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HIGHLIGHTS • uring 1Q 2014, office absorption in eight major cities was recorded at around 8 MN SF, 7% up from last quarter. •Bangalore and NCR topped the chart contributing 75% in the total absorption. •All markets, with the exception of Mumbai, Chennai and Pune, have witnessed increase in office absorption. •With positive signals emanating from the global economy, which finds resonance in our improved export performance, we anticipate further improvement in sentiments after the elections
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O�ce Property Market OverviewINDIAApril 2014
research & forecast reportSYDNEY CENTRAL BUSINESS DISTRICTResearch & Forecast ReportIndia I Office | April 2014
2 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers Internationalwww.colliers.com
Mar-13 Mar-14
repo rate 7.50% 8.00%
crr 4.00% 4.00%
WpI1 5.65% 4.68%
pLr2 9.70%-10.25% 10.00%-10.25%
Deposit rate3 7.50%-9.00% 8.00%-9.25%
exchange rate
INr - UsD 54.28 61.35
INr- eUro 70.37 85.34
Mar-13 Mar-14 YoY % Change
Gold 29,348 30,382 3.52%
silver 53,859 46,262 -14.11%
equity
(Bse sensex)19,428 21,810 12.26%
realty Index 2,048 1,388 -32.25%
retUrN oN aLterNatIve INvestmeNts
MACRO ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
India’s economic growth decreased to •4.7% in 4Q 2013 from 4.8% in 3Q 2013. On a positive note, the Business Confidence Index (BCI) rose to 54.9 in 4Q 2013 from 45.7 in the previous quarter showing an increase in business confidence levels.
The volatility in the rupee exchange rate •has reduced significantly in the surveyed quarter ensuring continued foreign institutional investor interest in Indian financial securities.
Net export figures reflecting both export •growth and import compression suggest that export-led sectors such as information technology and pharmaceuticals are performing better in 2014.
About 8 million sq ft. of office space was •leased across the eight major cities in India showing a 7% increase on QoQ basis. All markets, with the exception of Mumbai, Chennai and Pune, have witnessed increase in office absorption. Bangalore and NCR topped the chart contributing 75% in the total absorption.
COLLIERS VIEW : Occupiers are looking beyond the CBD and SBD markets for more strategic opportunities. In 2014, we should see a continuation of this trend, as players in search of more cost-effective solutions will move towards the PBD. With positive signals emanating from the global economy, which finds resonance in our improved export performance, we anticipate that after the elections, the office market will start seeing a revival in terms of absorption, supply and new project launches.
ecoNomIc Barometer
source: colliers International India research
Note: all values in the above tables are as on 15th of march 2013 and 20141 Wholesale price Index2 sBI prime Lending rate3 sBI interest rate < INr 1 crore term Deposits for ≤1 Year
INr
cror
e
Jan-
09
Jan-
10
Jan-
11
Jan-
12
Jan-
13
Jan-
14
apr-
09
apr-
10
apr-
11
apr-
12
apr-
13
Jul-0
9
Jul-1
0
Jul-1
1
Jul-1
2
Jul-1
3
oct
-10
oct
-11
oct
-12
oct
-13
oct
-09
Business confidence Index
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
0
2,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
8,000
10,000
4,000
6,000
2008
-09
2012
-13
apr
-Jan
201
4
2010
-11
2011
-12
2009
-10
2005
-06
2006
-07
2007
-08
fDI in real estate
Bse sensex realty Index* rebase to 100
Bse sensex & realty Index
90
80
100
110
60
70
50
120
130
1-Ja
n-14
12-J
an-1
4
23-J
an-1
4
3-fe
b-14
14-f
eb-1
4
25-f
eb-1
4
8-m
ar-1
4
19-m
ar-1
4
30-m
ar-1
4
In p
erce
ntag
e
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
Jan
- m
ar 0
9
apr
- Ju
n 09
Jul -
sep
09
oct
- D
ec 0
9
Jan
- m
ar 1
0
apr
- Ju
n 10
Jul -
sep
10
oct
- D
ec 1
0
Jan
- m
ar 1
2
apr
-Jun
13
Jul -
sep1
3
oct
-De
c13
Jan
- m
ar 1
3
oct
- D
ec 1
2
Jun
- se
p 12
oct
- D
ec 1
1
Jul -
sep
11
apr
- Ju
n 11
Jan
- m
ar 1
1
Gross Domestic product at factor cost
0.0%
2.0%
apr
- Ju
n 12
3
During 1Q 2014, the Mumbai office •markets witnessed a further decline in office space absorption indicating cautious occupier sentiment. This lack of demand can be attributed to a low level of IT/ITeS sector participation in the overall absorption, which is currently the primary demand generating sector across the cities.
