STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis...

In This Edition » ............................................. page 1STOCK INDICES - Part I » . .............................. page 3Risk Disclosure » ............................................. page 4Shock - Pop - Drop » ........................................ page 5Flat Expanding - Shock - Pop - Drop » ......... page 6Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ...... page 7Copper - Weekly » ............................................ page 8S&P 500 » - Weekly .......................................... page 9E » llIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS ....... page 10S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 11Nasdaq 100 - Monthly » ................................ page 12Dow Jones 30 - Quarterly » ..................... page 13-14S&P 500 - Yearly - Composite Cycle » ........ page 15SENTIMENT & ECONOMIC INDICaTORS » . page 16Equity Market Peak Survey » ...................... page 17volatility (S&P 500) Index - Monthly » ..... page 18NYSE advance-Decline - Daily » ............... page 19COT and S&P 500 Data » ............................. page 20aaII Bullish Sentiment - Monthly » ......... page 21US Consumer Sentiment Index » ................ page 22US Consumer Confidence Index » .............. page 23US Gross Domestic Product » ................ page 24-25Price to Book Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ....... page 26Price/Sales Ratio (S&P 500) Index » ........... page 27P/E Ratio CaPE (S&P 500) - Monthly » ..... page 28INFlaTION-POP » ......................................... page 29U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index » .............. page 30GRaND RE-SYNChRONOISaTION » ........ page 31Zig Zag - Single vs. Impulse Exp. 5W » ..... page 32S&P 500 | hang Seng | MSCI » ................ page 33STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 34S&P 500 - Weekly » ........................................ page 35

S&P 500 - Daily - Composite Cycle » .......... page 36S&P 500 - Daily » ....................................... page 37-39Dow Jones 30 - Weekly & Daily » ........ page 40-41Russell 2000 - Weekly & Daily » ............ page 42-43Nasdaq 100 - Weekly & Daily » ............. page 44-45S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index - Daily » ............... page 46PhlX - KBW Banking Index » .............. page 47-48XlK Technology SPDR - Monthly » ........... page 49NaSDaQ Biotechnology » .................... page 50-51XlF Financial SPDR - Weekly » ............. page 52-53XlP Consumer Staples - Weekly » .............. page 54XlY Consumer Disc. - Weekly » ........... page 55-56STOCK INDICES ...continue... » ................... page 57EuroStoxx 50 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » .... page 58-60Xetra Dax 30 - Weekly, Daily & #2 » ...... page 61-63FTSE 100 - Weekly & Daily » ................. page 64-65STOCK INDICES ...continue.. » .................... page 66MSCI Emerging Markets - Weekly » ......... page 67MSCI Emerging Markets - Daily » ............. page 68Bovespa Brasil - Daily » ................................ page 69Russia RTs » - Weekly ................................... page 70India Nifty 50 - Weekly » ............................. page 71Sensex - Weekly » .......................................... page 72MSCI China - Weekly » ................................ page 73Shanghai Composite Index - Weekly » ...... page 74hS-China Enterprises Index - Weekly » ... page 75MSCI hong Kong Index - Monthly » ......... page 76hang Seng - Monthly » ................................. page 77Singapore Straits Times Index - Monthly » page 78Taiwan SE Weighted Index - Weekly » ...... page 79aSX 200 australia - Weekly » ...................... page 80NiKKEi 225 » - Weekly ................................. page 81

TaBlE OF CONTENTS {click on TOC text!}

STOCK INDICES ~ PaRT i.vIDEO UPDaTE!JuNE 2018(data through 19th June 2018)

ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

1WaveTrack Internatonal Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: services@wavetrack.com www.wavetrack.com

IN ThIS EDITION

TERMINal 3RD WavE IN FOCUS FOR REMaINDER OF 2018!We’re pleased to announce the publication of WaveTrack’s mid-year 2018 video updates of medium-term ELLIOTT WAVE price-forecasts. Today’s release is PART I, STOCK INDICES – Parts II & III will be published during the next month.

PART I - STOCK INDICES » PART II – COMMODITIES » PART III – CURRENCIES & INTEREST RATES »

DECEMBER ’17 FORECaSTS FOR 2018

The Annual 2018 report published last December highlighted several main points - the secular-bull uptrend remained in upward progress and contrary to consensus Elliott Wave and Economists’ opinion, was on course to continue higher over the next 18-month/2-year period – the post financial-crisis uptrend was approaching its terminal 3rd wave peak but would undergo a severe -7% per cent correction into January before resuming the last phase of its impulse sequence - Emerging Markets were set to continue their outperformance role but they too would undergo some significant retracement which leads the major indices lower in a period of underperformance - however, their ‘inflation-pop’ uptrends are strong and will recover afterwards. The banking sector was expected to underperform during the same period. Chinese indices were forecast approaching an interim peak having advanced over the last 2-year period – then stage a severe correction along with other EM’s. {continued next page}

{continued}

EW-FORECaST REvIEW – h1 2018

Reflecting back to last December’s forecasts, we can report that most of the forecasts were realised within acceptable tolerance. The secular-bull uptrend has remained on course, the 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis impulse uptrend has moved closer towards a terminal high but remains incomplete.

