India power market apr. 2016

WELCOME

K R SURI April 16 1 K R SURI

* April 16 2 K R SURI

Emerging Prospects

*Energy and Global Practices for Indian Power Market

April 16 3 K R SURI

*PRESENT GENERATION & TRANSMISSION

*CHALLENGES AHEAD

* RESOURCES & SCOPE IN INDIA *LOSSES

*ELECTRICITY REGULATIONS *INTEGRATION WITH

* NEIGHBOURING / ASIAN COUNTRIES

April 16 4 K R SURI

April 16 K R SURI 5

INSTALLED CAPACITY ( Feb. 16 )-------- MW

Mar-30

FEB. 2016

DEC. 2011

19509,30,000

2,88,665

1,88,000

THERMAL

NUCLEAR

OTHERS

2,03,604

Break up 2,88,665

42,473

36,808

April 16 6 K R SURI

Fuel MW % age

Total Thermal 2,03,604 70.52

Coal 178,138 61.71

Gas 24,473 08.47

Oil 994 00.34

Hydro 42,473 14.71

Nuclear 5,780 02.00

RES** ( RE etc) 36,808 12.75

Total 288,665 100.00

BREAK UP ---- Feb.2016

April 16 7 K R SURI

14181.6 2015-16

2,88,665 mw

April 16 9 K R SURI

Central Grid

NEW Grid

October 1991 East & North-East

synchronized

March 2003 West synchronized

With East & North-East

August 2006 North synchronized

with Central Grid

Five Regional Grids

Five Frequencies

Raichur-Sholapur

Inter-Regional Link commissioned

One Nation One Grid

One Frequency

National Grid - Evolution One Nation - One Grid – One Frequency

A long cherished dream turned into

reality

Dec’2013 South

synchronized

NEW Grid

Present inter-regional power transfer

capacity: 46, 450MW

April 16 10 K R SURI

7,930 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

1,720 MW

3,630 MW

Inter Regional Power Transfer

Capacity by 2016 end - 35,000 MW Present Inter Regional

Power Transfer Capacity

23,800 MW

SR August 2006

North synchronized

With Central Grid

October 1991

East and Northeast

synchronized

March 2003

West synchronized

With East & Northeast

Future: Country wide

synchronous Grid

Earlier, Five Regional

Grids Five Frequencies 4,220 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

3,630 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

1,720 MW

3,630 MW

4,390 MW

1,260 MW

4,220 MW

28560 CKM

4195 CKM

18710 CKM

12500 CKM

17500 CKM

ESTABLISHMENT OF NATIONAL GRID

- Excluding 600 MW of IR capacity at 132 kV level

April 16 K R SURI

*Current Transmission(ckt. Kms)

