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Towards a Copernicus
Climate Change service
Bernard Pinty
with contribution from D. Sciocco
Copernicus units
Enterprise and Industry
LPS Edinburgh 10/10/2013
Copenicus Climate Change service The challenge
Copernicus Climate Change service
Climate Change fingerprints
Copernicus Climate Change service The first step
EU Regulation (911/2010) specifies that “access to information for climate change monitoring in support of mitigation and adaptation policies” shall be included in the GMES service component.
A Climate Change service must be consistent with GFCS and GCOS initiatives:
Ø Monitor the climate system Ø Detect and attribute climate change Ø Provide information to assess impacts of, and
support adaptation to, climate variability & change
Copernicus Climate Change service EC initiative
Ø consultation process involving climate experts, relevant DGs and major European (climate-involved) institutions, the ‘Helsinki GMES climate’ conference (Jul 2011) and the GMES user forum (Nov 2011).
Ø The 6th FP7 space call for 2013 has prioritized developments relevant for a Climate Change service
EC funding: 26 M€
Copernicus Climate Change service ESA initiative
CCI Scope Started in CCI
CCI response to GCOS
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Climate Indicator Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from research to operations
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Observed, analysed and simulated Essential Climate Variables plus derived set of indicators relevant to consistently monitor and simulate
Earth Climate responses to forcings
CDS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Source: Legos/CNES/CLS Source: ice2sea
Sea-level rise
Source: CLS
CDS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Climate Indicator Data Store
Customization platform
Source: JRC Source: ice2sea
Forestry Coastal zones
SIS Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Climate indicators & indices relevant to the various EU sectoral policies
Sectoral Information System
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectoral Information System
A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectoral Information System
Eval
uat
ion
pla
tfor
m
Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production
A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectoral Information System
Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production
Ou
treach p
latform
Education, general public and authorities, reports, media, bulletin
Eval
uat
ion
pla
tfor
m
A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS & other customers Selected information
for customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., MS, ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Ou
treach p
latform
Eval
uat
ion
pla
tfor
m
Climate-ADAPT platform
A logical view
Insurance
Copernicus Climate Change service
Road map Phase I
Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties
Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content
Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets
Climate Data Store - 20 ECVs & 7 indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products
Sectoral Information System – 8 sectors & 18 indices
ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND
Agriculture and forestry Infrastructure Health
Coastal areas Water management Tourism
Energy
Insurance
Copernicus Climate Change service
Road map Phase I and II
Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs Wind Speed & Direction
Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity
Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture
Climate Data Store - 33 ECVs & 7+ indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products
Sectoral Information System – 12 sectors & 18+ indices
ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND
Agriculture and forestry Infrastructure Health
Coastal areas Water management
Marine and fisheries
Tourism
Biodiversity
Energy
Transportation Disaster risk reduction
Copernicus Climate Change service
Road map Phase III
Surface Air Temperature Surface Precipitation Water Vapor Surface Radiation Budget Earth Radiation Budget Carbon Dioxide & Methane Ozone & Aerosols Cloud properties Upper Air Temperature Other Long-Lived GHGs Wind Speed & Direction Surface Air Pressure Surface Winds Precursors (Aerosols & O3)
Ocean Color Sea Ice Sea Level Sea Surface Temperature Global Ocean Heat Content CO2 partial pressure Ocean Activity Sea Surface Salinity Current Salinity Phytoplankton Sea State Carbon Nutrients Ocean Acidity Oxygen Sub-Surface Temperature Tracers
Snow Cover Glaciers & Ice Caps Albedo FAPAR Fire Disturbances Ice Sheets Lakes Permafrost Land Cover Leaf Area Index Soil Moisture River Discharge Ground Water Above Ground Biomass Soil Carbon
ATMOSPHERE OCEAN LAND
Phase
II
Phase
I
Phase
III
Copernicus Climate Change service CDS indicators
• Global means, trends and anomalies • EU means, trends and anomalies • Global and EU anomaly ranking • EU Records • Climate Extreme Index • Drought Palmer Index • Common Sense Climate Index • …
Climate Data Store - 20 ECVs & 7 indicators - Observed, re-analyzed and model projected products
Copernicus Climate Change service SIS indices
Sectoral Information System – 8 sectors & 18 indices
index Sector
Vegetation health Agriculture & Forestry
Crop moisture stress Agriculture & Forestry
European Drought Agriculture & Forestry
Ocean colour/currents/level Coastal areas
Heat Stress Health
Climate extremes Health
Air freeze Infrastructure
Residential Energy Demand Temperature Infrastructure
Climate means and trends Tourism
Extreme events Tourism
Regional snowfall Tourism
Snow Water management
EU drought Water management
Lake level Water management
SST means & trends Marine & fisheries
Residential Energy demand Temperature Energy
Climate Means & trends Energy
Copernicus Climate Change service
Provisional timing
Y1 Y0 Y3 Y2 Y4 Y5 Y6
Proof of concept
Pre-operational Phase I
Phase I
Phase I + II
2014/15 2020/21
Phase III ??
