View
28
Download
2
Category
Tags:
Preview:
DESCRIPTION
World Bank Education Strategy 2020 Consultations. How will the world look in 2020?. What will be the demands on education and education systems?. Different population profiles across countries…with faster growth in low-income countries. The rise of new economic stars. Rodriguez, 2008. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
World Bank Education Strategy 2020Consultations
How will the world look in 2020?
What will be the demands on education and education systems?
Different population profiles across countries…with faster growth in low-income countries
The rise of new economic starsReal GDP (PPP): Projections 2004-2015 (Using 1991-2003 Average Growth Rates)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
Trillions of 1995 international $
India China BrazilCanada France GermanyItaly Japan MexicoRussian Federation United Kingdom United States
India
China
United States
JapanGermany
United Kingdom
France
Italy
Canada
Mexico
Russian Federation
Brazil
Rodriguez, 2008
Economic growth created space for investment
2002 -2007: Developing Countries’ strongest growth in decades
IMF projections as cited in Rodgers, 2008
Short-term growth projections
World Developing countries
2009
2010
2011 2009 2010 2011
Real GDP -2.2 2.7 3.2 1.2 5.2 5.8
Real GDP (PPP)
-1.0 3.5 4.0 1.8 5.5 6.0
• Main drag on global growth comes from high-income countries, with implications for external aid resources • Robust prospects for developing countries for recovery in 2010
Percentage of population living at less than $2/day
1990 2005 2015 2020
East Asia & Pacific 79.8 38.7 19.4 14.3
China 84.6 36.3 16.0 12.0Europe and Central Asia
6.9 8.9 5.0 4.1
Latin America & Caribbean
19.7 16.6 11.1 9.7
Middle East & North Africa
19.7 16.9 8.3 6.6
South Asia 82.7 73.9 57.0 51.0
India 82.6 75.6 58.0 51.9
Sub-Saharan Africa 76.2 73.0 59.6 55.4
Poverty has declined but less so in Africa
Greater pressure on post-primary educationIncrease in net enrollment rates
in primary education Growing demand for secondary
and tertiary educationMore children and youth in
school also from disadvantaged groups
Enrollment gaps between rich and poor remain high
Large differences within regions in education outcomes – so no one size fits all, in terms of education regional strategies
…but
What else has changed since 2000?
Geopolitics and serious security concerns Information and Communication
Technology Partnerships and Paris & Accra declarations Changes within the World Bank
Schooling-Learning CycleFormal schooling
Out-of-school youth
Children & youth in school
Primary level
Secondary level
Tertiary level
ECD
Nutrition, health care, parental training, ECE
Skills training
Training
% learning goals achieved
Beyond enrollment: Learning
11
Proportion of 15-19 year olds who have completed at least each grade
Proportion of 15-19 year olds who can read a simple sentence, by highest grade completed
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Dominican Rep. 2002 Kenya 2003
Mali 2001 Nepal 2001
Philippines 2003
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Dominican Rep. 2002 Kenya 2003
Mali 2001 Nepal 2001
Philippines 2003
New evidence:the contribution of learning to growth
New evidence on the contribution of learning (as opposed to attainment) to economic
growth
Hanushek & Woessmann 2007
World Bank’s priorities for education for 2020
Invest in strengthening education systems so that they canSecure educational opportunity for allAssure education qualityGuide and govern effectively and efficiently
Increase global knowledge and understanding of education challenges and policy throughResearchInnovation and learningPolicy debate
Operating principles
Whole-sector approachGlobal and multisectoral perspective:
reconnect education to development agenda
Develop effective partnershipsMeasure our results & impact
Core indicatorsImpact evaluations
Evidence is not the only influence on policymaking
evidence, expertise & experience
international pressure
national capacity
national lobby & pressure
groups
resources
political pragmatics
EDUCATION POLICY
values, tradition &
culture
Modified from P. Davies
Previous education strategies
Education for All for the knowledge
economyfor cohesive
societiesPriorities:
Education in a countrywide perspective
Sector-wide approach
Results orientation
Quality Education for All Priorities:
Basic education (poor, girls)
Early interventions (ECD, school health)
Innovative delivery Systemic reform
20002000 Update 2005Update 2005
Impact will not be immediate Policies & programs to improve cognitive skills
through schools take time to implementAssume that it will take 20 years to implement
reform Impact of improved skills not realized until
students with those skills join the labor force Economy will respond as new technologies using
higher skills are adopted and implemented
Discussion questions
1. How can the World Bank best support efficient, equitable and durable educational progress? In Low Income Countries? In Fragile and Conflict-afflicted States? In Middle Income Countries?