This quarter only about 0.42 million sq •ft of Grade A office space was leased with a few mid-sized deals concluded in Central and Western Suburbs, and Navi Mumbai.
Construction activities remained slow. •No projects / phases of projects were completed this quarter. Developers also refrained from launching new projects due to low demand.
More than 7.5 million sq ft of Grade A •commercial office space was available for fit-out during the surveyed quarter of which, about 80% was concentrated in micro-markets like Andheri East, Lower Parel, BKC and Thane / LBS Road. Vacancy remained almost stable due to the limited addition of new supply. Rents and capital values for Grade A office space remained stable in all of the micro-markets.
COLLIERS VIEW:• Sectors like BFSI and FMCG, have become cautious in office uptake. This coupled with reduced IT/ITeS absorption is likely to result in lower demand in 2014. Rents and capital values are thus expected to remain stable; however, micro-markets such as Andheri, BKC (Bandra-Kurla-Complex) and Lower Parel could see an upward movement in the range of 1 - 2% QoQ due to continued interest from the occupiers.
Mumbai
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYcBD 226 - 260 0% 0%
andheri east 91 - 125 0% 0%
BKc 226 - 320 0% 1%
Lower parel 141 - 180 0% 0%
malad 81 - 90 0% 1%
Navi mumbai 56 - 75 0% 1%
powai 101 - 120 0% 0%
Worli/ prabhadevi 176 - 225 0% 0%
Goregaon/ JvLr 81 - 110 0% 1%
Kalina 175 - 211 0% 0%
thane / LBs 51 - 100 0% 1%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
chromium tech-pro projects (KGa) 200,000 JvLr. off powai 2014
one BKc Wadhwa Developers 1,200,000 BKc 2015
Newa Bhakti Knowledge city park New tech city Group 600,000 airoli 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
Gs engineering Lodha ithink 30,000 thane Lease
merck pharma Lighthall 70,000 andheri east Lease
phillip capital Urmi estate 20,000 Lower parel Lease
temple packaging Lotus corporate park 20,000 Goregaon east Lease
teradata mindspace seZ 30,000 airoli Lease
andheri east 24%
thane / LBs 21%
cBD1%
Worli / prabhadevi
1%
Goregoan / JvLr
4%powai 4%Navi mumbai
2%malad6%
Lower parel 20%
BKc 15%
Kalina 2%
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14f
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
505,000
0 0
100
10,000
150
15,000
200
20,000
250
25,000
30,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN million sq.ft.
4 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Delhi witnessed improved demand as •office absorption nearly doubled this quarter amounting to approximately 0.3 million sq ft. Approximately 60% of this total absorption is contributed by large office space occupiers such as Moser Bear, Snapdeal and VFS Global. Remaining 40% of the leases were small office spaces (5,000 - 10,000 sq ft) occupied by the corporate offices of BFSI, airlines, real estate and media companies.
In the surveyed quarter, the city added •0.8 million sq ft of new, Grade A office supply. Projects contributing this supply were Hyatt Commercial Block by Asian Hotels in Bhikaji Cama Place; Ambience Tower by Ambience Developer in Rohini; and Prime Tower by DLF in Okhla Phase I.
The total Grade A supply available for fit-•out this quarter was about 2.5 million sq ft, mainly concentrated in Jasola, Saket and Connaught Place.
Average rent and capital values remained •unaltered during 1Q 2014, however some new buildings demanding above-market prices due to their premium location and amenities offered.
COLLIERS VIEW:• Occupiers will remain cost-conscious and prefer small Grade A properties for their corporate offices in the CBD area. The upcoming new supply in Aero City near the airport is expected to have an impact on the market dynamics with nearly 0.9 million sq ft forecasted to get operational in 2014. The location is expected to attract a significant number of occupiers due to its advantageous location and availability of Grade A buildings with state-of-the-art amenities.
