Impact Thinking - Anna Riedl

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IMPACT THINKINGAnna Riedl

– everyone (at least sometimes)

“Why am I here?”

EFFECTIVE ALTRUISM“using science and rational decision-making to help

as many sentient beings as possible”

philosophy and social movement

ethical career choice

EFFECTIVE ALTRUISM“using science and rational decision-making to help

as many sentient beings as possible”

philosophy and social movement

ethical career choice

10% pledge

global priority research

effective giving

evidence-based development aid

earning to give

teaching rationality

social entrepreneurship

existential risk prevention

goal to do the most good

tools science, rational

thinking [mental toolbox]

BASIC ASSUMPTIONS

Check your intuition:education

iron fortification | uniforms | school mealsscholarship | school meals | deworming pills

extra teacher | new school building | conditional cash transfer

Check your intuition:education

iron fortification | uniforms | school mealsscholarship | school meals | deworming pills

extra teacher | new school building | conditional cash transfer

1. What is Good? Overcome Common Sense

2. Strategy: Define Goal (KPI)

HOW TO THINK ABOUT IMPACT

1. What is Good? Overcome Common Sense

2. Strategy: Define Goal (KPI)

HOW TO THINK ABOUT IMPACT

1. What is Good? Overcome Common Sense

2. Strategy: Define Goal (KPI)

3. End and means (instrumental and terminal goals)

4. Thought experiments (isolate variables to learn about values)

5. Measurability/Comparability

6. Numbers count

7. Counterfactual Impact

HOW TO THINK ABOUT IMPACT

HOW TO MAXIMISE IMPACT

1. Importance & Scale

2. Tractability

3. Neglectedness

4. (Bonus) Personal Fit

The three most important questions

“ethical opportunity costs”

– Richard P. Feynman

“The first principle isthat you must not fool yourself

and you are the easiest person to fool.”

anna.riedl@ea-stiftung.org

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