2. How can the World Bank effectively support improvements in the quality of learning and acquisition of skills?
4. How can the Bank work better with partners?
Website:www.worldbank.org/
educationstrategy2020
Email:edustrategy2020@worldbank.org
Website:www.worldbank.org/
educationstrategy2020
Email:edustrategy2020@worldbank.org
Additional slides following
Education lending portfolio:Active portfolio fy09:$8.8 billion
Focus of fy09 education operations
Almost half supports poorest countries through IDA funds49% supports basic education51% supports post-basic education75% includes teacher development 50% includes learning assessments
44% of total lending to education comes from multi-sector operations
20 projects co-financed by bilateral &multilateral agencies,total funding of $1.2 billion
More than100 knowledge products on education
Timetable for the strategy
Staff consultation (general directions)
Multi-stakeholder internal & external
consultation (specifics of
strategy)
Internal & external
consultation on draft strategy (content &
implementation)
Final approva
l
CODE Review 27th January
Prepare CN,
using comments staff, OVPs
and HD Council
OVP Review June
CODE Review August
BoardOctober
Prepare background notes
Prepare draft
strategy
Prepare full
strategy
Revise full
strategy
Prepare implemen-
tation plans
Prepare annexes
Disseminate strategy
Economic crisis is likely to reduce donor aid
-.4
-.3
-.2
-.1
0.1
Ba
nkin
g c
risis
coe
ffic
ien
ts
0 5 10 15 20 25 30Years after onset of crisis
Note: circles, triangles, and diamonds represent signficance level at 10%, 5%, and 1% respectively.
Dang, Rogers & Knack, 2009
Progress towards education MDGs:Net enrolment rate in primary education
Growing demand for tertiary education:Gross enrolment rate in tertiary education
Enrolment gaps between rich and poor remain high
Large differences between countries in the same region
0 20 40 60 80 100
KenyaZambia
Cape VerdeZimbabwe
Sierra LeoneLesotho
GhanaNamibia
Sao Tome and PrincipeSwaziland
NigeriaCongo, Rep.Gambia, The
BeninGuinea
MadagascarMauritania
TogoCameroon
MalawiLiberia
UgandaMali
Congo, Dem. Rep.ComorosSenegal
SudanEritrea
MozambiqueEthiopia
Cote d'IvoireNiger
BurundiBurkina Faso
RwandaCentral African Republic
ChadGuinea-Bissau
Source: EdStats
Latest yearPrimary Completion Rates: Sub-Saharan Africa
Changes Create Challenges
Increased economic growth gave countries space for education investment
Economic crisis is likely to reduce donor aid
1990 2005 2015 2020Percentage of the population living on less than $1.25/dayEast Asia & Pacific
54.7 16.8 5.9 4.0
China 60.2 15.9 5.1 4.0Europe and Central Asia
2.0 3.7 1.7 1.2
Latin America & Caribbean
11.3 8.2 5.0 4.3
Middle East & North Africa
4.3 3.6 1.8 1.5
South Asia 51.7 40.3 22.8 19.4India 51.3 41.6 23.6 20.3Sub-Saharan Africa
57.6 50.9 38.0 32.8
World 41.7 25.2 15.0 12.8Percentage of the population living on less than $2.00/dayEast Asia & Pacific
79.8 38.7 19.4 14.3
China 84.6 36.3 16.0 12.0Europe and Central Asia
6.9 8.9 5.0 4.1
Latin America & Caribbean
19.7 16.6 11.1 9.7
Middle East & North Africa
19.7 16.9 8.3 6.6
South Asia 82.7 73.9 57.0 51.0India 82.6 75.6 58.0 51.9Sub-Saharan Africa
76.2 73.0 59.6 55.4
World 63.2 47.0 33.7 29.8Number of people living on less than $1.25/dayEast Asia & Pacific
873.0 317.0 120.0 83.0
China 683.0 208.0 70.0 56.0Europe and Central Asia
9.0 16.0 7.0 5.0
Latin America & Caribbean
50.0 45.0 30.0 27.0
Middle East & North Africa
10.0 11.0 6.0 6.0
South Asia 579.0 595.0 388.0 352.0India 435.0 456.0 295.0 268.0Sub-Saharan Africa
296.0 387.0 366.0 352.0
World 1,817.0 1,371.0 918.0 826.0Number of people living on less than $2.00/dayEast Asia & Pacific
1,274.0 730.0 394.0 299.0
China 961.0 473.0 220.0 168.0Europe and Central Asia
32.0 39.0 22.0 18.0
Latin America & Caribbean
86.0 91.0 67.0 62.0
Middle East & North Africa
44.0 52.0 30.0 26.0
South Asia 926.0 1,091.0 973.0 926.0India 702.0 828.0 728.0 686.0Sub-Saharan Africa
391.0 555.0 574.0 595.0
World 2,754.0 2,557.0 2,060.0
Recommended