarding this scam to create this report. The report tries to understand the impact of the scam on companies and executives involved. The court has given its verdict and rejected pleas against Tata, Ambani, Dayalu and Radia. But, what does the public have to say?
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2G Scam- Social Media Analysis
Nov 2010 – May 2011
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Indian context- Top topics discussed 2010-2011
•While Cricket fever dominates even on social media, the next top topic discussed in India was Anna Hazare’s anti-corruption protest
•2g scam spanned a total of 2.7 Million mentions in a span of 1 year
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Top topics discussed over the last 12 months on the Social Web
IPL Cricket21.7 Million
Anna Hazare7.3 Million
2G Scam2.7 Million
WC Cricket15.7 Million
CWG2.3 Million
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•Mentions peaked in Nov 2010 with A Raja’s resignation•Top people executives discussed on social media sites were Kanimozhi, A Raja, Ratan Tata and Anil Ambani •Blog mentions were trending about Ratan Tata and Anil Ambani and the repercussion of their actions on their respective companies
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Oct '10-Nov '10 Dec '10-Jan '11 Feb '11-Mar '11 Apr '11-May '110
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
1271 1675 14622311
9511224 1872
2122
654862
1032
1013
1234
14621047
2134
Microblogs Blogs Social Media News
Men
tio
ns
are
in ‘
00
2G Mentions – Number of mentions on Twitter and Facebook are exceeding news sites
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Top Opinions
25% - Why is justice delayed? Asking for a quick verdict
24% - TRAI recommendation to cancel 2G/3G licenses of telecom operators should be considered
21% - Why did the UPA govt not do anything about it?
15% - Need an revolution to stop corruption (aka Egypt, Tunisia)
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Why was justice delayed this
long?
TRAI recom-mendation to
cancel 2G/3G lic of telecom op-
erators involved should be con-
sidered
Why didn't Sonia Gandhi and the UPA govt not do
anything?
We need an up-rising like Egypt
and Tunisia against corrup-
tion
Other15%
Top discussions online
15%
15%
15%
25%
24%21%
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•Mentions for Kanimozhi increased by 569% in May 2011 alone•Number of weekly mentions for Ratan Tata and 2g Scam increased by 134% in the last week of May 2011 and have been consistent
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Online mentions for executives involved in the scam
Vinod Goenka
Shahid Balwa
Anil Ambani
Ratan Tata
A Raja
Kanimozhi
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000
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•Amongst corporate honchos, Ratan Tata’s personal brand has taken the biggest negative dip •Although, it was announced that Anil Ambani had no links to Swan Telecom, positive sentiment for him as a brand did not improve after this news
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Kanimozhi A Raja Ratan Tata Anil Ambani Shahid Balwa
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
26 2815
3140
6569
53
36
33
93
32 3327
Neutral Negative Positive
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•A staggering 65% feel that A.Raja’s arrest was delayed and the UPA government is involved. •48% believe that Karunanidhi and Rajathi Ammal should also be investigated
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34%
31%
28%
6%
A Raja
Why was Raja's arrest delayed?
His arrest is staged- UPA involved
Raja's arrest is infinitesimal when compared to the level of corruption in India
Was Sadiq Bacha killed to block the ev-idence against Raja or was it suicide?
37%
28%
24%
11%
Kanimozhi
Interrogate Karunanidhi too
Kanimozhi is heavily backed by Congress and other members
Why was CBI's arrest of Kanimozhi after TN elections?
Why is Kanimozhi's mother not chargesheeted since she owns 60% stake in KTV?
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•27% - Tata’s patriotism and honesty is in question•29% - are not surprised to see Anil Ambani and Reliance involved in the scam
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30%
24%27%
10%9%
Ratan Tata
Nira Radia Tapes
TATA and A Raja letters
TATA "patriotism" and "honesty" is all tommy-rot
Ratan TATA appears before PAC
Ratan Tata-"My privacy is being violated"- is Tata trying to stop the government from book-ing the culprits
31%
29%
28%
12%
Anil Ambani
PAC grills Ambani - finally responsible gov-ernance
Not surprising to see Reliance and Ambani involved in this
Anil Ambani now a prime suspect
The most benefitted from this scam is Anil Ambani
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•Executive involvement in Reliance Com, DB Realty, Unitech, TATA communications (Docomo and Indicom) have caused an impact to not just their own brand, but their companies too
•25% of the people say that they would prefer to use a communications provider not involved in the scam
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Videocon
Tata Teleservices
Reliance
Unitech
DB Realty
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Total number of discussions% fall in stock price since Q2 2010
0 100000200000300000400000
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Reliance Communications
TATA Teleservices
DB Realty
Swan Telecom
Unitech Group
Vodafone Essar
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
43
49
48
50
42
58
35
28
23
26
31
22
22
23
29
24
27
20
NeutralNegativePositive
•Discussions for Reliance have been most negative for its links with Swan Telecom
•Worst impacted companies, according to social media reactions are Reliance, Unitech Group and TATA Teleservices being Indicom, Docomo and Virgin Mobile (in that order)
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43%
32%
25%
TATA Communications
DMK men quit board of TATA comms
Excited about Docomo's 3g launch regardless
I’d rather use other Telecom providers who are not involved in the scam (Docomo, Indicom references)
Top discussions
44%
33%
23%
Swan Tel and Reliance Communications
These companies are the main benefit-tors
Why is a clean chit given to Swan?
Anil Ambani- no links with Swan Tel, investigation not clearly justified
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• 54% of the people feel that the exoneration of Ratan Tata and Ambani is not clearly justified and suspect these corporate honchos to have bribed the Govt and CBI
• 23% ask the Government to conduct a further investigation on Dayalu Ammal to get to the bottom of the scam
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Reactions to TATA,Radia and Ambani exoneration- Are they guilty or not guilty in the public eye?
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• Nearly 15% of the discussions for 2g scam propose the idea of an uprising similar to Egypt and Tunisia against corruption. After Cricket, Anna Hazare’s anti-corruption protest was most discussed and supported online with nearly 7.2 Million discussions for the same in the past year.
• Companies which have garnered most negative sentiment are Reliance, Unitech and TATA Teleservices, which are also the top ones to face a huge hit in the stock market.
• Ratan Tata’s personal brand has been most negatively impacted amongst the corporate honchos.
• Nearly 29% of the discussions for Anil Ambani and the 2g scam, say that there is no surprise to see
Ambani involved in this. Furthermore, negative sentiment towards Anil Ambani largely contributed to fall in the Reliance Telecommunications brand name too, with Rcomm’s stock price going down by 40% since the scam.
• Although Ratan Tata has been discussed more in relation to the 2g scam, Reliance Communications
garnered most mentions for its links to Swan Telecom
• It was announced that Anil Ambani had no links to Swan Telecom, yet, positive sentiment for him as a
brand did not improve after this news
• Spicejet and Sun TV stocks both owned by Maran family – related to DMK chief Karunandhi, eroded
by 15% and 20% respectively in the last 2 trading sessions. It is also worth observing that 37% of the top discussions for Kanimozhi ask CBI to interrogate Karunanidhi and Dayalu Ammal