the Great acceleration de International Geosphere-Biosphere Programme

Preview:

Citation preview

The Great Acceleration

Population

US Bureau of the Census (2000) International databaseIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Total real GDP

Nordhaus (1997) The economics of new goods. University of Chicago PressIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Foreign direct investment

World Bank (2002) data and statisticsIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Damming of rivers

World Commission on Dams (2000)IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Water use

Shiklomanov (1990) Global Water ResourcesIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Fertiliser consumption

International Fertilizer Industry Association (2002)IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Urban population

The State of the World’s Cities (2001)IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Paper consumption

Pulp and paper international (1993)IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Motor vehicles

Global environmental outlook (2000)IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Telephones

Canning (2001) A database of world infrastructure stocks, 1950-95 World BankIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

International tourism

World Tourism Organization (2001) Tourism industry trendsIGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Shrimp farm production

IAnnual shrimp production as a proxy for coastal zone alteration. Sources: WRI (2003) A guide to world resources, 2002-2004

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Domesticated land

Amount of land converted to pasture and cropland. Source: Klein Goldewijk and Battjes (1997) National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM). Bilthoven, Netherlands

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Planetary response

Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration

Etheridge et al. Geophys Res 101: 4115-4128IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Atmospheric nitrous oxide concentration

Machida et al Geophys Res Lett 22:2921-2925IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Atmospheric methane concentration

Blunier et al J Geophy Res 20: 2219-2222IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Northern hemisphere average surface temperature

Mann et al Geophys Res Lett 26(6): 759-762IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Ozone depletion

percentage total column ozone loss over Antarctica, using the average annual total column ozone, 330, as a base. Image: J.D. Shanklin, British Antarctic Survey

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Tropical rainforest and woodland loss

Loss of tropical rainforest and woodland, as estimated for tropical Africa, Latin America and South and Southeast Asia. Sources: Richards (1990) In: The Earth as transformed by human action, Cambridge

University Press IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Natural climatic disasters

Decadal frequency of great floods (one-in-100-year events) after 1860 for basins larger than 200 000 km2 with observations that span at least 30 years. Source: Milly et al. (2002) Nature 415:514-517 IGBP synthesis:

Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Fisheries exploitation

Percentage of global fisheries either fully exploited, overfished or collapsed. Source: FAOSTAT (2002) Statistical databases

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Coastal zone nitrogen flux

Model-calculated partitioning of the human-induced nitrogen perturbation fluxes in the global coastal margin for the period since 1850. Source: Mackenzie et al. (2002) Chem. Geology 190:13-32

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Biodiversity loss

Mathematically calculated rate of extinction. Source: Wilson (1992) The diversity of life, the Penguin Press.IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Great acceleration

IGBP synthesis: Global Change and the Earth System, Steffen et al 2004

Recommended