Ucla luskin center pev infrastructure

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UCLA Luskin Center - PEV Infrastructure. Presentation given by JR DeShazo, Director UCLA Luskin Center on October 26th, 2011 at the E-Mobility Symposium organized by the German State of Baden-Wuerttemberg at the W-Hotel in Los Angeles.

Text of Ucla luskin center pev infrastructure

  • W Hotel (Westwood)|Los Angeles October 26, 2011
  • Projected PEV Base in Los Angeles: 2000-2020 800,000 700,000 600,000Installed Base 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2000 2001 2002 2004 2006 2007 2008 2009 2011 2012 2013 2014 2016 2018 2019 2020 2003 2005 2010 2015 2017 BEV Cumulative PHEV Cumulative Hybrid Cumulative Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  • Market Analysis PEVs projected to be 9% of new car sales in 2015, and 11.7% in 2020 Based on demographic and conjoint survey of 2,072 LA residents in 2010-2011.Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  • PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings Residential Parking a problem for Early Adopters How much of a problem would it be if there were no EV chargers in your building? Would prevent from buying an EV: 42% Serious problem, but could work: 27%Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  • PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings Unlocking Multifamily Dwelling Charging = Unlocking the Market Other, 0.7%Los Angeles Housing Stock (2009) Single Family, 46% Multifamily, 51% Duplex, 3%Source: David Peterson, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  • PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings LA Green Building Code mandates new construction to install EVSE electrical conduits in low rise multifamily. LAGBC mandates designated PEV spaces for new high-rise constructionSource: City of Los Angeles Green Building Code, 2010.
  • PEV Charging & Multifamily Dwellings New residential construction is too slow to meet demand SR solutions? PHEVs & Extended range vehicles Workplace and publicly-accessible charging What are actual installation costs in overlapping areas of high nighttime demand and high concentrations of multifamily? What role can public policy play to expedite installations?
  • Siting & Managing Public Charging Workplace,Commercial and other Publicly-accessible charging addresses key need for niche markets: PEV drivers without residential charging PEVs with small batteries wanting to charge opportunistically Reducing range anxiety Whereshould they go, and how should they be managed?
  • Siting & Managing Public Charging Many siting methodologies exist: #1: Ad-hoc #2 Informed Estimating demand, identifying low cost supply sites, and matching supply and demand gives cities the power to: Leverage private investment Know where to upgrade old infrastructure Informs electric utility where to expect demand Plan for integration with transportation demand strategies (e.g., parking pricing)
  • Concentrations of Nighttime PEV Charging 2020Source: Jeffrey Dubin, et.al., UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011.
  • Siting & Managing Public Charging First Generation Charging Stations (07.2011) Appx 35% of U.S. Gen 1 1000 charging stations are in 800 LA CountyEVSE (units) 600 312 Most are 220-240 Volts 400 Opportunity for low-cost 484 200 refurbishment 0 2 3 Need to strategically target sites Public EVSE 1.0 L1 Public EVSE 1.0 L2 U.S. (ex-CA) CA (ex-LA County) LA County EV Charging Station Locations by Land Use Category (07.2011) Over 50% of publicly-accessible Gen 1 Miscellaneous 1 charging stations on commercial Recreational 4 property. Industrial 6 Opportunity to leverage private Institutional 7 Government Owned Property 32 investment. Commercial 59 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 Source: Peterson & Goepel, UCLA Luskin Center for Innovation, 2011. Number of Locations
  • Conclusion Need to responsibly site and manage infrastructure to avoid wasteful spending and costly decommissioning of stranded assets Public sector can have a hand in guiding this process Innovative solutions need to emerge for multi-unit dwellings Need for greater sharing of best practices across California and U.S.
  • www.luskin.ucla.edu J.R. DeShazo, Director 310.593.1198 deshazo@ucla.edu David Peterson, PEV Project Manager 650.477.4883 davidpeterson@ucla.edu