@theBSCprogramme #bsc The Building Safer Communities Programme buildingsafercommunities.co.uk...

@theBSCprogramme #bsc

The Building Safer Communities Programme

buildingsafercommunities.co.uk

Advisory Group

The COSLA Building

Verity House, Haymarket, Edinburgh,

8 October 2014

Building Safer Communities – Evidence ReviewNeil Grant, Justice Analytical Services8 October 2014

@SGJusticeAnalys

Contents

• Introduction to the SCJS• What crimes are being committed most

frequently?• What crimes have the most impact?• Where are these crimes committed?• Who is affected by these crimes?• Who commits these crimes?

What is the SCJS?

• Victimisation survey • Experienced ‘crime’ in the past year• Includes crime not reported to Police• It also collects information on other topics, e.g.

o Attitudes and experience of Criminal Justice Systemo Perceptions about crimeo Civil lawo Community sentencingo Self-report drug use

• Complementary measures to police recorded crime• Main report, additional reports on partner abuse, sexual

victimisation, drug use

4

Crime statistics come from two sources

Police Recorded Crime stats SCJS

Crimes that are reported to and recorded by the police

A large survey of a representative sample of people aged 16 and

over living in private households

How is the survey used?

• By wider research communities and interest groups through the UK data archive

• By JAS analytical staff to respond to ad-hoc requests

• By third sector organisations to inform policies and for lobbying and funding applications

• By the media to inform the public about crime

• Publish reports biennially on main findings and 3 self-completion modules

• To derive National and Justice Dashboard indicators• National Indicator 31 ‘to reduce crime victimisation rates’ • National Indicator 29 to ‘improve people’s perceptions of crime in

their local area’• To provide evidence for policymakers and contributes to a range of

Scottish Government measures.

Crime Volume

Extent of crime• 815,000 SCJS crimes in 2012/13, down 22% since 2008/09

Extent of crime – property crime

Reporting Crime• 39% of crimes reported to police in 12/13 ( 39% 2010/11)• For violent crime unreported - dealt with themselves (9%), personal or

family matter (14%)

Risk of crime

• 16.9% risk of being a victim of crime in 2012/13• 14.8% property, 3.1% violent

• Fall from 20.4% in 2008/09

SCJS - Risk of being a victim in Scotland (2008-09 to 2012-13)

All Crime 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2012-13Scotland 20.4 19.3 17.8 16.9         Female 19.7 18.2 17.2 15.8Male 21.2 20.4 18.4 18.2   16-24 32.2 26.4 25.6 23.725-34 26.2 25.4 22.5 22.835-44 23.5 24.8 22.2 20.545-54 21 19.9 19.1 17.255-64 16 14.3 13.4 12.765-74 10 10 8.3 9.875+ 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.4   15% most deprived 26 25.2 21.3 21.3Rest of Scotland 19.4 18.3 17.2 16.1         Rural 13 12.1 10.2 9.4Urban 22.2 20.9 19.5 18.6

SCJS - Risk of being a victim

SCJS - Risk of being a victim by deprivation

Perceived risk ‘v’ actual risk• Perceived risk of being victim of crime generally 2 or 3 times higher

than actual risk. For some crimes many times higher.

Police Recorded Crime – Vandalism by LA 2012-13

Scottish Rate of vandalism per 10,000 pop.

SCJS 2012-13

Volume of Crime

Economic and Social Costs of Crime

JS 2010-11

Further E&S Cost analysis

SCJS Offender Analysis - Violent Crime• Estimated 236,000 violent crimes in 2012/13.• Majority between 6pm and 6am• Motivation

• Offender drunk and/or on drugs – around half• personal relationship or history between victim and offender – around

a quarter• Location - around a quarter of violent crime is in or around the home,

friend or relatives home, while rest of violent crime occurs in a public setting, including at/near the workplace

• When the victim could say anything about person or people involved (96% of all violent crime) common offender characteristics are:

• The offender was male (77%);• aged between 16 and 39 years old (72%); • acting alone rather than in a group (61%);• ethnicity white (95%);

SCJS 2012-13

SCJS access and contacts

• SCJS website http://www.scotland.gov.uk/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Crime-Justice/crime-and-justice-survey

• Data tables - breakdowns by demographics• Reports - Main, Technical, Sexual Victimisation, Domestic Abuse,

Drug Use• Datasets available from the UKDS - http://ukdataservice.ac.uk/

(2012/13 data to be deposited shortly)

SCJS Mailbox: SCJS@scotland.gsi.gov.uk

Neil Grant, SCJS Directorneil.grant@scotland.gsi.gov.uk

What next?

• Is this sort of analysis useful?• How could/should it be extended?• What does it mean for you?• Priority setting at national and local level• Strategic assessments • Are the measures/indicators locally available

and consistent across the country? • Can the measures be cascaded up to create a

national picture?

Questions ?

@theBSCprogramme #bsc

The Building Safer Communities Programme

buildingsafercommunities.co.uk

Advisory Group

The COSLA Building

Verity House, Haymarket, Edinburgh,

8 October 2014