GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE. AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER...

GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE:AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK DEMONSTRATION OF THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL

FRAMEWORK 1A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE

ON GLOBAL DISASTERS

AND DISASTER RESILIENCE

1. SCOPEFROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS

TO A DISASTER

TO

DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES

THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF

“THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

A DISASTER is ---

--- the set of failures that occur when the continuums of: 1)  people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) recurring events (e.g., landslides, volcanic eruptions, floods, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time, when and where the community is not ready.   

THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS

• PEOPLE (7+ Billion and counting)

• COMMUNITIES• RECURRING EVENTS

(AKA Natural Hazards, which are proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)

PEOPLE = INNOVATION PEOPLE = INNOVATION

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

200 NATIONS AND 7+

BILLION PEOPLE

NORTH AMERICA

NORTH AMERICA

CARIBBEAN BASIN

CARIBBEAN BASIN

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

SUB-SAHARAAFRICA

MEDITER-RANEAN

MEDITER-RANEAN

ISLAND NATIONS ISLAND NATIONS

ASIA ASIA

SOUTHAMERICASOUTH

AMERICA

EUROPEEUROPE

INTERSECTION OF THESE CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE

SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE A DISASTER,

AND SOME WON’T

THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM

• 7 + BILLION (DISTRIBUTED THROUGHOUT

THE WORLD)

LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: A CONTINUUM OF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS

LIKE A CHAIN: A CONTINUUM HAS WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE

FOUR UNIVERSAL WEAK-LINKS

• IGNORANCE• APATHY• DISCIPLINARY

BOUNDARIES• LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM: (SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE)

• GOVERNMENT• DWELLINGS• SCHOOLS• HEALTH CARE

FACILITIES• BUSINESSES• INFRA-

STRUCTURE• ETC

EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE READY FOR THE INEVITABLE

INTERSECTION THAT WILL CHALLENGE ITS STATE-OF-RESILIENCE

THE RECURRING - EVENTS CONTINUUM

• LANDSLIDES• FLOODS• SEVERE

WINDSTORMS• EARTHQUAKES• DROUGHTS

• ETC.

RECURRING VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS

RECURRING EARTHQUAKES

RECURRING TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS, HURRICANES, AND CYCLONES

RECURRING FLOODS

RECURRING WILDFIRES (Makes a locale susceptible to landslides)

CURRENT KNOWLEDGE

IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL, EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR,

STATISTICAL, FUZZY, PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND THEORETICAL MODELS

HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND UNCERTAINTIES

FRAMEWORK 2A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION

OF KNOWLEDGE FORTHE END GAME OF

DISASTER RESILIENCE IN THE 21ST CENTURY

POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE

Anticipatory Preparedness

Adoption and Implementation of Realistic Urban Plans, Building Codes & Standards

Monitoring and Timely Early Warning

Timely Emergency Response (including Evacuation and Emergency Medical Services)

Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction

YOUR COMMUNITY

YOUR COMMUNITYDATA BASES

AND INFORMATIONDATA BASES AND INFORMATION

HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

• FLOODS • SEVERE WIND

STORMS• EARTHQUAKES …

ETC

A DISASTER

CAUSES

FAILURES IN POLICIES

FAILURES IN PRACTICES

COUNTER MEASURES

• BEST POLICIES• BEST PRACTICES

DISASTER RESILIENCE

THE END GAME CHALLENGE:BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES

INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE

BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES

WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS,

AND IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE

PEOPLE/COMMUNITY CONTINUUMS

BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY

AND STRATEGIC PLANNING

BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL

CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY

AND STRATEGIC PLANNING

THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS ---

a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is increased, b) Physical and organizational VULNERABILITIES in the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and c) Each people-community-hazard INTERSECTION is met successfully.

LANDSLIDES

INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS

USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A

BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)

INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESS

USE GLOBAL LANDSLIDE DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A

BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)

SITING AND BUILDING ON UNSTABLE SLOPES

LANDSLIDESLANDSLIDES

SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO FALLS

SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO TOPPLES

SOIL AND ROCK SUCEPTIBLE TO SPREADS

SOIL AND ROCK SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOWS

PRECIPITATION THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE SHAKING

GROUND SHAKING THAT TRIGGERS SLOPE FAILURE

CAUSES OF DAMAGE

CAUSES OF DAMAGE

GLOBAL

DISASTER LABORATORIES

GLOBAL

DISASTER LABORATORIES

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE

EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER RESILIENCE

• FORECASTS OF SLOPE FAILURE

• MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., THE ISS; SATTELITES; SENSORS IN LOCAL ACTIVE SLIDES)