Delhi
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYconnaught place 175 - 450 -2% -12%
Nehru place 175 - 225 0% 8%
saket 160 - 190 6% 2%
Jasola 95 - 130 2% -7%
Netaji subhash 65 - 75 0% 0%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
NBcc plaza NBcc Ltd. 350,000 okhla 2014
NBcc redevelopment NBcc Ltd. 1,300,000 Kidwai Nagar 2016
parsvnath 27 parsvnath Ltd. 150,000 K.G. marg 2016
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
h&m India religare Building 11,500 saket Lease
LG electronics religare Building 24,150 saket Lease
moser Baer okhla phase 3 70,000 okhla Lease
snapdeal okhla phase 3 50,000 okhla Lease
vfs Global Bharti Worldmark 70,000 aero city sale
0.00
0.10
0.15
0.20
0.25
0.30
0.05
0.35
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
505,000
0 0
100
10,000
150
15,000
200
20,000
250
300
25,000
40,000
35,000
30,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
Jasola 34%
Nehru place 4%
saket 34%
connaught place 28%
million sq.ft.
5
In 1Q 2014, occupiers leased more than •1.6 million sq ft of Grade A office space in Gurgaon, a modest increase of 5% from last quarter. This marginal increase in the office space absorption figure is an indication of the reviving occupier confidence level.
IT/ITeS and BFSI were the most active •occupiers leasing large office spaces.
The total available stock for lease or sale •was approximately 16 million sq ft. New supply entering the market accounted for approximately 1.5 million sq ft. Projects contributing to this new supply include Palm Square and Eros Tower, located at Golf Course Extension Road; and Palm Spring Plaza and One Horizon Centre at Golf Course Road.
Projects launched this quarter include •Gateway by Unitech Ltd and Biosphere by Emmar MGF, both located on MG Road; and KST Tower by KST Group on the Dwarka Expressway. All of these projects will add approximately 1 million sq ft to the city’s Grade A inventory by 2018.
Rents and capital values remained flat •compared to last quarter. However, MG Road and the institutional sectors witnessed marginal decreases in the range of 1 to 3% QoQ. Limited availability of large floor plate Grade A office space resulted in low demand in these micro-markets
COLLIERS VIEW:• In 2014, it is likely that lease volumes will increase. Stock in cost-effective locations, like Golf Course Extension Road and Sohna Road, will be preferred, primarily because of occupiers interest in high-quality assets at cheaper rents.
Gurgaon
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYmG roaD 95 - 135 -2% -4%
Golf course rd 90 - 140 2% 18%
Institutional sect. (18,32,44) 50 - 65 0% -6%
Golf course rd ext./sohna rd 50 - 65 2% 2%
Nh8 50 - 125 0% 0%
manesar 40 - 42 0% 2%
DLf cyber city 78 - 80 0% 5%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
Biosphere emaar mGf 350,000 mG road 2018
Kst Kst Group 350,000 Dwarka expressway 2018
Unitech Gateway Unitech Ltd. 350,000 mG road 2018
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
accenture Unitech Infospace 120,986 sector 21, Dundahera Lease
aricent Group Unitech Infospace 550,000 sector 21, Dundahera Lease
copal partners plot 267 120,000 Udyog vihar - phase 2 Lease
oracle one horizon centre 90,000 Golf course road Lease
WNs DLf silokhera 145,000 Nh-8 Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
0.60
1.00
0.80
1.40
1.20
1.80
1.60
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14f
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
20 2,000
0 0
40 4,000
60 6,000
100
80 8,000
120
10,000
12,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
mG road 5%Golf course road
11%
DLf cyber city4%
Institutional sec-tors (sec44, 32, 18)
3%
manesar 25%
National highway 817%
Udyog vihar & Industrial sectors
4%
Golf course road ext./sohna road
31%
million sq.ft.
6 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
The total volume of office absorption •in 1Q 2014 in NOIDA was recorded at 0.21 million sq. ft. dominated mostly by consulting, Engineering and BFSI segments in sector 62 and Sector 127. Share of sector 62 in the total absorption pie has increased as corporate are able to get better deals with more options at competitive rentals.
The delivery of World Trade Tower in •Sector 16 and two individual buildings in Sectors 6 and 125 contributed approximately 0.9 million sq ft of new space to the market.
