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Probability is the measure of the
likelihood that an event will occur
There is nothing certain in trading
Random distribution of wins and losses
throughout the use of the trading technique
I think being exact in your thoughts is
very important
DO HIGH PROBABILITY
TRADING SETUPS EVEN EXIST?
There are many good trading entry setups out there, but few of them stipulate where or when to use them
The most directional potential energy?
You must have a trading system that
has a positive expectancy
Back Testing
If many traders believe in an
opportunity…..
Directional moves can start from anywhere…
BUT…..
This doesn't mean they are right.
Maximizing the probability of
your particular trading technique
Let's take a look at some examples
LOOK AT THE PRIMARY TRADING SESSION OPEN
FOR TRADING SETUPS
SESSION AND RANGE GAPS
In general, gaps are most prominent when charting the primary
market session
STRONG IMPULSE MOVES CAN LEAD TO ANOTHER FOR A POSSIBLE TRADING SETUP
You need to understand what a big move is for the time
frame that you personally trade.
A 20 tickmove hasdifferent meanings
HIGH PROBABILITY TRADING SETUPS WITH BALANCED OR
RANGING MARKETS
DecisionPoints
They are far more reliable in their action
when they are based on a longer time frame
You shouldn't expect that a strategy will work in
every location and every moment in time
Target trades that occur when a market has a high level
directional potential energy.
Stay out of the noise.
Combine a good entry setup and technique with good location
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