The World of Tomorrow

The world of

Tomorrow

40 years ago, we were 4 Billion.

Today, we are 7 Billion human beings

on Earth

7

6

5

4

3

2

1

0

10,000 BC

Wo

rld

po

pu

lati

on

(in

Bil

lio

n)

8000 BC 6000 BC 4000 BC 2000 BC 0 1000 2013

+3 Billion

1973 2013

In years 40 Average revenue

per person

Illiteracy rate Life expectancy

+15years x3 -50% -60%

People living below

the poverty line

UNPRECEDENTED TECHNOLOGICAL

REVOLUTIONS DISRUPTED

PEOPLE’S LIFESTYLES

1971

NMR

Medical

diagnosis

MICRO

PROCESSOR

1970

Mass market

computer

hardware &

software

1974

Personal data

and privacy

MICROCHIP 1978

Localization

GPS 1981

People

transportation

and train freight

HIGH-SPEED

TRAINS

1983

1989

e-commerce,

mass

information

storage and

sharing

1992

2005

Ipod, Iphone,

Itunes and IPad

MOBILE

PHONE

WORLD WIDE

WEB

DIGITAL

CAMERA 2013

?

HOMO-NUMERICUS

IS ON

Digital pictures

mass creation

and replication

Predicting the future is

impossible, but we are

allowed to envision it.

4 OVERARCHING TRENDS

2. Political and

economic

power

redistribution

3. Disrupted

Demographics

4. Water, Food,

Energy: natural

resources

under strain

1. People’s

emancipation

People are

emancipating

…A FAST-PACED GROWTH OF

THE MIDDLE-CLASS SEGMENT…

15% Middle-class:

Higher propensity to consume

Social upward mobility through hard work

Higher geographic mobility

40%

2013 20302013 2030

15%

40%

REDUCED

POVERTY

REDUCED

POVERTY

2013

1 000 Million

2030

500 Million

Number of people living with less than 1.25$

of revenue per day worldwide

ACCESS TO

EDUCATION

2013

7.1 years

2030

8.7 years

Average number of years of the academic cycle

in North Africa and the Middle-East

ACCESS TO

EDUCATION

BETTER

ACCESS TO

HEALTHCARE

2013 through 2030

- 30%

Transmissible diseases contribution to world

mortality (AIDS, paludism, B hepatitis, etc.)

BETTER

ACCESS TO

HEALTHCARE

…FASTER ADOPTION OF

NEW TECHNOLOGIES

Electricity 46

Telephone 35

Radio 31

Color television 18

Mobile phone 13

Internet 7

1870 2013

Number of years needed for a

technology to be adopted by

25% of the US population

Political and

economic power is

being redistributed

• In 2030, Asia will be bigger than Europe and the

US in terms of:

• GDP

• Population

• Military and defence expenditure

• Investments in R&D

• China alone will be bigger than the US in economic

terms before 2030

• India and Brasil will keep up with their current growth

rates

• Colombia, Indonesia, South Africa, Nigeria and Turkey

will become key players of the world economy

• The European, Japanese and Russian economies will

stay on the decline

AGILITY

TRANSPARENCY

COOPERATION

THE WORLD WILL BE MULTI-POLAR THE US HEGEMONY WILL COME TO AN END.

Demographic

disruptions will

shake up the way

we live

In 2030:

8,4 Billion individuals will live

on our planet:

A global aging of the population,

especially in western countries (but not only)…

Year :

GERMANY & JAPAN EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN 2013

Median age ≈ 45 y.o.

Year : 2013 Median age ≈ 38 y.o.

100+

0

100+

0

….that will lead to a gradual impoverishment and to

more migrations from these countries.

Year :

GERMANY & JAPAN EUROPE / KOREA / TAIWAN 2030

Median age ≈ 50 y.o.

Year : 2030 Median age ≈ 45 y.o.

100+

0

100+

0

…URBANIZATION WILL NOT

SLOW DOWN…

2030

30%

1960

X2 IN 70 YEARS

60%

5 cities the

size of London will

be built on a

yearly basis

and maybe more

Natural resources

are under strain

THE WORLD OF TOMORROW,

ALSO IS…

A WORLD OF THREATS

Global military

withdrawal of the US

Cyberterrorism and

use of weapons of

mass destruction

Iran’s isolation

1 2 3

POLITICAL

Severe pandemic

1

PUBLIC HEALTH

China’s collapse

1 European Union and/or

Eurozone’s collapse

2

ECONOMICAL

Geomagnetic

solar storm

1 Uncontrollable

global warming

2

CLIMATIC

THE WORLD

OF TOMORROW