Despite low absorption levels, •developers continued to launch new, commercial Grade A towers in their mixed-use projects in sectors along the NOIDA Expressway. New launches this quarter include Downtown by Sikka Developer, and Cosmic Corporate Park III by Cosmic Developers. These projects will contribute another 1.5 million sq ft of Grade A non-IT office space to the city’s inventory by 2019.
Rents in almost all micro markets •remained stable due to low transaction volumes. Sectors along the NOIDA Expressway command premiums in terms of rents due to the location and connectivity advantages.
COLLIERS VIEW:• NOIDA is expected to witness new office space completions of approximately 4.5 mn sq. ft. by the end of 2014. Most of this upcoming supply is non-IT/ITeS office space. The addition of Grade A non-IT/ITeS office space is expected to attract corporate occupiers to this market.
NOIDA
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYInstitutional sectors (Non It) 50 - 90 0% 5%
Institutional sectors (It) 30 - 75 0% 9%
comercial sectors 95 - 100 -5% 0%
Industrialsector 18 - 48 5% 20%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
cosmic corporate park III cosmic Group 500,000 sector 154 2016
Downtown sikka Group 450,000 sector 104 2019
K rasa - K8 K rasa 500,000 sector 129 2019
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
eGain India Unitech Infospace 11,000 sector 62 Lease
media tek s B tower 30,000 sector 16 Lease
rDB Insurance a-31 108,000 sector 64 Lease
tata consultancy engineering Ltd. Green Boulevard - tower B 15,785 sector 62 Lease
tata consultancy engineering Ltd. Green Boulevard - tower c 15,786 sector 62 Lease
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
1.00
0.80
1.20
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
20
102,000
0 0
40
304,000
50
6,000
70
60
8,000
80 12,000
10,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
commercial sectors (sec 18) (Grade B)
0.6%
Industrial sectors (sec. 1-9, 57-60, 63-65)
(Grade B) 15.8%
commercial sectors (sec 18) (Grade B)
0.2%
Institutional sectors (sec.16a, 62, 125-142
83.3%
million sq.ft.
7
In Chenani, leasing transaction volumes •continued to remain below average. Total absorption was 0.56 mn sq. ft. during the quarter. The majority of leases signed were for smaller, sub-25,000 sq ft office spaces. Micro-markets like Old Mahabali Puram Road and Guindy remained the standout performers this quarter. Having quality office space on offer combined with affordability has enabled these micro-markets to be preferred destinations for occupiers.
A few projects / phases of projects •were completed this quarter, including Ramaniyam ISHA by RamaniyamGroup at Thoraipakkam; KPR Towers at Nungambakkam; and VikramVikra at Vadapalani. All of these projects together add 0.09 million sq ft of Grade A office space to the city’s total inventory.
New project launches continued to •remain limited. A phase of about 0.25 million sq ft in DLF IT SEZ-Block 2, located at Manapakkam, was launched by DLF Ltd this quarter and is expected to be completed by the end of 2015.
The lack of major tenant moves and •expansions by large occupiers has seen rents continue to remain steady in almost all micro-markets.
COLLIERS VIEW:• The outlook for the leasing market across Chennai over the next 9 months is more positive than the previous two quarters. Improving sentiment and prospects for the global economy as well as rising business and consumer confidence should all combine to boost the sentiment of IT/ ITeS tenants who make up the bulk of tenants in Chennai.
Chennai
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYcBD 65 - 85 0% 0%
Guindy (sBD) 50 - 60 0% 0%
ambattur 25 - 30 0% 0%
omr (It corridor) 25 - 45 0% 8%
Gst road 35 - 40 0% 0%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
DLf It seZ - Block 2 DLf Ltd. 250,000 manapakkam 2015
Infinite square sKcL Ltd. 84,000 Guindy 2014
rajkamal suites Khivraj Group 66,000 Nugambakkam 2014
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
athena sp Infocity 65,000 omr Lease
cash edge prestige polygon 25,000 anna salai Lease
equitus spencer plaza 37,000 anna salai Lease
Isuzu prestige centre court 30,000 vadapalani Lease
Kone prestige centre court 30,000 vadapalani Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
1.00
0.60
0.80
1.40
1.60
1.20
1.80
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
101,000
2,000
3,000
5,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
7,000
0 0
20
30
40
70
60
50
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
Guindy (sBD)8%
cBD16%
Gst rd3%
velachery1%
omr (It corridor)47%
ambattur24%
million sq.ft.