January did see an interim sell-off, but larger than our -7% per cent estimate with the benchmark S&P 500 dropping -11.8% per cent – this wasn’t the end of the secular-bull uptrend as consensus reports led us to believe with outperforming indices since trading to new record highs.

Emerging Markets have underperformed with the benchmark MSCI EM index falling -13.0% per cent so far this year.

The U.S. KBW Banking index has been down from its January peak by -12.2% per cent, underperforming the S&P by -8.0% percentage points whilst in Europe, the Eurostoxx Banks index is down from its January peak by a massive -23.8% per cent. China’s Shanghai Composite is down by -19.8% per cent.

WhaT NEXT h2 2018? – U.S. BENChMaRK INDICES

There’s a lot of bearish divergence in U.S. stock indices which alerts us to another up-coming downswing, extending the counter-trend corrective pattern that began declines from last January’s 2018 highs.

U.S. trade tariff policies are taking their toll and in this latest MID-YEaR 2018 vIDEO UPDaTE, we’re examining the current location of not only U.S. indices but how the pattern progress has unfolded for key EUROPEAN & ASIAN indices too. Will the current tariff plans explode into a full-blown trade war? Is such a possibility evident in the Elliott Wave charts?

EUROPEaN INDICES

Key European indices formed important highs last November (2017) which created bearish divergences when U.S. indices formed subsequent highs last January. Since then, overall declines are identified as corrective, counter-trend sequences within five wave impulse uptrends in progress from the Feb.’16 lows. BUT hOW FaR CaN ThESE DEClINES UNFOlD? WE INTEND TO FIND OUT!

EMERGING MaRKETS + aSIa - aUSTRalIa - JaPaN

Emerging Markets along with many benchmark commodity markets are unfolding into the ‘INFLATION-POP’ schematic first postulated in these reports back in year-2010. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the inflation-pop represents the second sequence of a multi-decennial expanding flat counter-trend pattern that is unfolding from the 2007/08 peaks that ended super-cycle uptrends. In this latest mid-year video, we take a look across EM’s, ASIA, Australia and Japan and answer why EM’s have been particularly hard hit this year and what to expect for the remainder of 2018.

2WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: services@wavetrack.com www.wavetrack.com « »

Elliott Wave Video Forecast - Stock Indices - Part I.

EllIOTT WavE vIDEO FORECaST - STOCK INDICES - PaRT I.

Risk Disclosure

RISK DISClOSURE

Shock - Pop - Drop

ShOCK - POP - DROP

fig 1 Flat Expanding - 3 Waves - Shock - Pop - Drop

FlaT EXPaNDING - 3 WavES - ShOCK - POP - DROP

»ThE EllIOTT WavE PRINCIPlE

FIg 2 CRB CaSh InDEx - MOnThly

ZIG ZaG - SINGlE vS. IMPUlSE EXPaNDING 5 WavES - EMERGING MaRKETS & COMMODITIES vS. US STOCK INDICES

FIg 3 ZIg Zag - SInglE VS. IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES - EMERgIng MaRkETS & COMMODITIES VS. uS STOCk InDICES

COPPER - WEEKlY

FIg 4 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - WEEkly

S&P 500 - WEEKlY

DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly- FORECaST 25Th nOVEMBER 2014!

EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS & OBJECTIvE TRUThS

S&P 500 - WEEKlY

FIg 5 IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES PaTTERn ExTEnSIOn 5Th