• WARNING SYSTEMS

• FORECASTS OF SLOPE FAILURE

• MONITORING TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., THE ISS; SATTELITES; SENSORS IN LOCAL ACTIVE SLIDES)

• WARNING SYSTEMS

• DATABASES FOR EACH LANDSLIDE

• COMPUTER MODELS OF SPECIFIC LANDSLIDES

• HAZARD MAPS • DISASTER

PLANNING SCENARIOS

• RISK ASSESSMENT MODELS

• DATABASES FOR EACH LANDSLIDE

• COMPUTER MODELS OF SPECIFIC LANDSLIDES

• HAZARD MAPS • DISASTER

PLANNING SCENARIOS

• RISK ASSESSMENT MODELS

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

• PURPOSE• PREVENTION• IDENTIFICATION OF

SPECIFIC RISKS • IDENTIFICATION OF

LANDSLIDES AFTER STORMS OR EARTHQUAKES

• PURPOSE• PREVENTION• IDENTIFICATION OF

SPECIFIC RISKS • IDENTIFICATION OF

LANDSLIDES AFTER STORMS OR EARTHQUAKES

• TECHNIQUE• RETAINING WALLS

(LOCAL SCALE)• USE OF SITE-

SPECIFIC DATA • USE OF REMOTE

SENSING TECHNOLOGIES

• TECHNIQUE• RETAINING WALLS

(LOCAL SCALE)• USE OF SITE-

SPECIFIC DATA • USE OF REMOTE

SENSING TECHNOLOGIES

SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS

SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIFIC RISKS

• INTEGRATION OF SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA DURING CON-STRUCTION OF A HIGHWAY CAN PREVENT FUTURE LOSS OF FUNCTION FROM LANDSLIDES.

• INTEGRATION OF SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA DURING CON-STRUCTION OF A HIGHWAY CAN PREVENT FUTURE LOSS OF FUNCTION FROM LANDSLIDES.

SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIIC RISKS

SITE-SPECIFIC IDENTIFICATION OF SPECIIC RISKS

• LOSS OF FUNCTION IS REDUCED WHEN SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA ARE WELL INTEGRATED.

• LOSS OF FUNCTION IS REDUCED WHEN SITE-SPECIFIC GEOLOGIC AND ENGINEERING DATA ARE WELL INTEGRATED.

MEXICO: REMOTE SENSING AFTER HEAVY RAINS, JULY 2007

CHINA: IDENTIFICATION OF EARTHQUAKE LAKE, MAY 12, 2008

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

• PURPOSE• STABALIZE

HAZARDOUS SLOPES

• AVOID SPECIFIC LANDSLIDE HAZARDS

• PURPOSE• STABALIZE

HAZARDOUS SLOPES

• AVOID SPECIFIC LANDSLIDE HAZARDS

• TECHNIQUE• SITE MODIFI-

CATION• MAPS OF

SPECIFIC HAZARDS: LAND USE ZONING ORDINANCES

• TECHNIQUE• SITE MODIFI-

CATION• MAPS OF

SPECIFIC HAZARDS: LAND USE ZONING ORDINANCES

CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS SLOPES, MAY 12, 2008

CHINA: STABALIZE HAZARDOUS SLOPES. MAY 12, 2008

CHINA: CREATION OF DIVERSION

CHANNEL, MAY 12, 2008

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

DISASTER RESILIENCE STRATEGIES FOR LANDSLIDES

• PURPOSE• SEARCH AND

RESCUE• EVACUATION

• PURPOSE• SEARCH AND

RESCUE• EVACUATION

• TECHNIQUE• COMMUNITY

EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN

• COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN

• TECHNIQUE• COMMUNITY

EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN

• COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN

HONDURAS: SEARCH AND RESCUE

• WHEN A MUDFLOW TRIGGERED BY A HURRICANE BURIES A TOWN, SEARCH AND RESCUE BECOMES VERY URGENT AND VERY COMPLICATED.

CHINA: SEARCH AND RESCUE: MAY 12, 2008

LANDSLIDE DEBRIS REMOVAL: COM-MUNITY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PLAN

AN URGENT NEED FOR EVACUATION AS LANDSLIDES DAM RIVER

Evacuation needed! The rising lake of water behind the debris dam threatened to break through its banks and send a wall of water into the entire epicentral area.

TANGJIASHAN, LARGEST OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES"

ONE OF 69 "QUAKE LAKES": BEI HE RIVER DAMMED BY LANDSLIDE DEBRIS

CHINA: THOUSANDS EVACUATE

•Warned by government officials, survivors in Beichuan (100 km; 60 miles south) and other towns down river evacuated as fast as possible, using all available means.

CHINA: EVACUATION, MAY 12, 2008:

TEMPORARY SHELTERS: COMMUNITY EVACUATION PLAN