8 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYcBD 80 - 100 0% 0%
hosur rd. 20 - 40 0% 0%
epIp Zone/ Whitefield 28 - 36 0% 16%
electronic city 23 - 32 0% -7%
Bannerghatta rd. 50 - 60 0% 8%
outer ring rd. 50 - 60 0% 3%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
pritech - Block 14 primal Group 600,000 orr - marathahalli sarjapur 2015
rmZ eco WorLD - appL - 4a rmZ corp 990,000 marathahalli sarjapur 2015
rmZ eco WorLD - appL - 7 rmZ corp 790,000 orr - marathahalli sarjapur 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
capgemini Divyasree technopark 440,000 Whitefield Lease
IBm embassy Business park 770,000 hebbal Lease
sony rmZ eco World 240,000 outer ring road Lease
tcs Global axis 300,000 Whitefield Lease
titan Industries Divyasree technopolis 163,000 Yamalur Lease
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
10 1,500
0 0
20 3,000
30 4,500
40 6,000
50
60
7,500
9,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
Strong demand for Grade A office space •witnessed during 1Q 2014 resulted in a 35% QoQ increase in absorption in the Bengaluru market. IT/ITeS remained the primary demand driver contributing approximately 80% in the total absorption of 3.8 million sq ft. This includes approximately 1.7 million sq ft pre-commitment deals from companies like IBM, Ericson and Hindustan Coca Cola Beverages for expansion purposes.
During the quarter, many large scaled •projects / phases of projects were completed and added over 2.9 million sq ft of Grade A office space to the city’s total inventory.
Enthused by this demand, a number of •developers launched additional towers in their existing projects, including Divyasree Technopolis-Block D; Mantri Cornerstone-Block B; Pritech-Block 14 and RMZ ECO WORLD – Towers 4A, 4B and all of these projects together will add over 4.8 million sq ft office space to city’s inventory by the end of 2015.
With demand and supply complementing •each other, vacancy levels remain unaltered and about 11 million sq ft of Grade A stock was available for fit-out during the quarter.
The capital and rental values also •remained steady in almost all micro-markets in the city.
COLLIERS VIEW:• The strong software export figures indicate increase in IT/ITeS uptake in the coming quarters in the city. We anticipate modest increases in rents in micro-markets like Outer Ring Road and CBD due to occupier preference to other micro-markets like Whitefield and Electronic City.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
hosur road 3%
cBD 9%
Bannerghatta road 2%
electronic city 16%
epIp Zone/ Whitefield
41%
outer ring road 29%
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
0.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
3.50
3.00
2.50
4.00
million sq.ft.
9
The city witnessed improved demand •this quarter and recorded Grade A absorption of about 0.18 million sq ft. More than 90% of these deals were concluded in the Salt Lake-Sector V and New Town micro-markets. This quarter, various local occupiers have relocated from their old structures to new and better facilitated structures.
Construction activities remained slow •during the quarter and only a few properties were completed including Pecon Tower by Pecon Group and Rishi Techpark by Mittal Group, both of which are at New Town. Together, these projects contributed about 0.1 million sq ft of Grade A commercial office supply.
Projects launched this quarter include •Weston by Siddha Group at Bentinck Street; Arya Hub by Arya Realty at Taratala; and Pressman House by Pressman at New Town. The projects are expected to be completed by 2017 and will contribute about 0.47 million sq ft of Grade A commercial office space in the city.
Rental values declined in the range of 1 •to 4% QoQ in most of the micro-markets, except SBD where rents remained stable. During the same quarter, capital values remained stable, except for Sector V where capital values decline by 3% QoQ.
COLLIERS VIEW:• Upcoming infrastructure developments like metro corridors will improve the overall connectivity of the city. Micro-markets like Salt Lake-Sector V and New Town will continue to see occupier interest. Rents and capital values are expected to remain under pressure due to prevailing high vacancy in suburban micro-markets.
