AN ANALYSIS OF AUSTRALIAN MOTO R INSURANCE MARKET IN TERM S OF ITS ECONOMICS, DRIV ERS, TREN DS AN D COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE & LESSONS FROM OVERS EAS GENERAL IN SURANCE MARKETS ULLASH TIWARI SLIDESHARE.COM/ULL YULLY [email protected]
For my MBA and also my current consulting role I had to assess the Australian Motor Insurance market in terms of its economics, drivers, trends and competitive structure to inform my client of the market’s attractiveness to grow sales revenues and also give consideration to lessons from overseas General Insurance markets Also I had to determine what strategic design principles would need to be applied to any new initiatives based on bank strategy, so my client's strategy, the client's Group’s brands, and awareness of customer needs This powerpoint slides also assess what issues may exist in my Client's current Motor Insurance operating model and customer value proposition that may need to be addressed for new initiatives to succeed
Text of Australian Car Insurance Market - ANALYSIS
SIZE, GROWTH & PROFITABILITY The $6bn domestic motor
insurance market is the largest component of the general insurance
market, has grown ~5% p.a. for 5 years, and has a ~9% to ~15%
profit margin Australian General Insurance Market by class of
business ($m) Growth of the Domestic Motor Insurance Market ($m)
CAGR = 4.98% Employers liability 1,191 4% Other 4,125 16%
Professional indemnity 1,496 6% Profit (9%) 7,000 Householder s
4,338 16% Motor insurance industry profitability(1) 6,018 5,646
6,000 Commercial motor 1,602 6% 5,000 4,720 4,776 4,944 Expense
5,209 Commission paid to distributor (7.5% - 15%) (20%) 4,000 Loss
Sacrificed to Underwriter (71%) (85% - 92.5%) Full service
underwriters Brokers / Distributors 3,000 Public & product
liability 2,145 8% Profit Acquisition Cost Fire & ISR 3,151 12%
CTP motor 2,286 9% Domestic motor 6,018 23% 2,000 1,000 0 2004
Total GI Market: $26,352m in Gross Premium Revenue Domestic motor
insurance is worth $6bn in premiums per annum, and is the largest
segment of the Australian general insurance market Given that a
number of players sell both domestic motor and CTP, these two
market segments can be considered together 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Share of GI Market: 21.2% 21.1% 21.7% 21.8% 22.8% 22.8% System
growth has averaged 5% p.a. over the last 5 years In this time the
motor insurance share of the overall GI market has grown slightly
from 21% to 23% (1): Based on 2009 industry actuals, excludes
investment income Source: APRA June 2009, JP Morgan General
Insurance Survey 2009 Underwriters earned an average margin of 9%
in 2009, while distributors earned 7.5% 15% before acquisition
costs The profitability and strategic implications of business
models are discussed further in this report 2
UNDERLYING DRIVERS OF MARKET GROWTH The underlying growth of
Australias population and the increase in car ownership all result
in additional vehicles and drive demand for comprehensive domestic
motor insurance Australian Population Growth (millions) 22.5 Total
Passenger Vehicles (millions, LHS) and Passenger Vehicles per 1000
People (RHS) 14 22.0 12 2.54% annual growth 10 20.5 1.54% annual
growth 20.0 0.55 cars per person 19.0 1.02% annual growth 2 18.0
Resident Population Australias ongoing population growth and wealth
continues to drive demand for passenger vehicles 640 52 50 600 48
580 46 540 44 520 42 500 0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
2009 54 660 560 4 18.5 56 620 8 6 19.5 700 680 12.0m cars 21.5 21.0
Australian New Passenger Vehicle Sales (thousands) 40 2001 2002
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total Vehicles Vehicles per 1000
Total registered passenger vehicles have risen from 9.8m in 2001 to
just over 12m in 2009 Vehicle ownership rates (penetration) are
also increasing, with cars per person rising 1.02% per annum over
the last decade The increase in ownership rates levelled off in
2008/2009 as a poor economic environment slowed vehicle purchasing
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Passenger Vehicles
Much of the demand for motor vehicles is met through new vehicle
sales Sales fell dramatically in 2008 and 2009, but have since
shown an upward trend though it is unknown whether this will herald
a return to historic levels Source: ABS 3
INDUSTRY TRENDS The hangover from the GFC, technological
innovations, and new competitive pressures are expected to shape
the market over the next several years Economic Market hardening
with premium increases of 5% in 2009, and premium growth of 5% and
4% predicted by industry participants for 2010 and 2011 (1)
Decreasing sum insured due to lagging impact of economic slowdown
(fewer new cars and shift to smaller cars) though this is now
