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Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

The Capitalist RevolutionECONOMICS

Dr. Kumar Aniket

Bartlett School of Construction & Project Management

Lecture 1

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

HOW WILL THE COURSE WORK

EssentialReading

Core Econ (2016). The Economy: The Core Project.core-econ.org/the-economy

Plan One unit each week

Time 20 units in 10+10 weeks

Week 6 Unit 1 The Capitalist Revolution.Week 7 Unit 2 Technology, population, and growthWeek 8 Unit 3 Scarcity, work, and choiceWeek 9 Unit 4 Social interactionsWeek 10 Unit 5 Property and power: Mutual gains and conflict

Week 12 Unit 6 The firm: Owners, managers, and employeesWeek 13 Unit 7 The firm and its customersWeek 14 Unit 8 Supply and demandWeek 15 Unit 9 The labour marketWeek 16 Unit 10 Banks, money, and the credit market

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

COURSE MATERIAL

Website

> aniket.co.uk

>> Teaching

>>> Economics 0058 at UCL Course OutlineCalendar

Lecture SlidesReadings

> Moodle page

>> https://moodle-1819.ucl.ac.uk/course/view.php?id=935

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

CONTEXT

Why was there sustained growth in average living standards after 1700?

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

IN THIS LECTURE

Concepts

• Inequality

• Economic growth

• Technological revolution

• Capitalism

Reading:

• The capitalist revolution by The Core Project. Unit 1.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: SINGAPORE

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: TOP 10% IN RICH COUNTRIES

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: 1980

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: 1990

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: 2014

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY: TOP 10% AND BOTTOM 10%

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITIES IN NUMBERS

Average Income Richest 10% Poorest 10%Singapore $67,436 $3,652

Liberia $994 $17

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

WITHIN AND BETWEEN COUNTRY INEQUALITY

Extreme equality: 1,000 years ago, the world was “flat”.

Era of growth

Sustained growth in some countries, others still in the flatlands

Inequality

Within country inequality and across countries.

both types of inequalities seemed to be increasing

Relationship between economic growth, inequality and economicsystem?

It’s Complicated

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

INEQUALITY AND GROWTH

For a very long time, living standards did not grow in anysustained way.

When sustained growth occurred it began at different times indifferent places.

The countries that took off economically a more thancentury ago – UK, Japan, Italy -— are now rich.

Countries that have taken off recentlyare getting richer.

Countries that haven’t taken off are in the flatlands.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

GDP GROWTH RATES: BRITAIN

Sustained growth since 1650 century

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

GDP GROWTH RATES: JAPAN

Sustained growth since 1870 century

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

GDP GROWTH RATES: INDIA, CHINA

Sustained growth after 1950

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

“HOCKEY-STICK” GROWTH

“Hockey-stick” growth: sustained rapid growth in some countries

growth take-off occurs at different time for different countries

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY IN PRODUCTION

Technology: Idea that sets out how inputs can be used to produce anoutput.

Inputs −→ Technology −→ Outputs

TablesChairsCutleryStoveOver

ManagerWaiters

Accountant

−→ restaurant’s plan −→ FoodAmbience

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

THE TECHNOLOGICAL REVOLUTION

Remarkable scientific and technological advances occurs concomitantlymore with upward lurch in growth in Britain in the middle of the18th century.

Technological changes: improvement in technology reduceswork-time to produce the things we need,

people produced more in a given time and earned more

allowed significant increases in living standards.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

THE INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

Industrial Revolution:a wave of technological advances starting in Britain in the 18thcentury, which transformed an agrarian and craft–based economyinto a commercial and industrial economy.

E.g., productivity of labour today in producing light is half amillion times greater than it was among our ancestors aroundtheir campfire.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

TECHNOLOGICAL PROGRESS

Speed at which information travels increased with technological progress

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES

Increased production and population growth affects theenvironment

Global impacts (climate change) and

local impacts (pollution in cities, deforestation)

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES

Increased production and population growth affects theenvironment

Global impacts (climate change) and

local impacts (pollution in cities, deforestation)

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

ENVIRONMENTAL CONSEQUENCES

These effects are results of both

the expansion of the economy– illustrated by the growth in total output

the way the economy is organised– what kinds of things are valued and conserved

The permanent technological revolution may be the cause but it alsomay be part of the solution,

by making it possible to use less resources to produce more output.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

CAPITALISM

Institutions: are the laws and social customs governing theproduction and distribution of goods and services.