* CTU(Power grid) ---- 1,40,000

* SEBs --- 20,000

* OTHERS ---- 7000

* STATIONS >205 nos

* 400/765/1175 kv

*1175 Kv under trial

* at BINA April 16 12 K R SURI

Current Energy position in country

*Installed capacity ----- Feb. 2016

2,88,665 mw

*DEMAND BY 2030 ----

9,30,000 MW

around 45,000 mw addition

REQUIRED on annual basis

*HOW TO MEET 45,000MW/YR

*400KV DC----- 42 LINES/YR

*400 KV QC --- 22 LINES /YR

*765 KV QC --- 15 LINES/YR

*These are appx. figures

*A BIG CHALLENGE FOR TRANSMISSION

Challenge

April 16 K R SURI 16

2013-14 2014-15 2015-16

BILLION UNITS

CKT KMS

2013-14

2014-15

2015-16

2016-17

2015-16

*REQUIRED

* 45,000 MW PER YEAR

*ADDITION TREND TILL NOW

* 22,500 MW PER YEAR

*RATIO SAY 50%

Year Target

Achievement

target

growth

2009-10 789.511 771.551

97.73 6.6

2010-11 830.757 811.143

97.64 5.56

2011-12 855.000 876.887

102.56

2012-13 930.000 912.056 98.07

2013-14 975.000

967.150 99.19

2014-15 1023.00 1048.673

102.51

2015-16*

(Oct. 2015

663.007 654.467 98.71 5.14

PLANNED Vs ACTUAL

* 69% April 16 21 K R SURI

*April 16 22 K R SURI

All India PLF Month-

April 68.64 62.05

May 67.06 64.27

June 66.31 59.43

July 63.80 58.36

August 59.58 57.60

September 59.07 63.63

October 65.01 66.86

November 65.69 60.34

December 65.14 61.75

January 64.79 63.20

February 65.72 64.95

Figure not available

2014-15 2015-16 YEAR

*POWER SYSTEM NETWORK

*Smart grid

BIOGAS/MASS

GEO THERMAL

Begasse

OTHERS

TOTAL ---- SAY 37,000 mw

BIOGAS

*GROWTH April 16 36 K R SURI

*Solar resource

Big opportunity

capture

7500 mw in j&k

*COST April 16 38 K R SURI

*In our country

*Considering

*300 --- Clear sunny days

*10 % -- Efficiency of PV cell

*Planned to produce 5000 trillion

Kwh per year

*1,00,000 MW BY 2022 April 16 39 K R SURI

Wind power April 16 40 K R SURI

*Growth April 16 41 K R SURI

*POTENTIAL IDENTIFIED

*19,130 MW ---- 50 mtr

*1,02,788 mw -- 80 mtr

*Total – 1,22,000

*Out of which

*60,000 mw ---- 2022

* Rs 62 lacs/mw and return in 4 yrs

*Geo Thermal Energy

ICE LAND April 16 44 K R SURI

*27,500 mw plant

*Pertamina Geothermal Energy

*INDIA HAS IDENTIFIED TOTAL 340 HOT SPOTS ( 10,600 MW)

* Locations are

* Himalayan province ---

* j&k--- Puga and Chhumathang

* HP --- Manikaran

* Aravalli hills/area

* Hazari Bagh (surajkund) -- jharkhand

* West Coast/Area

* Cambay basin --- Gujrat

* Narmada Belt --- MP

* Tatapani --- Chattisgarh

* Andaman & Nicobar islands

April 16 47

K R SURI

*Basins has been drilled and found that

source exists at avg. depth of

*1.4 -- 1.7 - 1.9 -- 3.4 Kms

*It has been planned by GOI to put first

plant in j&k ---- 5 Mw at puga

*Tidal wave energy is basically using sea waves

* As per survey by IIOS.(Indian institute of oceanic studies)

* TIDES CAN PRODUCE ENERGY, WHEN WAVES

ARE IN range of 5.23 Mrs. To 6.77 metres

*Gujrat and West Bengal has such waves &

can produced 8mw

* Planned -- 3.75 mw Dhungadhauni ( WB.)

*MAX. 19.9 MW

*It uses salts *SODIUM NITRATE -- 60%

*POTASSIUM NITRATE – 40%

*HEATS THE MIXTURE TO >550 deg

* through HELIOSTATS and generate steam.

*GEMA MOLTAN PLANT – SPAIN

*CAPACITY –19.9 MW

LOSSES April 16 54 K R SURI

2013—14

*Losses in j&k PFC

*As on SEP. 2014 ---

app. 71%

Highest in country April 16 57 K R SURI

Avoid Wastage

and harmonics April 16 58 K R SURI

DEBT 03/16

Rs 3234.00 Crs

Lessons

*J&K DISASTER - 2014

*J&K DISASTER CONTD

*Preparing for another

Disaster

* vs April 16 66 K R SURI

*Rise of Demand

Plant load factor

2013-14 957

*WORLD VIDE COMPARISON WORLD BANK

COUNTRY PCC % ELECT. COUNTRY PCC % ELECT

USA 13000 100 JAPAN 1000 100

CANADA 17000 100 INDIA 954 78

CHINA 4000 100 Maldives 2000 100

ICELAND 7000 100 B/Desh 300 60

ENGLAND 6000 100 PAKISTAN 500 90

NORWAY 25000 100 SRI LANKA 600 88 April 16 72 K R SURI

CHALLENGES BEFORE

CTU April 16 73 K R SURI

Challenge ahead for CTU (MVA)

5 yr plans Total ckt kms

10th 2284

11th 6435

12th (July 2015) 10354

ADANI 1000kms

HVDC 500 KV

SHINES April 16 76 K R SURI

MARKET April 16 77 K R SURI

*POWER SYSTEM NETWORK

*A vibrant and growing power market

Stable growth and consolidation

*A completely voluntary market

Multiple choice/options

*Trading licensed activity as per Electricity Act 2003

50 trading licensees (mar 2015)

*Top 5 trading licensees have 80% market share

PTC leads the pack (pioneer and market leader)

*Impact of Electricity trading

Optimizing of existing energy resources

Encouraging commercial outlook in the sector

Encouraging cross-border exchange of power

Catalyzing investment into the power sector, mainly from the private sector

*Recent Trends in Market

*Direct bilateral growing at faster rate and banking transactions on rise Financial health of utilities

Discoms preferring direct and money-less transactions

*Unscheduled Interchange (UI) on decreased pattern Positive development as UI has implications on grid security

Result of frequency band tightening by CERC

Increased license fee for traders Appears to be an entry barrier for new

players

Burden on existing players as Trading

margin is capped

Need of Min. Fixed Exchange

rate Fixed charges (Intermediately fees)

*TRADINGApril 16 82 K R SURI

*IEC ---- 2003 * ENFORCED --- CERC, OA & PPT

*CERC --- REGULATES

* TARIFF

* SETTLEMENT OF DISPUTES

* TRADING MARGIN

*BILATERAL between traders April 16 85 K R SURI

FORWARD TRADING

Tata Power and Reliance are the two major companies with huge installed capacity and large

buying and selling statistics for the same.

