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When Autonomy, Connectivity, Electrification & Sharing Collide
Dr. Stefan Heck Stanford University CEO Nauto, Inc.
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Transport today: 99% waste of $2/mile Productive use
2.6% driving
0.8% looking for parking 0.5% sitting in
congestion
The typical American car spends 96% of its time parked
86% of fuel never reaches the wheels
Rolling resistance
1% Energy used to move the person
Aerodynamics
Transmission losses
Idling
Engine losses
Inertia
Auxiliary power Road at peak throughput only 5% of the time ...and then only 10% covered with cars
More than 33,000 road fatalities in US $300B annually in cost
>95% Caused by human error
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More than 33,000 road fatalities in US $300B annually in cost
>95% Caused by human error
Productive use
2.6% driving
0.8% looking for parking 0.5% sitting in
congestion
The typical American car spends 96% of its time parked
86% of fuel never reaches the wheels
Rolling resistance
1% Energy used to move the person
Aerodynamics
Transmission losses
Idling
Engine losses
Inertia
Auxiliary power Road at peak throughput only 5% of the time ...and then only 10% covered with cars
Autonomous: 90% accident reduction
Connected: Time &
route shift & transit integration
Shared: 50% utilization
(70% with delivery at night?)
Electric: 85% efficient
drivetrain
Transport today: 99% waste of $2/mile
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8 cents per mile!
Autonomous: 90% accident reduction
Connected: Time &
route shift & transit integration
Shared: 50% utilization
(70% with delivery at night?)
Electric: 85% efficient
drivetrain
Autonomous maintenance & charging Peloton or 8x capacity autonomous HOV lanes
Smart Autoroute
No up front cost for batteries Use only size car & battery you need
Match open trips & 2 minute service
Intermodal hub connections
ACES
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A fork in the road to Autonomy
FCW, LDW, AB, ACC, ALC, Blind spot, Hill descent, Lane change assistant, parking assistant, XTS, TSR
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The other road to autonomy: limiting where you drive (Level 4 Autonomy in limited circumstances)
New Entrants: Google, Xoox, NuTonomy
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What if there was a third way?
A: Augment human perception
C: Each car learns from every other car
E: Solve parking, braking, congestion
S: Sharing easier if you know who is driving and how
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170 degree perception to see signs, pedestrians, dangers without distraction Networked to learn of traffic and dangers ahead, speed for green light Find any parking space any car has seen Face recognition of driver and any accidents while car is shared
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