FIg 6 S&P 500 - WEEkly

NaSDaQ 100 - MONThlY

FIg 7 DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly

DOW JONES 30 - QUaRTERlY

FIg 8 DOW JOnES 30 - QuaRTERly

FIg 9 S&P 500 - yEaRly - COMPOSITE CyClE

S&P 500 - YEaRlY - COMPOSITE CYClE

SEnTIMEnT & ECOnOMIC InDICaTORS

SENTIMENT & ECONOMIC INDICaTORS

FIg 10 EQuITy MaRkET PEak SuRVEy

EQUITY MaRKET PEaK SURvEY

FIg 11 VOlaTIlITy (S&P 500) InDEx - MOnThly

vOlaTIlITY (S&P 500) INDEX - MONThlY

FIg 12 nySE aDVanCE-DEClInE (CuMulaTIVE) - DaIly

NYSE aDvaNCE-DEClINE (CUMUlaTIvE) - DaIlY

FIg 13 COT anD S&P 500 DaTa - SPECulaTIVE nET POSITIOnS

COT aND S&P 500 DaTa - SPECUlaTIvE NET POSITIONS

aaII BUllISh SENTIMENT - MONThlY

FIg 14 aaII BullISh SEnTIMEnT - MOnThly

FIg 15 uS COnSuMER SEnTIMEnT InDEx- MOnThly

US CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX- MONThlY

FIg 16 uS COnSuMER COnFIDEnCE InDEx - MOnThly

US CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX - MONThlY

FIg 17 uS gROSS DOMESTIC PRODuCT - QuaRTERly

US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT - QUaRTERlY

FIg 18 uS gROSS DOMESTIC PRODuCT - QuaRTERly

US GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT - QUaRTERlY

FIg 19 PRICE TO BOOk RaTIO (S&P 500) InDEx - WEEkly

PRICE TO BOOK RaTIO (S&P 500) INDEX - WEEKlY

FIg 20 PRICE/SalES RaTIO (S&P 500) InDEx - MOnThly

PRICE/SalES RaTIO (S&P 500) INDEX - MONThlY

FIg 21 P/E RaTIO CaPE (S&P 500) - MOnThly

P/E RaTIO CaPE (S&P 500) - MONThlY

InFlaTIOn-POP

INFlaTION-POP

FIg 22 u.S. COnSuMER SEnTIMEnT InDEx - MOnThly

U.S. CONSUMER SENTIMENT INDEX - MONThlY

gRanD RE-SynChROnOISaTIOn

GRaND RE-SYNChRONOISaTION

FIg 23 ZIg Zag - SInglE VS. IMPulSE ExPanDIng 5 WaVES - gRanD RE-SynChROnISaTIOn

ZIG ZaG - SINGlE vS. IMPUlSE EXPaNDING 5 WavES - GRaND RE-SYNChRONISaTION

FIg 24 S&P 500 | hang SEng | MSCI EM | SIngaPORE STRaITS TIMES - CORRElaTIOn STuDy

S&P 500 | haNG SENG | MSCI EM | SINGaPORE STRaITS TIMES - CORRElaTION STUDY

STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuE...

STOCK INDICES ...CONTINUE...

FIg 25 S&P 500 - WEEkly

S&P 500 - WEEKlY

FIg 26 S&P 500 - DaIly - COMPOSITE CyClE

S&P 500 - DaIlY - COMPOSITE CYClE

FIg 27 S&P 500 - DaIly

S&P 500 - DaIlY

FIg 28 S&P 500 - DaIly

S&P 500 - DaIlY

FIg 29 S&P 500 - DaIly - COunT #2

S&P 500 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

FIg 30 DOW JOnES 30 - WEEkly

DOW JONES 30 - WEEKlY

FIg 31 DOW JOnES 30 - DaIly

DOW JONES 30 - DaIlY

FIg 32 RuSSEll 2000 - WEEkly

RUSSEll 2000 - WEEKlY

FIg 33 RuSSEll 2000 - DaIly

RUSSEll 2000 - DaIlY

FIg 34 naSDaQ 100 - WEEkly

NaSDaQ 100 - WEEKlY

FIg 35 naSDaQ 100 - DaIly

NaSDaQ 100 - DaIlY

FIg 36 S&P 400 MID-CaP InDEx - DaIly

S&P 400 MID-CaP INDEX - DaIlY

FIg 37 Phlx - kBW BankIng InDEx - WEEkly

PhlX - KBW BaNKING INDEX - WEEKlY

FIg 38 Phlx - kBW BankIng InDEx - DaIly

PhlX - KBW BaNKING INDEX - DaIlY

FIg 39 xlk TEChnOlOgy SPDR - MOnThly

XlK TEChNOlOGY SPDR - MONThlY

FIg 40 naSDaQ BIOTEChnOlOgy - MOnThly

NaSDaQ BIOTEChNOlOGY - MONThlY

FIg 41 naSDaQ BIOTEChnOlOgy - WEEkly

NaSDaQ BIOTEChNOlOGY - WEEKlY

FIg 42 xlF FInanCIal SPDR - WEEkly

XlF FINaNCIal SPDR - WEEKlY

FIg 43 xlF FInanCIal SPDR - DaIly

XlF FINaNCIal SPDR - DaIlY

FIg 44 xlP COnSuMER STaPlES - WEEkly

XlP CONSUMER STaPlES - WEEKlY

FIg 45 xly COnSuMER DISC. - WEEkly

XlY CONSUMER DISC. - WEEKlY

FIg 46 xly COnSuMER DISC. - DaIly

XlY CONSUMER DISC. - DaIlY

STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuED...