Punjab power corporation is also major seller now

Table shows volume transacted by major buyers and sellers in FY12 through traders

Does not include volume through banking arrangements

Top 5 sellers constitute ~59% of the total volume

Top 5 buyers constitute ~ 63% of the total volume

Total trading companies app. 50 now

9300 13400

1500 3300

Prospects for

Integration

*South Asia: Energy Cooperation

*SE Asian countries are the most rapidly

Developing Countries

*High Rate of GDP growth

*Larger growing population but low

per capita consumption

*Huge Demand for Energy against supply

* ( peak hrs – shortage, off peak hrs – surplus)

*South Asia: Energy Cooperation

*Energy base different for SA countries

India – one of largest coal reserves in world

Bangladesh - Gas basins

Nepal & Bhutan - Huge hydro potential

Solar and Wind - Excellent potential in region

J&K is upcoming and estimating to touch 4000mw capacity in near future.

Thus, tremendous possibility for regional energy cooperation Regional Integration or trade Sub-regional cooperation between India, Nepal, Bhutan and Bangladesh has high prospects

Sharing of land boundaries Positive response from these

Countries

*PAKISTAN

HAS SURPLUS POWER DURING DAY TIME

2/3 VISITS CUM MEETING HAS TAKEN PLACE

TO BUILT HVDC LINK BETWEEN

LAHORE TO AMRITSAR

*SRI LANKA THERE WERE DISCUSSIONS ON LAYING OF HV CABLE UNDER SEA

Prospects for Integration: Sub-Regional Market

*India is the first South-Asian country to establish a

power market

*Strong power links being built up in the sub-region

*Benefits of Indian Power Market may be extended

to neighbors, as robust transmission exists

*With the completion of India-Nepal & India - Bhutan

transmission links , the sub region is strong.

*With completion of India - Bangladesh 400 kv link

and Hvdc back to back, network has become more stronger

Markets have been extended to Nepal and Bhutan

through Power Grid.

Generation sources in the region may be pooled and

traded in one common market

Trade may happen through bilateral arrangements

involving traders or power exchanges

Open Access (OA) may be granted to countries to

buy/sell power in each others territory.

Lessons may be learnt from other developed power

markets like Nord pool spot etc

Benefit to all from economic and shared resources

scale April 16 99 K R SURI

*Private sector accounted for 41% of capacity in 11th

Plan outpacing Central and State Sectors

*58% of the total capacity addition in FY12 from

private sector

*Private sector outperformed achieved 141% of the

target

*Share of Private Sector in total generating has

increased from 12% to 28% in last 5 yrs.

Bhutan Presently, interconnections exist with Bhutan at 400kV

Alipurduar(India) – Punatsangchu-I HEP (Bhutan) 400kV

D/c is under implementation – completion expected in

Nepal interconnections already exist with Nepal.

Muzaffarpur (India) – Dhalkebar (Nepal) 400kV D/c is

being implemented by CPTC (Indian Portion) and PTCN

(Nepal Portion). Completion expected in 2015.

International Cooperation Linkages with SAARC Countries

Bangladesh

Baharampur (India) ---– Bheramara (Bangladesh)

HVDC back-to-back commissioned in September,

Power up to 500MW is flowing from India

Surajyamani Nagar(India) to

Comilla(South Bengladesh)

400kv line has also been completed in 2014.

JAYPURHAT

BANGLADESH

INTERCONNECTION BETWEEN INDIA AND BANGLADESH GRIDS

NIAMATPUR

BHERAMARA

KOLAGHAT

BAKRESHWAR

GOKARNADURGAPUR

SUBHASGRAMJEERAT

(400 KV)BAHARAMPUR

400kV D/c

KHEJURIA

SAGARDIGHI

RAGHUNATHGANJ

FARRAKA

DHULIAN

BAHARAMPUR

CH. NAWABGANJ

RAJSHAHI

PURPABNAISHURDI

LEGEND

BAGHABARI

(SOUTH)KHULNA

BOTTAIL FARIDPUR

Under Constr. / Future

THE PROJECT

230 kV

Existing

132 kV

400 kV

GHORASAL

SIRAJGANJ

SHAHJAD

NATORE

SOUTHBOGRA

BARAPUKURIA

NAOGAON

April 16 K R SURI

*Gas pipeline

ending Gujrat

*Connectivity with CHINA

*WE CAN ALSO ENTER POWER

SUPPLY AGREEMENT WITH

CHINA AT

* BRAHMPUTRA BASIN ---

Zangmu dam

Issues faced

Indian Power Market

* Current power market scenario

*Power Sector’s vicious circle of challenges

Financial health of DISCOMs

Funding issues

Fuel scarcity (coal scam & gas shortage)

