The Cool North – getting warmer and busier

The Cool North – getting warmer and busier

Frank Gaskell

Steering a new course, Staying relevant and Sticking togetherSeptember 2014

INTEGRITAS

ACTIVE EUROPEAN AND CORPORATE LIAISION SERVICES

Steering a new course

INTEGRITAS

ACTIVE EUROPEAN AND CORPORATE LIAISION SERVICES

Circumpolar Regions per Canada & International Polar Year

Circumpolar EU ?

The Northern Periphery and Arctic Territory

Ice and the Northern Sea Route – relentless progress?

o 2010 – less ice = 4 transitso 2011 - less ice = 26 transitso 2012 – less ice = 46 transitso 2013 – 30% more ice = 71 transits

BUT 2012 – 1.25m tonnes c.f. Suez 740 m tonnes !!! Suez capacity 76 vessels per 24 hours!!!

BUTChinese forecast May 2014 Nordic Meeting – o NSR to equal total current world container traffic by 2030 !!!o Total world traffic to triple by 2030 !!!

Hard Minerals

• Greenlando Dec 2010 Greenland approves rare earth oxides

exploitation at Kvanefjeldo Kvanefjeld can provide 25% of world demando now 2nd field at Kringlerne o Iron Ore and Uranium also shortly

• Finland, Sweden and Norwayo rich in various minerals o major European gold mine now at Kittila 2008

• Large infrastructure choices to be made

Fisheries Prospects

• One third of fish caught in the Arctic sold in European Market.• figure to increase as fish stocks move north • Arctic fishing voyages: 30 in 2005: 221 in 2010

Research suggests:• Incoming and native species can co-exist• Polar Cod may prosper

Cruise Tourism : recent trend

New Challenge – New Programme

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ACTIVE EUROPEAN AND CORPORATE LIAISION SERVICES

OECD

• A like-minded ally

Priorities

o Innovationo Entrepreneurshipo Energy secure communitieso Cultural and natural heritage

Innovation

University of the Arctic

EU Arctic Access Project 2010 -2015

Entrepreneurship

Energy secure communities

Cultural and natural heritage

Staying relevant

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ACTIVE EUROPEAN AND CORPORATE LIAISION SERVICES

The Challenge

o To Keep Programme Relevant

How to monitor and anticipate inevitable changes in time to react ?

How to complement - not to collide with - other Northern programmes which each face the same foresight and coordination challenges ?

Opportunities for High North Collaboration

• Addressing accessibility challenges and opportunities– Know-how on supporting small and remote communities– Public service provision for remote communities – Responses to changing sea routes

• Economic diversification– Cooperation in research, innovation and education on fisheries (and other key sectors)– Adaptation of key sectors to the effects of climate change– Sustainable development in small communities– Development of craft and creative industries– Development of key growth sectors, such as renewable energy and (on a smaller-scale

cruise tourism)• Innovation and technology

– R&D in key sectors – Maximising the value-added of resource based sectors– Education and training – Marketing and applying new technologies

• Climate change and environmental protection – Adaptations and responses in remote and rural communities – Knowledge exchange

Sticking together

“…the strength of the pack is the wolf, and the strength of the wolf is the pack.''

Rudyard Kipling

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ACTIVE EUROPEAN AND CORPORATE LIAISION SERVICES

Arctic Programmes’ Priorities comparedSource: EPRC

North Sea Region Programme

Botnia Atlantica CBC Programme

Nord CBC Programme 2014-2020

Karelia ENI Programme 2007-13

Kolarctic ENI Programme 2007-13

South East Finland Russia ENI Programme 2007-13

Some other interlocutors / Arctic actors

o Arctic Council Secretariat o Nordic Council of Ministers (including

NORA) o Barents Euro-Arctic Council o Northern Dimension o NW-Russia Programme o Barents Secretariat o European Information Centreo University of the Arctic o Arctic Portal o Nordic Working Group on Sustainable

Regional Development in the Arctic etc.

A Cool North Programmes Mechanism ?

• Multi - nodal and inclusive

• Collaboration and foresight NOT• Coordination and oversight

‘the future is not some place we are going to, but one we create ourselves’

John Schaar 1928-2011