Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och 44-åringar, samt om ett brev som gjorde skillnad

Per Olof Arnäs Logistikforskare, Chalmers

!per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se

@Dr_PO logistikfokus.se

Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och

44-åringar, samt om ett brev som gjorde skillnad

"book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

Vilka uppgifter har universiteten egentligen?

"book-tower-experts illustration" by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

not quite clear on the concept by woodleywonderworks on Flickr (CC-BY)

Uppgift 1: Skapa ny kunskap

Bild: J-O Axell

Uppgift 2: Förmedla kunskap

Uppgift 3: Samverkan med samhället

I högskolornas uppgift ska ingå att samverka med det omgivande samhället och informera om sin verksamhet samt verka för att forskningsresultat tillkomna vid högskolan kommer till nytta.

! - Högskolelagen, Lag 2009:45

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Framtidens transporter

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Framtidens transporter

Tävling för årskurs 7-8

Bygg och presentera en

modell

Partners

10 000 kr + en övernattning i hajtunneln!

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

30 klasser Framtidsdag

Utställning

Rådslag

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Vinnarna Nordlyckeskolan 8A

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Bild: Caroline Örmgård, Chalmers

Men…

Vad tror jag om framtidens

transporter, då?

Stage Coach Wheel by arbyreed on Flickr

Development of transportation technology has been

fairly linear

…for the last 5500 years

We are in the middle of a gigantic exponential development curve

beginning

A new global eco system where new types of, knowledge based,

industries compete with traditional ones

http://jaysimons.deviantart.com/art/Map-of-the-Internet-1-0-427143215

Startups don’t compete with airlines...

by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots

and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.

Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

Startups compete with airlines by inventing videoconferencing.

Startups don’t compete with airlines...

by purchasing a bunch of planeshiring a bunch of pilots

and locking up a bunch of terminals at airports.

Quote: bryce.vc/post/18404303850/the-problem-with-innovation Image: Connecting the community, my Twitter strategy, and American Airlines at DFW by Trey Ratcliff on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

Increasing freight transport demand

http://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/figures/freight-transport-activity-growth-for-eu-25

EU-25

Business processes

Infra- structure

Paper based Phone

Papers

Road signsAnalogue

tools

RDS

Monitor fuel

cosnumption

Digitization version 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

E-m

ail

Fax

TMS

-

systems

Excel

Route planning

GPS for n

avigatio

n

Electro

nically

genera

ted

freig

ht docum

ents

Barcodes

RFI

D-t

ags

Simple order handling

Advanced order handling

Open interface

Web based U

I

Platform based

systems

Hardw

are-

oriented

Data collection

systems

(prop

rietary)

Com

munication w

ith

vehicles

E-invoice

Web based

booking

Route optimisation

Th

e so

cia

l web

Open connectivity

Integrated

prognosis

Data collection

systems (open)

Tolling

systems

Webservices with

traffic data

Dyn

amic

ro

utin

g sy

stem

s

Pe

rform

an

ce

Ba

sed

ac

ce

ss

Pe

rfo

rma

nc

e

Ba

sed

ac

ce

ss

Mas

hups

Mul

tiple

dat

a so

urce

s

Pro

be

dat

a

Individual

routin

g

inform

ation

Platooning

PlatooningExceptions handling

Sm

art g

ood

s

Manual

Computers

Software

Functions

Dis

trib

uted

deci

sion

m

akin

g

Goods as bi-

directio

nal

hyperlink

Paper based

CC-BY Per Olof Arnäs, Chalmers

Goods VehicleBarcodes  

RFID  Sensors

ERP systems  TMS systems  

E-invoices  Cloudbased

services

Order handling  Driver support  Vehicle economics

RDS-TMC  Road taxes  Active traffic support

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515Source: Gartner August 2013

Augmenting humans with technology

Machines replacing humans

Humans and machines working

alongside each other

Machines better

understanding humans and the

environment

Humans better understanding

machines

Machines and humans

becoming smarter

Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies

Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515Source: Gartner August 2013

?

Transportation/logistics?

Gartners Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies

http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2575515Source: Gartner August 2013

Opportunities!

Digitization

New technology

Political

interest

Quad Aces by fitzsean on Flickr

Increasing goods volumes

smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)

Speculative shipping

http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767

http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/14-01-21-1.php?cid=7767

Speculative shipping Package item(s) as a package for

eventual shipment to a delivery address

Associate unique ID with package

Select destination geographic area for package

Ship package to selected distribution geographic area without completely

specifying delivery address

Orders satisfied by item(s)

received?

Package redirected?

Determine package location

Convey delivery address, package ID to delivery location

Assign delivery address to package

Deliver package to delivery address

Convey indication of new destination geographic area and package ID to

current location

Yes

Yes

No

No

smile! by Judy van der Velden (CC-BY,NC,SA)

Strategic Tactical Operational Predictive

Time horizons

We are approaching this boundary

…and we are starting to move past it!

Real-time!

En la cima! by Alejandro Juárez on Flickr (CC-BY)

3 mountaintops to climb…

Challenges

The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)

Cross-disciplinary

Cross-industries

Cross-borders

Someone must do the work

The Challenger by Martín Vinacur on Flickr (CC-BY)

Brevet (som gjorde skillnad)

Brevet (som gjorde skillnad)

Hej! Förlåt om jag stör men jag tänkte bara på det om Chalmers, om det finns någon möjlighet att bara kika in. Jag skulle tycka att det skulle vara otroligt kul att möjligtvis lära

mer, jag älskar verkligen tekniska lösningar, no, ma m.m. Förstår verkligen om det inte är möjligt men tack på förhand

ändå :) // Josefine

Dagen efter besöket kom ytterligare ett mejl:

”Jag vet absolut vilket universitet jag ska välja, i framtiden!!!”

"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

How can we help?

"book-tower-experts illustration” and ” Books-stack illustration” by Frits Ahlefeldt-Laurvig on Flickr (CC-BY,NC,SA)

How can we help?

Per Olof Arnäs per-olof.arnas@chalmers.se

@Dr_PO logistikfokus.se

Om framtidens transporter enligt 14- och 44-åringar, samt

om ett brev som gjorde skillnad