offset by increasing new vehicle sales Improved investment returns
as equity markets recover Claims costs lower due to strong AUD
reducing cost of parts, however upwards pressure also present due
to a shortage of repairers and consequently higher labour costs
Political Competitive The Henry Tax Review may alter the economics
of vehicle ownership and operation, impacting demand Regulatory
changes to capital standards are expected in 2010 which may impact
funding mix and ROE Regulatory tightening as a hangover from the
GFC may also have unexpected impacts going forward Entry of new
players potentially eroding market share of leaders and mid-tier
players New products and business models (e.g. Pay-asyou-drive and
online aggregators) may impact profitability Well known retailers
leveraging their brands (e.g. Australia Post, Coles) Technological
Internet distribution models have lowered the barriers to entry If
widely adopted, internet aggregators / price comparison websites
have the potential to increase shopping around and price-based
decision making, however their success is yet to be determined
Web-bots are making it simpler for insurers to benchmark pricing
against one another Social High fuel costs vs. historical averages
are contributing to declining car use (likely to reduce claims
frequency) Increasing familiarity with online purchasing driving
demand for 24-hour quotations and sales The focus on climate change
and the contribution of car usage may lead to an increase in car
share clubs (e.g. Go Get) driving down car usage and ownership (1):
Some analysts are sceptical of this, and expect more modest premium
growth as a result of competitive pressures Source: Media articles,
JP Morgan General Insurance Survey 2009 4
CUSTOMER BUYING BEHAVIOURS Customers consider a number of
factors in selecting motor insurance, suggesting a number of areas
in which players can differentiate Top factors in selecting a motor
insurance provider 54% Value for Money Trustworthiness 36% Customer
Service Players have an opportunity to appeal to customers
behaviours and differentiate on any of these top factors: While
some customers are entirely driven by one factor (e.g. Price), most
purchasing choices involve a trade-off between multiple factors to
select the best overall offer Value for Money: Price, Product &
Service Players will typically aim to compete with the market in
most areas and differentiate or dominate in one or two 35% 33%
Level of Cover Overall Reputation 23% Flexible Payment Options 22%
15% Range of Benefits / Features 13% Ease of Understanding Policy
9% For example, Choice.com.au analysis based on premium prices and
policy features shows a breakdown of the market into two groups: 9%
Loyalty Rewards / Incentives Trustworthiness: Brand & Customer
Experience Professional Advice 6% Simple Product Solutions Customer
Service: Service Higher Prices Speed of Quotation Strategic
Differentiators Opportunities to Differentiate ~75% of brands 5%
Recommendation of Friend 2% Overall Quality of Website 1% Other 3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Level of Cover: Product Features
~25% of brands Highly competitive on product features High price
competition More Features (1): See appendix for further detail
Source: AC Neilsen 5 (1)
COMPETITORS IN THE MARKET Consolidation has not reduced
customer choice, there are more targeted brands and business models
in the Australian Motor Insurance market than ever before
Incumbents Suncorp Group Many of their business models leverage the
internet for distribution and a low cost offering Mixture of
insurers and bancassurers Split into two business models: Aim to
gain share on like-for-like offer Aggressors Aim to gradually build
market share through quality offerings and minor differentiation
from the Incumbents Offshoots of the Incumbent and Mid-tier brands
using low-cost internet models to defend against the Aggressors New
players looking to leverage aggregator model and aiming for a
market paradigm shift IAG Full value chain insurers Aggressors are
new entrants making aggressive and mostly price-based plays to gain
market share Mid-Tier players have a reputable brand for motor
insurance and small to moderate market share Mid-Tier Players
Incumbents have been in the market over a long period of time and
built up sizable market share Aim to gain share by undercutting on
price Experimenters Incumbent Offshoots Aim to defend Incumbent
share by matching Aggressor model Aggregators Aim for paradigm
shift based on new model 6
MARKET SHARES OF KEY PLAYERS IAG and Suncorp represent the cosy
duopoly of the domestic motor market in Australia, holding ~70% of
the overall market on a GWP basis The majority of larger market
players offer both CTP and comprehensive motor insurance, with CTP
often acting as a loss leader to attract new comprehensive