Transmission security/reliability bottlenecks

# Coal international regulation (import of coal is costly in India)

Regulatory issues

*Policy initiatives

* single window system

*Support to initiatives planned by IEX for market development April 16 109 K R SURI

LEAKING BUCKET

SEBs April 16 K R SURI 111

*Theft of power

*Subsidy by state Govt

*Inadequate last mile connectivity

* large scale & domestic

*Inadequate demand building measures

*Land acquisition

*Aug’10 – Oct’11

Source: IEX April 16 113 K R SURI

*Rising Dependence on Imported Coal April 16 114 K R SURI

Domestic gas only meets 60% of the total requirements April 16 115 K R SURI

* The current interregional transmission capacity is only around 13 per cent of

the total installed generation capacity

*With focus on increasing generation capacity over the next 8-10 years, the

corresponding investments in the transmission sector is also expected to

augment.

* Ministry of power plans to establish an integrated national power grid in the

country by 2016 with close to 2,50,000 mw generation capacities and 37,700

mw of inter-regional power transfer capacity

* Considering that the current interregional power transfer capacity of 25,000

mw, this is indeed an ambitious objective for the country.

*A large portion of new projects are likely to be in the North Eastern region,

Sikkim, Nepal and Bhutan.

*Another emerging trend in the transmission sector is the movement towards

"Ultra High Voltage" systems.(1200kv HVAC)(800kv hvdc 1800kms, 6000mw)

* J&K coming up with new hydro energy plants.

*Flexibility in Line Loading and Regulation of Power

*Improvement in Operational Efficiency

*Increase in Transmission Voltage/Energy Transfer/Series

Compensator(FACTS)/SVC/Statcom.

*Up gradation of HVDC Terminals and existing AC stations

*High capacity 400kV multi-circuit/bundle conductor lines

*High Surge Impedance Loading (HSIL) Line

*Compact towers (single pole/ tubular towers )

Use of High Temp. Low Sag (HTLS) conductor in tr. Lines

Installation of GIS & reduce ROW issues

Condition Based Monitoring and Preventive Maint.

1175kV Test Station (under trial)

Power grid is having 1,40,000 circuit km of Tr.

lines. 205 sub stations up to 765kv/800 kv Hvdc.

• SPGVL is also having

• 2 nos 765 kv ss

• 1200 kms ----- 765 kv line

• 4000 kms ----- 400 kv line

• UNDER CONTN

• 1000 kms

• 4 nos GIS

*EXAMPLE OF ULTRA MW PROJECTS

* SASAN

* MUNDRA

* KRISHNAPATTAM

* TALLAIYA

*PLANS TO REDUCE COAL IMPORT

* GRADUALLY & FINISH BY 2017/2018

* SELF DEPENDENT & plans to Produce

1BillionTons by 2020 ON ANNUAL BASIS April 16 121 K R SURI

NATIONAL GRID & Estt. of NTAMC

*ENFORCEMENT OF ENERGY EFFICIENT

BLDGS, EQPTS, LIGHT GADGETS etc.

*WRITE OFF 8000 MW LOW EFFICIENT GEN. PLANTS

*Due to ROW -- FOR COAL & HYDRO PLANTS.

squeezing land requirement

* Example COAL BASE

2X500 MW ---- 1.42 acre/mw

8x500 mw ---- 0.68 acre/mw

*Further tried to reduce 0.38 acre /mw

*Use of HTLS conductor in Tran. lines April 16 122 K R SURI

125 125 Pole type tower in NCR area

April 16 K R SURI

126 HOT LINE April 16 K R SURI

127 Insulator cleaning with helicopter

on 400kV Meerut – Mandola D/c Transmission Line April 16 K R SURI

*HELICOPTER CLEANING VIDEO

Enjoy Life

Konstanz Port,Germany

07/05/2015 April 16 K R SURI

ENJOY TEA

K R SURI

9419211829/9906901669

krsuri1954@gmail.com

India power market apr. 2016

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