Kolkata
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYcBD 95 - 120 -4% -10%
sBD 70 - 80 0% -6%
sector v/ New town 46 - 50 -2% -2%
pBD 34 - 37 -1% -3%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
arya hub arya realty 85,000 taratala 2017
pressman house pressman 140,000 New town 2015
Weston sidhha Group 250,000 Bentinck street 2017
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
Disha palm mall 16,000 Gariahat Lease
serco Global BIpL 38,000 sector-v Lease
sGs eco space 15,000 New town Lease
sterling ferrero Net Guru 10,400 sector-v Lease
vasan eye care Individual 10,000 chetla Lease
0.00
0.20
0.10
0.30
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.70
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoN
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14f
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
1140
20 2,000
0 0
60
4,000
80
6,000
100
8,000
120
10,000
12,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
NeW sUppLY IN prIme areas
sector v 33%
pBD31%
sBD36%
million sq.ft.
10 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Pune
source: colliers International India research
Micro Market Rental Values* % Change
QoQ YoYBaner 45 - 55 0% 0%
Bund Garden 50 - 65 0% -12%
airport rd. /pune station 42 - 63 3% -2%
aundh 45 - 60 0% 9%
senapati Bapat 55 - 85 0% -10%
Bavdhan 35 - 45 0% -2%
Kalyani Nagar 45 - 60 0% 0%
Nagar rd. 40 - 60 0% 11%
hinjewadi 32 - 45 3% 7%
hadapsar/fursungi 33 - 50 4% 8%
Kharadi 32 - 65 0% 18%
1Q 2014 2Q 2014F
vacancy
absorption
construction
rental value
capital value
cItY offIce Barometer
KEY UNDER CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
BUILDING Name DeveLoper area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN possessIoN
siddhivinayak vision siddhivinayak Group 200,000 tathawade 2014
the melange cosmos Group 70,000 fugewadi 2015
W one U.D. Developers 80,000 Wanowari 2015
TOP 5 TRANSCATIONS OF THE QUARTER
cLIeNt BUILDING Name area (sq. ft.) LocatIoN Lease/saLe
Bmc Business Bay 251,000 Yerwada Lease
compucom software Limited s p Infocity 45,000 phursungi Lease
fundtech aG trade center 87,000 Bavhdan Lease
Gallaghar Giga space Delta 2 34,900 viman Nagar Lease
Geometric Limited Blue ridge 27,000 hinjewadi Lease
0.00
0.40
0.20
0.80
0.60
1.00
1.20
1.40
1.60
1.80
1q2013 2q2013 3q2013 4q2013 1q2014
qUarter WIse aBsorptIoNmillion sq.ft.
1q20
08
1q20
09
1q20
10
1q20
14
1q20
13
1q20
15f
3q20
15f
1q20
12
1q20
11
20
10 1,000
0 0
30
2,000
50
40
3,000
70
60
4,000
80
5,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
averaGe reNtaL aND capItaL vaLUe treNDre
ntal
val
ues
-INr
per
sq.ft
. per
mon
th
capi
tal v
alue
s -IN
r pe
r sq
.ft.
Note:available supply: total Grade a office space being mar-keted for sale or lease in surveyed quarter.
average rental/capital values: market average of indicative asking price for Grade a office space.
forecast
* Indicative Grade a rents in INr per sq ft per month.
Pune has witnessed more than 0.85 •million sq ft of absorption in 1Q 2014, which is relatively less than the last quarter’s net absorption of 1.55 million sq ft. However, more than 65% of the transactions were for expansion indicating rebounding business confidence levels.
About 1 million sq ft of new Grade A •supply was added to the city’s total inventory. Of this 0.8 million sq ft was contributed by Business Bay Tower I by Panchshil Realty, located at Yerwada.
Total Grade A total supply available •for fit-out was about 5.7 million sq ft. mainly concentrated in the Hinjewadi and Kharadi micro-markets. This is an increase of about 1.19 million sq ft of Grade A office space over the previous quarter indicating increasing vacancy in peripheral areas.
In most of the micro-markets rents and •capital values remained unchanged, however a few micro-markets like Airport Road, Hinjewadi, Hadapsar and Fursungi witnessed an increase in the range of 3 - 4% on a quarterly basis. This is primarily due to the availability of grade A office space with a low rental base as compared to the other parts of the city.
