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SURVEY OF SURVEYS – BUSINESS TENDENCY SURVEYS
CARRIED OUT BY CSO OF POLAND
HUBERT STEFANIAK
CENTRAL STATISTICAL OFFICE OF POLAND
BUSINESS TENDENCY SURVEYS IN CSO OF POLAND
• JUNE 1992 – INDUSTRY
• JULY 1993 – CONSTRUCTION
• OCTOBER 1993 – RETAIL TRADE
• 1999 – INVESTMENTS IN INDUSTRY AND CONSTRUCTION
• JANUARY 2003 – SERVICES
SURVEY OF SURVEYS – RESPONSE RATE
SAMPLE SIZE MONTHLY QUESTIONNAIRES
COMPLETED IN JULY 2016
SURVEY OF SURVEYS’
QUESTIONNAIRES
COMPLETED IN JULY 2016
RESPONSE RATE
INDUSTRY ~ 3 500 3 335 1 116 34%
CONSTRUCTION ~ 5 000 4 286 1 196 28%
RETAIL TRADE ~ 5 100 4 231 1 112 26%
SERVICES - TOTAL ~ 4 400 3 878 1 091 28%
SURVEY OF SURVEYS – QUESTIONS …
Q1: WHO COMPLETES THE QUESTIONNAIRES?
Q2: DO YOU ENCOUNTER ANY TECHNICAL PROBLEMS WHILE FILLING IN QUESTIONNAIRE?
Q3: DOES ANSWERING ANY OF THE QUESTIONS CONTAINED IN QUESTIONNAIRE CAUSE PROBLEMS?
Q4: DO YOU ABSTRACT FROM SEASONAL VARIATIONS WHILE ANSWERING THE QUESTIONS?
Q5: WHAT DO YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE ASSESSING ECONOMIC SITUATION OF THE COMPANY?
Q6: WHAT IS A TIME SPAN YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE ASSESSING CHANGES IN CURRENT PRODUCTION/SALE?
Q7: WHAT IS A TIME SPAN YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE FORECASTING PRODUCTION/SALE?
Q8: WHILE CHOOSING “NO CHANGE” VARIANT YOU MEAN FLUCTUATIONS IN THE RANGE OF…?
Q9: WHAT DO YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE INDICATING FACTORS LIMITING ACTIVITY OF YOUR COMPANY?
Q10: DO YOU MAKE USE OF CSO’S PUBLICATIONS CONCERNING BUSINESS TENDENCY SURVEYS?
Q1: WHO COMPLETES THE QUESTIONNAIRES ON BUSINESS TENDENCY SURVEYS IN YOUR COMPANY?
22.5
27.6 27.4
12.9
3.8 5.8
Industry
25.1
21.6
18.1
18.9
11.9
4.4
Construction
24.6
28.1 19.0
10.4
14.6
3.3
Retail trade
22.0
28.4 22.2
13.3
10.2
3.9
Services - Total
member of themanagement board
head of financialdepartment
employee of financialdepartment
administrative employee
employee of externalaccounting office
other person
% of respondents
Q4: DO YOU ABSTRACT FROM SEASONAL VARIATIONS WHILE ANSWERING THE QUESTIONS CONTAINED IN QUESTIONNAIRE?
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
YES
NO
I do not know
Seasonal variations areirrelevant for my business
activity
% of respondents Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
CSO’s BTS questionnaires: „Answers should be given by abstracting from seasonal variations that is taking no account of changes characteristic for this period of the year.”
SEASONAL VARIATIONS
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
70
85
100
115
130
145
160
Construction/assembly production - quantitative and qualitative data, not seasonally adjusted.
construction and assembly production previous year=100 (constant prices) current production at the domestic market
Q5: WHAT DO YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE ASSESSING ECONOMIC SITUATION OF THE COMPANY?
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
general economic situation of yourcompany
general economic situation in yourbranch
general economic situation incountry
financial situation of your company
level of sale of goods/services
% of respondents Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
CSO’s BTS questionnaire: „How do you assess the general economic situation of your company?”
Q6: WHAT IS A TIME SPAN YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE ASSESSING CHANGES IN CURRENT PRODUCTION/SALE?
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
previous month
previous few months
analogous month of the lastyear
different benchmark is used
% of respondents Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
CSO’s BTS questionnaire: „How does construction/assembly production at the domestic market change?”
Q7: WHAT IS A TIME SPAN YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE FORECASTING PRODUCTION/SALE?
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
next month
next 2 months
next 3 months
other
% of respondents Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
CSO’s BTS questionnaire: „How will construction/assembly production at the domestic market change over the next three months?”
Q8: WHILE CHOOSING “NO CHANGE” VARIANT CONCERNING PRODUCTION/SALE/EMPLOYMENT AND PRICES YOU MEAN FLUCTUATIONS IN THE RANGE OF…?
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
up to 1%
up to 5%
up to 10%
% of respondents
Production/Sale
0 10 20 30 40 50
up to 1%
up to 5%
up to 10%
% of respondents
Employment
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
up to 1%
up to 5%
up to 10%
% of respondents
Prices
Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
Q9: WHAT DO YOU TAKE INTO CONSIDERATION IN THE FIRST PLACE WHILE INDICATING FACTORS LIMITING ACTIVITY OF YOUR COMPANY?
0 10 20 30 40
payments
contributions on pension, disability, sickness
contributions on labour fund etc.
advances on payroll tax
costs of employee training
costs of commuting, accommodation of employees
costs of recruitment
others
% respondents
Costs of labour
Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
0 10 20 30 40 50
CIT income tax
PIT income tax
VAT
excise taxes
duties
others
% respondents
High payments to state revenue
Industry Construction Retail trade Services - Total
SUMMARY AND PLANS FOR THE FUTURE
• USEFUL RESEARCH TOOL LETTING KNOW THE OPINION OF RESPONDENTS ON BTS QUESTIONNAIRES
• CONCLUSIONS DRAWN FROM THIS SURVEY WILL HELP TO PREPARE QUESTIONNAIRES MORE FRIENDLY
TO THE RESPONDENTS
• RECEIVED RESPONSES WILL ENHANCE QUALITY OF BTS SURVEYS’ ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION
• SOME QUESTIONS AS WELL AS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION GIVEN TO THE RESPONDENTS MAY REQUIRE
BETTER EXPLANATION
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
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