Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009 CALENTAMIENTO Y AUMENTO DE...

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Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

CALENTAMIENTO Y AUMENTO DE SALINIDAD EN EL

MEDITERRÁNEO OCCIDENTAL DURANTE LA

SEGUNDA MITAD DEL SIGLO XX

Manuel Vargas-Yáñez, P. Zunino, F. Moya, M.C. García-Martínez y E. Tel

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

LIW

WMDW

AW

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

January/1950 February/1950

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Not sampled or interpolated areas are considered as a “zero anomaly”

The mean anomaly for sampled areas is associated to non sampled areas

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

T

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Interpolation techniques, radius of influence

Spatial gaps

The methods for data averaging

Instrumental biases

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

time (years)

0

50

100

150

200

250ra

w d

ata

/mo

nth

0

0.5

1p

erce

ntag

e B

T

Alb. 50 dbar

-0.007 % yr-1

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

0

20

40

60ra

w d

ata

/mo

nth

0

0.5

1p

erce

ntag

e B

T

Alb. 500 dbar

+0.008 % yr-1

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

0

4

8

12ra

w d

ata

/mo

nth

0

0.5

1p

erce

ntag

e B

T

Alb. 1200 dbar

0.0 % yr-1

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

200

100

0

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

200

100

0

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+CTD

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

1200

1000

800

600

400

200

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+CTD

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

200

100

0

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

-0.05 0 0.05trend (ºC/yr)

200

100

0

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

-0.01 0 0.01trend (ºC/yr)

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

pre

ssu

re (

db

ar)

bot.+BT+CTD

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Upper layer: 0 – 200 dbar

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

-8x1020

8x1020

ab

so

rbe

d h

ea

t (J)

-1.5

1.5

tem

pe

ratu

re a

no

ma

ly (

ºC)

-0.1

0.1

sa

linit

y a

no

ma

ly

W MED upper layer (0-200 dbar)

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Upper layer: 0 – 200 dbar

Intermediate layer: 200 -

600 dbar

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000tim e (years)

-2x1020

2x1020

ab

sorb

ed

he

at (J

)

-0.5

0.5

tem

pe

ratu

re a

no

ma

ly (

ºC)

-0.05

0.05

salin

ity

ano

ma

ly

W MED intermediate layer (200-600 dbar)

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Upper layer: 0 – 200 dbar

Intermediate layer: 200 -

600 dbar

Deep layer: 600 dbar –

bottom

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

-2x1020

2x1020

abs

orb

ed

he

at (J

)

-0.2

0.2

tem

pe

ratu

re a

no

ma

ly (

ºC)

-0.05

0.05

sa

linit

y an

om

aly

W MED deep layer (600 dbar-bottom)

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Upper layer: 0 – 200 dbar

Intermediate layer: 200 -

600 dbar

Deep layer: 600 dbar –

bottom

WMED

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

-8x1020

8x1020

ab

so

rbe

d h

eat (J

)

-0.5

0.5

tem

pe

ratu

re a

no

ma

ly (

ºC)

-0.05

0.05

salin

ity

an

om

aly

W MED

0.29 0.19 W/m2

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

Long term trends in the WMED are not substantially altered by XBT biases

Averaging methods seem to influence the significance of the results

The most robust results concerning isobaric layers are:

Deep waters warming and salinification, and salinity increase of intermediate waters.

The main problem for detecting in a robust way long term changes is the scarcity of data

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

RADMED project. IEO

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION !

VISIT OUR WEB:

www.ma.ieo.es/gcc

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000tim e (years)

-3x1019

3x1019

abso

rbed

hea

t (J

)0.18 0.14 W/m2

Algerian basin (1)

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000time (years)

-5x1019

5x1019

abso

rbed

hea

t (J

)

Algerian basin (2)

Warming and salting in the WMED CLIVAR-ES, Madrid, February 2009

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000tim e (years)

-5x1019

5x1019

abso

rbed

hea

t (J

)

Gulf of Lions

0.15 0.14 W/m2

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