Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA U.S. Food Retail EconS 451: Lecture #4 Be able to...

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Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

U.S. Food RetailEconS 451: Lecture #4

• Be able to differentiate between different types of Food Retail outlets: Supermarket, Convenience Store, Superette, Supercenter, Warehouse Club.

• Understand U.S. Food Retail sales trend and where growth has occurred.

• Be able to explain what has happened to the number of Supermarkets in the U.S. relative to the amount of Supermarket floor space and the number of unique items per store.

• Explain where concentration in this industry is occurring and whether consumers should be worried.

• What have been the challenges to “On-Line Shopping”

• Where has the U.S. Food Retail industry focused improving productivity while lowering operational costs?

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Retail Definitions

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Distribution of U.S. Foodstore sales

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Foodstore Sales by Store Type(Excludes Supercenter and Warehouse Clubs)

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

Year

$ m

illio

n

SpecializedSmall GroceryConveinenceSupermarkets

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Super Market % of Grocery Store Sales

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

Year

Per

cen

t

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Number of Supermarkets and Sales

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Supermarket Definitions:

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Loss of Market Share

• Conventional supermarkets have lost significant market share to Supercenters and Warehouse clubs. Their strategy to compete is to:

• Focus on natural foods

• More pre-prepared foods

• Promote store/private labels

• Promote frequent shopper discounts

• On-line home shopping

• Self-Checkout

• More personalized

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Challenges to On-Line Shopping

• Meeting customers expectation on timely delivery

• Access to delivery locale in all weather conditions

• Spoilage for perishables like milk, ice cream, damaged fruit, etc.

• Inflated delivery costs in low/density areas.

Primary reasons why success has been in high-density cities.

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Retail Mergers / Divestures

Food Retail Mergers / Divestures

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Year

#

U.S. Acq.

Other Acq.

Total Divestures

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Concentration in Food Retail

• National Concentration has increased substantially, local market concentration has only increased slightly due to anti-trust oversight and monitoring.

• Between 1992-1998 C4 ratio of national grocery retailers increased 68.6% while the C4 ratio among the largest 100 cities increased 5.4%.

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Sales of Top Grocery Wholesalers

Food Retail World - Leading Retailers

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Productivity and AverageHourly Earnings

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Foreign Owned Food Retailers

Source: U.S. Food Marketing System, 2002, ERS-USDA

Summary!• Retail food sales growth has been slow due to slow population

growth and growth of fast-food sales.

• The number of supermarkets has declined while average floor space has increased, understand the benefits associated with this market shift.

• Nontraditional supermarkets have focused on all natural specialty products (Wild Oats, Whole Foods, Trader Joes).

• Implications for industry concentration related to upstream purchasing power relative to ability to increase price to consumers.

• Understand food retail employment productivity changes relative to average earnings per employee.

• Foreign investment in U.S. Food Retail still relatively small, but investment of U.S. Food Retail from abroad is growing.