Amazon case

Deforestation and Forest Fires in the Brazilian

Amazon My Sellberg & Pau Torrents

Population Growth & Migration

Climate change

Food demandBio-fuel demand

Amazon deforestation

Grassing land for cattle

Agriculture land

Pests

Droughts & Fires

Water cycle changes

Rainfall decrease

Run-off regulation changes

Biodiversity loss

Decrease CO2-release from atmosphere

Soil CO2 emission increase

2

1

Timber demand Road construction

Globalized Market National development policy

Actors and their roles

Local communities

Local authorities

Brazil Federal Government

Local and regional associations National NGOs &

NGO associations

International NGOs

Companies

Multinational Corporations

Epistemic communities of scientists

UN organizations

World Bank

INTERNATIONAL

NATIONAL

REGIONAL

Farmers, ranchers &

loggersMedia

Celebrities

Research institutes

State coalitions

Institutions

Local:Property rightsProtected areasMulti-actor arrangementsInformation systems (environmental indicators)Traditional institutions for management

Institutions

National:Taxation schemes and subsidiesPolicies – environmental and developmentDecentralization of decision-makingLaw and enforcementForest concession system

Institutions

International:Green certificationsCarbon-trading, REDD & CDMMulti-actor arrangements

Capacity to deal with changeSpatial misfits

Xingu Indigenous ParkGlobal indirect drivers

Threshold effectsRainforest – savanna

Cascading effectsSoy as substitute for fish meal

Xingu Indigenous Park

Capacity to deal with change

Capacity to deal with changeThe situation room – a Bridging organization?

Bridging science and managementSpreading information to a network of actorsCoordinating effortsToo narrow?

Conclusions

• From government to governance• Global problems need international

institutions – REDD?• Situation room in Acre – a ”non-

misfit”?

Questions

• How should Brazilian government deal with global drivers of change? What is their responibility?

• Is it possible to form effective international institutions (e.g. REDD)? How will they be implemented and enforced?

• How could the Xingu Indigenous Park deal with the social-ecological misfit?