customers Market Share of Motor by Insurer CommInsure 2% RACQ 3%
IAG Group brands include: Westpac Other 0.5% 4% Suncorp Group
brands include: AAMI (National) RACQ (QLD, via a joint venture) RAA
(SA, via a joint venture) APIA Australian Pensioners Insurance
Agency (National) Allianz 8% GIO (NSW) The Buzz (Internet-only)
Suncorp (QLD) CGU (VIC/NSW and national intermediated distribution)
Wesfarmers 6% SGIO (WA) IAG 33% SGIC (SA) QBE 4% RACV (VIC, via a
joint venture) Zurich 3% NRMA (NSW, ACT, TAS, QLD) Just Car
(national niche player) Shannons (national niche player) Bingle
(Internet-only) IAG and Suncorp have successfully maintained their
~70% market share through consistently low lapse rates (e.g. 47% of
NRMA customers have been with them for 10+ years) Suncorp 37% This
has been achieved by: Building and maintaining high levels of trust
in their brands Effective loyalty programs (NCBs, multi policy
discounts) 7
COMPETITOR POSITIONING The market is dominated by the large
national and state players who target the mass market on value
through competitive prices and service. Smaller players lead on
price and/or target niches Price Key Observations Note: bubble size
and positioning is illustrative Bingle Budget Direct Aust. Post
Virgin The larger brands (e.g. AAMI, NRMA) focus on a mass market
offering and primarily seek to balance product features and service
quality with price YouI iSelect Just Car PAYD Coles Some of the
larger and more established intermediated insurers (e.g. Vero, CGU)
have adopted service-driven mass market offerings that tend to be
more expensive than competitors Real Allianz Lumley ibuyeco QBE
Niche Mass NRMA/RACV AAMI Shannons Aggressors such as A&G Group
(via Budget Direct), Real and YouI aim to undercut the large
incumbents on price, and focus on a mass market play through a
single channel (internet) or through distribution agreements with
existing mass market brands Vero APIA Comminsure CGU Suncorp Many
players have also launched brands to target market niches (e.g.
PAYD and Just Car target low car-users and young drivers
respectively) with price-based offers GIO Product / Service Bubble
size = approximate market share IAG Group Suncorp Group Some niche
players such as Shannons and APIA target demographic or needs-based
customer segments who will pay a premium for highly differentiated
service experiences A&G Group Other 8
COMPETITOR CUSTOMER VALUE PROPOSITIONS (1/4) The Incumbent
brands offer a range of GI products with a strong focus on cross
sales, and tend to differentiate using service-based offerings and
competitive pricing Incumbents Positioned as the insurer that
offers better service, claims and pricing, AAMI primarily sells
through call centres then internet GIO is a significant brand in
NSW with plans to expand presence in VIC with a focus is on growing
H&C then cross-sell to Motor Suncorp is a significant
bancassurance brand in QLD Positioned towards a large segment
called planners who understand risk and take pride in their
belongings who primarily purchase over the phone then internet
Focus is state-based rather than product (i.e. the emphasis is
selling to the parochial Queensland home base) Distinct sub-brands
aim to retain market share of vehicles (or customer segments)
outside of underwriting guidelines: (e.g. Insure My Ride for motor
cyclists, Just Car for grey imports, Bingle for online bargain
hunters, APIA for over 50s and Shannons for motoring enthusiasts)
Product is largely undifferentiated with the highest no claim bonus
but lowest new car replacement (1 year) and personal effects ($200)
There was a significant investment in pricing capability in 2007 to
make it highly granular, active demand pricing and responsive to
competitors The primary channels is sales through call centres then
internet Size of the motor book allows for medium level of pricing
sophistication (i.e. good use of relativities and interactions but
not very granular) Product is largely undifferentiated Good inbound
call capability which are now brand focused (i.e. historically the
Suncorp and GIO call centres were combined resulting in poor
service levels during the storm season) Discounts offered if taken
together with home and contents insurance Largest insurance brand
in NSW with a focus on attacking AAMI by promoting ease of
switching Positioned as the insurer that is easy to do business
with and gives greater choice Product is largely undifferentiated
but more modular than competitors (e.g. select options such as car
after an accident) with a focus on multi-policy discounts, which is
a defensive tactic used by market leaders Discounts offered if
taken together with home and contents insurance Less efficient
claims model with limited cross-channel capabilities, but in the
process of being rejuvenated Has a