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SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
San Francisco Transportation Plan Update
Updating the Transportation Blueprintfor San Francisco’s Future
Fall 2010
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 2
San Francisco Transportation Plan (SFTP):The transportation “big picture”
Purpose: Establish San Francisco’s transportation goals and priorities for the next 25 years.
Periodically updated to address changing conditions
Addresses all aspects of transportation from high speed rail to walking, and all services: BART, Caltrain, Muni, etc.
Why do long range planning?If we don’t plan now, others will plan for us
To implement San Francisco’s goals and policy objectives
To prioritize the many needs within limited resources
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 3
The SFTP is for both neighborhoods and policymakers, the start of changes large and small
Modal Plans:Bicycle Plan, Transit
Effectiveness Project, Better Streets Plan
SFTransportation
Plan
Major Projects & Plans
Neighborhood Plans & Projects
General Plan Transportation
Element
Climate Action Plan
Hayes 2-way ConversionSignal Timing/UpgradesTraffic Calming Projects
Parklets
Bicycle lanesTransit Preferential Streets
Pedestrian Curb extensions
Octavia BoulevardPresidio Parkway (Doyle Drive)
Van Ness BRTGeary BRT
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 4
2004 Transportation Plan highlights
SF’s first countywide transportation plan
Investment programTransit expansion through a new mode: BRT network
Continued local funding for transportation: Prop K sales tax
Strategic InitiativesNeighborhood-scale transportation planning
Manage the transportation system through price signals
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 5
Key initiatives and accomplishments:Capital Projects
T-Third Light Rail
Presidio Parkway (Doyle Drive)
Octavia Boulevard
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 6
Key initiatives and accomplishments:Modal networks and improvements
Bike network improvements
Traffic calming
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 7
Key initiatives and accomplishments:New programs and policies
Parking policy changes - SFpark
Peak period congestion management study –Mobility, Access, and Pricing Study (MAPS)
Streets as public spaces - parklets
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 8
What will the San Francisco Transportation Plan include?
Phase 1 – Vision and goals, identify existing and projected future conditions
Phase 2 – Identify key transportation needs and opportunities
Phase 3 – Develop and evaluate possible investments and policies
Phase 4 – Recommend package of improvements
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 9
19%
59%
21%29%
31%
39%
Transit
Auto
Non Motorized
Needs and Opportunities:A Transit-First City where transit is not the first choice
Share of Trips during the PM peak taken by:
CitywideDowntown
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 10
Mode Share Comparison(daily trips to/from/within, all trip purposes)
51%
33%
52%
37%
33%
59%
19%
35%
15%
25%
30%
18%
30%
32%
33%
38%
37%
23%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Boston
Barcelona
Copenhagen
Amsterdam
New York City
Auto Transit Non-Motorized
San Francisco
Mode Share: San Francisco vs. Other Cities
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 11
Needs and Opportunities: Congestion impacts transit speeds
The average transit trip covers a shorter distance than the average auto trip, yet takes up to 2.6x longer
Travel speeds on many streets operating below 10 mphgreater impacts on transit’s proposed Rapid Network
Transit Speeds, Spring 2009** Auto LOS, Spring 2009*
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 12
Needs and Opportunities: Service delivered, but not always reliably
56.9%
72.3%
Performance Goal: 85.0%
96.6%Del ivery Goal :
98.5%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 Q1 FY10 Q2
Frequency Performance Schedule Performance Scheduled Service Hours Delivered
Muni Service Standards Reporting
Source: SFMTA Prop E reporting
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 13
Courtesy: SF Planning Department
New Households Expected by 2035
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 14
Courtesy: SF Planning Department
New Jobs Expected by 2035
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 15
Our population is diverse, with increasingly diverse needs
In 2035, greater shares of the population will be young or old (under 19 or over 65)—32% today, 40% by 2035
We know that today…
11% of SF residents live below poverty line
10% of SF residents say they don’t speak English well
3+ auto households are concentrated in the southeast
Percent of households with 0 cars (left)Percent of households with 3+ cars (right)
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 16
With more than 400,000 new car trips by 2035,Expect more congestion, more delays
Growth in Auto Trips by Market, 2010- 2035Circles indicate change in trips beginning or ending in that district.