20 ECVs, 7 indicators and 18 indices
Operational Phase
33 ECVs, 7+ indicators and 18+ indices
50 ECVs
Thank you
Operating the Copernicus Climate Change service
EC CC service
Climate Data Store Sectorial Info System
Evaluation & QC
Advisory Groups
Customer DGs, Member States and
other users Climate-ADAPT
Outreach Platform
WP (n+1)
if OK
if not OK
recommendations
+ AAR (n)
suggestions &
Science (SAG) Application (AAG)
Logical information flow
CC-PORTAL
DELEGATED BODY
Gouvernance of the Copernicus CC service
EC CC service
Delegated body Climate Data Store Sectorial Info System
Customer DGs, Member States and
other users
recommendations suggestions &
USER FORUM
Outreach
Advisory groups
Evaluation & QC
INTERNATIONAL ADVISORY BOARD
High level interactions
Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Ø Advise the service on the plans and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Climate Data Store (CDS)
Ø Provide an assessment of the CDS Annual Activity Reports and propose adequate solutions to improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the CDS
Ø Respond efficiently to requests related to the CDS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate
Climate Change Science Advisory Group
Climate Change Advisory Board
Ø Advise on the overall orientations and actions of the Climate Change service
Ø Ensure that the global dimension of the Climate Change issues is addressed as appropriate
Ø Promote and facilitate interactions with other international bodies dealing with Climate Change issues
Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Climate Change Science Advisory Group*
Chair: TBD Sec: TBD Members: EU Climate Centers Members: EUMETSAT-SAF leader Members: ESA-CCI leaders Members: FP7 projects leaders Members: TBD on ad hoc basis
Tasks • Advise the service on the plans
and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Climate Data Store (CDS)
• Provide an assessment of the CDS Annual Activity Reports
• Propose adequate solutions to
improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the CDS
• Respond efficiently to requests related to the CDS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate
* SAG limited to 12/14 members
• SAG meeting in BXL twice a
year prior to the full operational phase
• Interactions favored via teleconferences and emails
Science Advisory Group of the Copernicus CC service
Climate Change Application Advisory Group*
Chair: TBD Sec: TBD Members: SBA experts Members: DGs Members: GEO representative Members: FP7 projects leaders Members: TBD
Science Advisory Group of the Copernicus CC service
Tasks • Advise the service on the plans
and annual Work Programs proposed by the delegated body for populating the Sectorial Information System (SIS)
• Provide an assessment of the SIS Annual Activity Reports
• Propose adequate solutions to
improve, if and when appropriate, the quality of the products available in the SIS
• Respond efficiently to requests related to the SIS from the Evaluation and Outreach platforms as appropriate
* AAG limited to 12/14 members
• AAG meeting in BXL twice a
year prior to the full operational phase
• Interactions favored via teleconferences and emails
Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service
Climate Change Advisory Board
Chair: MEP Sec: TBD Member: EC Science advisor Member: WCRP Member: GCOS Member: WMO/GFCS member: UNFCC/UNEP/IPCC Member: NOAA/NCDC Member: EGU
Advisory Board of the Copernicus CC service
Tasks • Advise on the overall orientations
and actions of the Climate Change service
• Ensure that the global dimension of the Climate Change issues are addressed as appropriate
• Promote and facilitate interactions with other international bodies dealing with Climate Change issues
• meeting in BXL once a year
Governance of the Copernicus Climate Change service
29
A major Climate driver
Copenicus Climate Change service
Copernicus Climate Change service The context
Ø '…Mitigation will reduce the amount of future climate change and the risk of impacts that are potentially large and dangerous.'
Ø '…Climate change is inevitable and policy responses should include adaptation to climate change.'
Extracted from an information statement of the American Meteorological Society August 2012
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Eval
uat
ion
pla
tfor
m
Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
from European commission e.g.,FP7 Space call
MS and other users & customers
Selected set of information for
customer DGs
from other bodies e.g., ESA, Eumetsat, EEA, WMO..
Harmonization/Coordination & QA platform
Consistent Climate Data Store
Customization platform
Sectorial Information System
Quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production
Ou
treach p
latform
Eval
uat
ion
pla
tfor
m
Monitoring, quality assessment of the service and feedbacks to production
A logical view Architecture of the Copernicus Climate Change service
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