Strategic Context for Transport in New Zealand

Strategic Context for Transport in New Zealand

Martin MatthewsChief Executive

LGNZ Congress, 11 February 2011

Overview• Role of the Ministry• Strategic Issues:

– Economic– People– Energy– Technology– Environment

• Summary• What the Ministry of Transport is focusing on

Role of the Ministry

• To be a trusted, impartial expert adviser to government: shaping transport for New Zealand.

• Providing a range of evidence based policy advice to the Minister of Transport.

Economic IssuesWhat are the patterns of New Zealand’s international and

domestic economy and how do we fund the transport infrastructure and services that supports them?

Far Away

Gross Domestic Product

Economic Research Service, USDA, November 2005

Export and Import locations

Auckland Lyttelton

Port ChalmersGisborne

Bluff Napier

New Plymouth Nelson Picton

TaharoaTimaru

Tauranga Wellington Whangarei

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Percentage of NZ imports and exports by weight and value by NZ port - 2009/10

Import by port (value) Export by port (value) Import by port (weight) Export by port (weight)

Percentage

Port

About New Zealand

Northlan

d

Aucklan

d

Waikato

Bay of P

lenty

Gisborn

e

Hawke

s Bay

Taranak

i

Manaw

atu

Wellington

Tasman

/ Marl

borough

West C

oast

Canter

buryOtag

o

Southland

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

2006-07 2031

Tota

l Flo

ws

Term

inat

ing

in R

egio

n (m

tonn

es)

NFDS 2008

Growth in freight flows terminating in regions

Northlan

d

Aucklan

d

Waikato

Bay of P

lenty

Gisborn

e

Hawke

s Bay

Taranak

i

Manaw

atu

Wellington

Tasman

/ Marl

bor...

West C

oast

Canter

buryOtag

o

Southland

0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

2006-07 2031

Tota

l Flo

ws

orig

inat

ing

in R

egio

n (m

tonn

es)

Growth in freight flows originating in regions

NFDS 2008

Labour productivity

OECD Territorial Reviews: Competitive Cities in the Global Economy, 2006

People IssuesWhat is happening to New Zealand’s population (growing, ageing, diversifying, and becoming more urbanised) and

what will the impact of their choices will be on the transport system?

Population growth and changes

www.treasury.govt.nz

How people may travel in the future?

Car Rail+Ferry Bus Active0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90% 83%

1%4%

12%

70%

4%

8%

18%

20062041

Mod

e Sh

are

Ministry of Transport analysis

Population growth to 2031

Auckland region New Zealand0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

Statistics NZ projections June 2009

Energy IssuesHow do we enable the mobility that New Zealanders

require in an environment of both increasing fuel prices and price volatility?

Future sources of oil

2004 World Energy Outlook

Energy demand by fuel type

U.S. Energy Department

Environment Issues

What effect does transport have on the environment and conversely how will that impact on New Zealand’s

transport system?

Energy emissions by sector

www.med.govt.nz

Resilience

Technology IssuesHow do we capture the benefits of technology to improve the transport system as quickly and easily as possible?

The role of technology

Summary

The key issues facing transport include:

– Economic– People– Energy Funding

– Environment– Technology

What the Ministry of Transport is focusing on

• Identification, collection and monitoring of key datasets• Forward Plan for transport 2011• Trends and issues workshops 2011• Scenario development 2011• National Infrastructure Plan 2 2011• Government Policy Statement 2012

Questions?