Lines indicate increase in trips between the two areas connected by the line
Red indicates an overall increase, darker indicates larger increases
Blue indicates an overall decrease
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 17
With more than 400,000 new car trips by 2035,Expect more congestion, more delays
~20% increase in Bay Bridge crossings (daily & PM peak)
~10% decrease in Golden Gate Bridge crossings (PM peak outbound )
>37% increase in county line crossings(daily & PM peak)
>100% increase inCaltrain ridership (daily & PM peak )
60 - 80% increase in BART ridership @ countyline(daily & PM peak )
~20% increase in BART ridership(daily & PM peak)
Growth in Auto Trips by Market, 2010- 2035
>15% increase in Sam Trans ridership @countyline(daily & PM peak )
Expected growth in car trips is more than the combined volume of Bay Bridge and Golden Gate Bridge crossings today
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 18
Four Core Goals for the Future
Create a more livable and
equitable city
Improve environmental
quality
Provide world-class
infrastructure
Strengthen our economic
competitiveness
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 19
Evaluating the goals: “What would it take” to achieve these goals?
Create a more livable and
equitable city
Improve environmental
quality
Provide world-class
infrastructure
Strengthen our economic
competitivenessReduce auto mode share below 50%
Attract more employees and
residents
Achieve greenhouse gas
reduction mandates
Bring our system to a
state of good repair
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 20
Important trend in economic competitiveness:San Francisco job growth flat compared to the Bay Area
425,000
925,000
1,425,000
1,925,000
2,425,000
2,925,000
3,425,000
3,925,000
4,425,000
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
759,212679,349
747,676
655,019
Courtesy: SF Planning
Bay Area
San Francisco
Commute travel time and cost for SF workers vs regional workers
Auto::transit travel time
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 21
Only 20% of San Francisco streets in “good” pavement condition
Resurfacing and reconstruction of streets costs 10-50x more than regular maintenance
Important trend in world-class infrastructure:Pay now or pay more later
Cost of Deferred Road Maintenance
Pavement Condition
Good
Adequate
Poor
Worst
Total
Source: SF DPW
Type of Repair Needed
Cost/Block% of San Francisco
Blocks
None ‐ 20%
Maintenance $9,000 31%
Resurfacing $97,800 30%
Reconstruction $436,400 19%
100%
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 22
Important trend in environmental quality:Technology changes are not enough
Source: SF-CHAMP, MVSTAFF
San Francisco Greenhouse Gas Trends vs. Goals (Surface Transportation GHGs only)
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1990 2000 2010 2020 2030
Metric
Ton
s/Day
(1,000s)
2035
Trend
Trend w/technology
Goal
-Technology trend includes Pavley and Low Carbon Fuel Standard State mandates
-Includes all SF trips, and ½ of trips that begin or end in SF
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 23
Important trend in livability & equity:Increased VMT related to increased collisions
How easily can San Franciscans access goods and services within their neighborhoods?
How often do San Franciscans walk and bike?
Source: SWITRS, DPH, SFMTA Collision Report, 2008
Pedestrian Incidents, 2004-2008
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 24
Defining “Livability” Kickoff Contest
To launch the To launch the SFTP, the Authority organized a contest: “In six words, what does livability mean to you?” This word cloud displays responses received, where larger words were included in more definitions.
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 25
Defining “Livability” Kickoff Contest
Accessible places, natural spaces, minimal traces. –winning entry
Serendipitous encounter… dependable rendezvous… spontaneous excursion. –runner-up
Living, working, playing, all in reach. –runner-up
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 26
The SFTP can shape a different future
Business as usual falls short of our vision But it doesn’t have to be that way…
New projects or programs can help achieve our vision:BRT lines and dedicated lanes – can improve transit reliability
bicycle facilities – to improve connectivity and safety
traffic calming -- to improve pedestrian safety
congestion pricing – to improve drive and transit travel times
parking reform – to improve availability
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 27
Where do we go from here?
Phase I: Background and contextProject launch, goals, existing conditions, projectionsUntil October 2010
Phase II: Issues and optionsSpecific concerns, needs, options, challenges, opportunitiesBrainstorm potential projects and strategiesNovember 2010 to March 2011
Phase III: Draft planRefine projects and strategies; define alternativesApril 2011 to September 2011
Phase IV: Final planPreferred alternative; implementation strategyOctober 2011 to March 2012
Ongoing neighborhood
and stakeholder meetings
Coordination with agency staff
Public workshops and webinars
Surveys and focus groups
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY 28
How to be involved
Attend meetings of the SFTP Community Advisory Committee
Request or attend presentations to neighborhood groups
Participate in webinars
Get updates at www.MoveSmartSF.com
Find us on www.facebook.com/MoveSmartSF
Follow us on twitter.com/SanFranciscoTA
Call (415) 593-1670 or email us (MoveSmartSF@sfcta.org)
Take our survey! www.surveymonkey.com/s/sftp
SAN FRANCISCO COUNTY TRANSPORTATION AUTHORITY
Thank you!
MoveSmartSF.comMoveSmartSF@sfcta.org
(415) 593-1670www.facebook.com/movesmartsf
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