Capitalism: an economic system where the main institutions areprivate property, markets, and firms.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

KEY CONCEPTS: OWNERSHIP

What is it to own something?

Contract (renting): handing rights in return for money

Residual rights

Who decides what rights can be handed over?

Ownership

. . . of inanimate objects

. . . of animate being

. . . abstract ideas

. . . Is a painting a physical object or an idea?

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

KEY CONCEPTS: PRIVATE PROPERTY

Private property: ownership rights over possessions

Types of private property

capital goods: the non-labour inputs used in production.

products: output produced

. . . does not include some essentials, e.g. air, knowledge

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

KEY CONCEPTS: MARKETS

Markets: a way for people to voluntarily exchange products andservices for their mutual benefit.

Unlike other types of exchange, markets

– are reciprocated transfers

– voluntary

– usually there is competition

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

KEY CONCEPTS: FIRMS

Firms: business organisation that uses inputs to produce outputs,and sets prices to at least cover production costs.

Inputs and outputs are private property

Firms use markets to sell outputs

The aim is usually to make profit

Firms, different from families and governments . . .

. . . they rapidly emerge, expand, contract and exit.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

THE CAPITALIST REVOLUTION

Capitalism led to growth in living standards because of:

impact on technology: firms competing in markets had strongincentives to adopt and develop new technologies

specialisation: the growth of firms & the expansion of marketslinking the entire world allowed historically unprecedentedspecialisation in tasks and production

Together with the technological revolution, this increased workerproductivity.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

THE GAINS FROM SPECIALISATION

Specialisation increases productivity of labour because workersbecome better at producing things when they specialise

learning by doing

worker have different skills and talents

economies of scale

People can only specialise if they can stop self-production andobtain goods some other way.

Capitalist society: this is done via markets.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE & EXCHANGE

Greta has absolute advantage in production of both crops

Production if 100% of time is spent on one goodGreta 1250 apples or 50 tonnes of wheatCarlos 1000 apples or 20 tonnes of wheat

Greta has a comparative advantage in wheat

Carlos has a comparative advantage in applesCarlos’ comparative productivity is higher in apples.

Important result: if Greta and Carlos produce what they havecomparative advantage in, the collective output is maximised.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE & EXCHANGE

All producers can benefit by specialising and trading goods,

even when producer specialises in goods that others could produce atlower cost

Markets allow exchange, which in turn allows specialisation thatincreases the labour productivity

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

DID CAPITALISM CAUSE THE HOCKEY-STICK

GROWTH?

Natural experiment: Capitalist West Germany versus Centrallyplanned East Germany.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

DIVERGENCE IN GROWTH

Not all capitalist economies are equally successful

Economic conditions:

firms, private property, or markets may fail

Political conditions:

capitalist institutions are regulated by the government

Public Goods:

the government also provides essential goods and services(infrastructure, education)

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

DIVERGENCE IN GROWTH

Different types of capitalist system

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

POLITICAL SYSTEMS

Capitalism coexists with many political systems.

A political system determines how governments will be selected,and how those governments will make and implement decisions.

In most countries today, capitalism coexists with democracy

• individual rights of citizens (e.g. freedom of speech)

• fair elections

But capitalism has coexisted with non-democratic systems, too.

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

THE ROLE OF GOVERNMENTS

Versions of capitalism depending on versions of political system

Government’s role in capitalism changes with political systems

Course Introduction Inequality “Hockey-stick” growth Capitalism Summary

SUMMARY

Important trends in economic variables over time

– Income inequality across and within countries has increased time

– Positive/Negative consequences of sustained growth in GDP

– Role of technological progress in these trends

Capitalism depends on three specific institutions and its versionsvary across the world according to its underlying institutions

– These are private property, markets and firms

– Failure of these institutions can explain divergence ineconomic growth across countries

– Political systems and the role of government also determinethe type of capitalist society

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