STOCK INDICES ...CONTINUED...

FIg 47 EuROSTOxx 50 - WEEkly

EUROSTOXX 50 - WEEKlY

FIg 48 EuROSTOxx 50 - DaIly

EUROSTOXX 50 - DaIlY

FIg 49 EuROSTOxx 50 - DaIly - COunT #2

EUROSTOXX 50 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

FIg 50 xETRa Dax 30 - WEEkly

XETRa DaX 30 - WEEKlY

FIg 51 xETRa Dax 30 - DaIly

XETRa DaX 30 - DaIlY

FIg 52 xETRa Dax 30 - DaIly - COunT #2

XETRa DaX 30 - DaIlY - COUNT #2

FIg 53 FTSE 100 - WEEkly

FTSE 100 - WEEKlY

FIg 54 FTSE 100 - DaIly

FTSE 100 - DaIlY

STOCk InDICES ...COnTInuED...

sTOcK iNDicEs ...cONTiNuED...

FIg 55 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - WEEkly

MSCI EMERGING MaRKETS - WEEKlY

FIg 57 MSCI EMERgIng MaRkETS - DaIly

MSCI EMERGING MaRKETS - DaIlY

FIg 58 BOVESPa BRaSIl - DaIly

BOvESPa BRaSIl - DaIlY

FIg 59 RuSSIa RTS - WEEkly

Russia RTs - WEEKlY

FIg 60 InDIa nIFTy 50 - WEEkly

INDIa NIFTY 50 - WEEKlY

FIg 61 SEnSEx - WEEkly

SENSEX - WEEKlY

FIg 62 MSCI ChIna - WEEkly

MSCI ChINa - WEEKlY

FIg 63 ShanghaI COMPOSITE InDEx - WEEkly

ShaNGhaI COMPOSITE INDEX - WEEKlY

FIg 64 hS-ChIna EnTERPRISES InDEx - WEEkly

hS-ChINa ENTERPRISES INDEX - WEEKlY

FIg 65 MSCI hOng kOng InDEx - MOnThly

MSCI hONG KONG INDEX - MONThlY

FIg 66 hang SEng - MOnThly

haNG SENG - MONThlY

FIg 67 SIngaPORE STRaITS TIMES InDEx - MOnThly

SINGaPORE STRaITS TIMES INDEX - MONThlY

FIg 68 TaIWan SE WEIghTED InDEx - WEEkly

TaIWaN SE WEIGhTED INDEX - WEEKlY

FIg 69 aSx 200 auSTRalIa - WEEkly

aSX 200 aUSTRalIa - WEEKlY

FIg 70 nIkkEI 225 - WEEkly

NiKKEi 225 - WEEKlY

EnD OF PaRT I.

END OF PaRT I.

82WaveTrack International Gmbh Kanalstr. 14 80538 Munich Germany Phone: +49 (0)89-21 02 07 11 Fax: +49 (0)89-92 18 52 45 E-Mail: services@wavetrack.com www.wavetrack.com «

STOCK INDICES ~ P i. · » EllIOTT WavE MISCONCEPTIONS 1 ... 3rd wave of the post-financial-crisis...

Documents

MYTHS & MISCONCEPTIONS

COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS 1 - Saint Xavier Universityfaculty.sxu.edu/dlc1/evoweb19/Ch1b-common-misconceptions-about-evolution.pdfCOMMON MISCONCEPTIONS ABOUT EVOLUTION COMMON MISCONCEPTIONS

UX misconceptions

MSSI Evolution Misconceptions

Pagan Misconceptions

6/30/2020 UPTREND Nasdaq pops above 10,000 again w higher ... · 6/30/2020 · CURRENT MARKET DIRECTION: UPTREND. Armchair Investor Trend-following Investment Position: I hold the

Intelligent Investing - Weekly Digest September 16, 2017 · PDF file3 | P a g e Elliot Wave Updates In last weekend’s update, I noted “, price found support at the green uptrend

Misconceptions in chemistry

Common XBRL Misconceptions

Math Misconceptions

Popular misconceptions

Barclays Global FX Quarterly Brief Break in the USD Uptrend (1)

Student Misconceptions

NUTRITION & MISCONCEPTIONS

Biology misconceptions

Seo misconceptions

Chemestry misconceptions

Snowden Misconceptions

Common Misconceptions

Evolution Misconceptions