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BCM Energy and Environment Working Group meeting
December 1, 2015
SARUUL Dolgorsuren
Project Manager
Biennial Update Report of Mongolia to UNFCCC project
Nature Conservation Fund under the MEGDT
CLIMATE CHANGE NEGOTIATIONS AND MONGOLIA'S
CONTRIBUTION (INDC) TO THE 2015 AGREEMENT
UNDER THE UNFCCC
Content
• Climate negotiations and significance of COP21
• Mongolia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution
(INDC) to the new global climate agreement
UNFCCC Objective: Article 2
The ultimate objective of this Convention and any related legal
instruments that the Conference of the Parties may adopt is “to
achieve, in accordance with the relevant provisions of the Convention,
stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere
at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic
interference with the climate system”.
Such a level should be achieved within a time-frame sufficient
- to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change,
- to ensure that food production is not threatened, and
- to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner.
COP 19 {1/CP.19 Para 2(b)}
• to limit the rise of global average temperature to below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels, consistent with the recommendation of the fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of IPCC
• initiate or intensify domestic preparations for their intended nationally determined contributions, without prejudice to the legal nature of the contributions, in the context of adopting a protocol, another legal instrument or an agreed outcome with legal force under the Convention …”
• catalyzed a new approach within the international climate negotiations by requesting Parties to provide up front information about their ‘intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs)’
• Parties are requested to communicate their INDC well in advance of the twenty-first session of the COP (by the first quarter of 2015 for those parties ready to do so)
The 21st session of the Conference of the Parties (COP) and the 11th session of
the Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto
Protocol (CMP) is taking place from 30 November to 11 December 2015, in
Paris, France.
• The spirit of COP21 is that all
the leaders of some 150 nations
to look beyond all the
controversies and differing
interests, and to agree on to limit
the GHG emission to ensure the
future of next generation and our
planet. The agreement must be:
• Ambition
• Comprehensiveness
• Fair
• Legally binding
Content
• Climate negotiations and significance of COP21
• Mongolia’s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution
(INDC) to the new global climate agreement
IMPLEMENTATION STATUS UNDER THE UNFCCC
- Ratification of the UNFCCC (1993)
- Ratification of the Kyoto Protocol (1999)
Ongoing projects to fulfill UNFCCC’s reporting obligation
-Third National Communication (TNC)
-First Biennial Update Report (BUR)
-Intended National Determined Contribution (iNDC)
Steps to implement UNFCCC’s goal
- Initial national communication (1st November 2001)
- Submission of list of NAMAs (28th January 2010)
- Second national communication (10th December 2010)
- National Action Program on Climate Change (6th January 2011)
- Technology Needs Assessment (2013)
MONGOLIA’S COMMITMENT TO THE NEW GLOBAL
CLIMATE AGREEMENT
• Mongolia has submitted it’s
Intended Nationally
Determined Contribution
(INDC) to the UNFCCC on
September 24, 2015.
You may download Mongolia’s INDC from UNFCCC web:
http://www4.unfccc.int/submissions/INDC/Published%20D
ocuments/Mongolia/1/150924_INDCs%20of%20Mongolia.
PREPARATION OF INDC OF MONGOLIA
March Apr-June July-Sep Oct-Dec
Approve
INDC PIP
Establish
INDC PIU
Inception
workshop
Select
National INDC
working teams
Assessment
on policy
documents
- Make estimation
if needed
- Prepare and
compile INDC
project report
- Final workshop
for the INDC
with all the
stakeholder
- Submit the INDC
- Monitoring
& evaluation
- Auditing
TECHNICAL DISCUSSION MEETINGS & WORKSHOPS
WITH NATIONAL INDC WORKING TEAMS AND ALL THE
STAKEHOLDERS
INDC OF MONGOLIA
• Transparency:
• Multi-stakeholder process and consultation with key public entities
• Based on existing legal frameworks and approved policies
• Good quantification based on calculations developed via LEAP modelling
• Equity:
• Low historic emissions, low responsibility
• Challenging conditions in the country
• Ambition:
• Ambitious energy policies and targets: 30% share of electricity generation capacity from renewable energy (RE) by 2030 (already has parliamentary approval)
• Investment requirement: USD 3.5 billion investment mitigation
INDC: MITIGATION
• Timeframe: Up to
2030
•Type of Contribution:
Policies &
measures
•Sector: Energy
(including transport),
industrial processes,
agriculture & waste
• Gases: CO2, CH4,
N2O
• Base year: 2010
GHG emissions share by sector in 2010 and 2030 [forecast,
excluding LULUCF]
INDC: MITIGATION
• The cumulative impact of the measures is estimated to result in approximately an annual reduction of 7.3 Mt CO2-eq. of economy-wide emissions in 2030, corresponding to a 14% reduction compared to a business-as-usual (BAU) scenario, excluding LULUCF.
• Mongolia intends to include actions for mitigation in the forestry sector to reduce GHG emissions from deforestation and forest degradation by 2% by 2020 and 5% by 2030 (according to State policy on forest, 2015).
Target level:Тype: BAU
INDC: ADAPTATION (2021-2030)
Adaptation component has been included in the INDC, due to Mongolia's high degree of
vulnerability to climate change.
Adaptation aims to reduce risks and vulnerabilities for the following sectors and some
adaptation activities under these goals will also have mitigation co-benefits:
• Animal husbandry
• Arable farming
• Water resources
• Forest resource
• Natural disaster management
Co benefits in general, carbon sinks of natural ecosystems will be increased with a
capacity to absorb almost a half of the CO2 emissions from energy sector in the country
by implementing adaptation policies in agriculture, forestry, and water resource sectors.
Rough estimations of adaptation measures shows that in the future Mongolia will need
around 3.4 billion USD for funding in technology and capacity building. Up to 80% of total
need expected to be financed from international sources and donor institutions.
THANK YOU
If you have questions, please contact:
Saruul Dolgorsuren
BUR project manager
Nature Conservation Fund
Ministry of Environment, Green Development & Tourism, Mongolia