COLLIERS VIEW:• IT/ITeS will continue to be the major occupier of Grade A office space in the city. Despite the demand / supply equilibrium in the city, rents in micro-markets located towards the north-west and south-east will see a rise in the range of 3 - 5% on a yearly basis. This is because of the large floor-plate of the Grade A inventory with ready social infrastructure that will continue to lure occupiers in the near future.
avaILaBLe sUppLY IN prIme areas
Bavdhan 2%
Kalyani Nagar 7% senapati Bapat road
3%
aundh 2%
Baner 11%
Bund Garden 7%
airport road/pune station
11%
hinjewadi 20%
Nagar road 13%
Kharadi 17%
hadapsar/fursungi 7%
11
Mumbai
The major business locations in Mumbai are the CBD (Nariman
Point, Fort and Ballard Estate), Central Mumbai (Worli, Lower
Parel and Parel), Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) and Andheri
Kurla stretch. Powai, Malad and Vashi are the preferred IT/
ITES destinations, while Airoli at Navi Mumbai and Lal Bahadur
Shastri Marg are emerging as new office and IT/ITES submakets.
Delhi
The commercial areas in New Delhi metropolitan area can be
broadly classified into the CBD (Connaught Place), SBD Nehru
Place, Bhikaji Cama Place, Netaji Subhash Place, Jasola and
Saket .
Gurgaon
The prime business locations in Gurgaon are MG Road, Golf
Course Road, Cyber City and Udyog Vihar. Manesar on the
outskirts of Gurgaon is alsoemerging as the city’s new office
destination.
NOIDA
NOIDA market is comprised of sectors broadly classified as
institutional, industrial and commercial sectors. Institutional
sectors include sec 16A, 62 and125-142, industrial sectors include
sec 1-9, 57-60 and 63- 65 while sector 18 is the most developed
commercial sector.
Chennai
Prime office properties in Chennai are located in four principal
sub-markets: the CBD, the IT Corridor, the SBD and the PBD.
The SBD comprises Guindy,Manapakkam, Velachery and other
areas. The PBD primarily includes Ambattur and GST Road,
while the IT Corridor is the Old Mahaballipuram Road (OMR) in
south Chennai.
Bengaluru (Bangalore)
Prime office properties in Bengaluru can be divided into three
principal sub-market— CBD, the SBD consisting of Banerghatta
Road & Outer Ring Road(ORR) and PBD including Hosur Road,
EPIP Zone, Electronic City and Whilefield.
Kolkata
The major business locations in Kolkata are CBD (Park Street,
Camac Street, Chowranghee Rd), SBD (AJC Bose Rd, Ballygunge
circular Rd, East Kolkata) and PBD (New Town & Rajarhat). The
area around Park Street, Camac Street and AJC Bose road houses
number of high-rises commercial buildings such as Chatterjee
International Centre, Tata Centre, Everest House and Industry
House among others.
Pune
The prime office sub-markets of Pune include Deccan Gymkhana,
Bund Garden Road, Senapati Bapat Road & Camp (CBD), while
the Off CBD includes Aundh, Airport Road and Kalyani Nagar,
among other locations. The eastern corridor, along with Nagar
Road and Kharadi, have emerged as a preferred location for
financial and IT/ITES companies.
Office Submarkets
CITY BAROMETERS
Increasing as compared to previous quarter
Decreasing as compared to previous quarter
Remained stable from previous quarter
12 Research & Forecast Report | April 2014 | Office | Colliers International
Copyright © 2014 Colliers International.
ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.
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Primary Authors:
Surabhi Arora I Associate Director Research
surabhi.arora@colliers.com+91 124 456 7500
Mumbai: George Mckay I South Asia Director george.mckay@colliers.com
Delhi / NCR: Ajay Rakheja I Director ajay.rakheja@colliers.com
Vikas Kalia | National Director vikas.kalia@colliers.com
Amit Oberoi I National DirectorValuation & Advisory Services & Researchamit.oberoi@colliers.com
Sachin Sharma I Assistant ManagerResearchsachin.sharma@colliers.com
Technopolis Building, 1st Floor, DLF Golf Course Road, Sector 54, Gurgaon - 122 002TEL +91 124 456 7500
Bengaluru: Yogesh Bheemaiah I Director yogesh.bheemaiah@colliers.com
Pune: Rishav Vij I General Manager rishav.vij@colliers.com
Chennai: Kaushik Reddy I Director kaushik.reddy@colliers.com
Kolkata: Ajay Rakheja I Director ajay.rakheja@colliers.com
485
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