Senior Seminar Paper Presentation

2008 US

RECESSION

#1 Economy. $14.7 trillion. #1 Manufacturer. #1 Trading Nation.

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

1%

3%

3%

4%

4%

5%

7%

15%

27%

31%

CrossSec

Oth.Manf.

Adv.Edu

Oth.Ret.

Transp.

Prof.Org.

Techn.

Trade

Social Service

Manufacturing

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

31%

27%

15%

Manufacturing Social Service Trade Other Sectors

10,463,000

2%

2%

2%

3%

4%

6%

6%

20%

57%

-10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Adv.Edu

Oth.Ret.

CrossSec

Oth.Manf.

Prof.Org.

Soc.Serv.

Techn.

Transp.

Trade

Manf.

-153.5

-153

-152.5

-152

-151.5

-151

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e2

132.4

132.6

132.8

133

133.2

133.4

133.6

133.8

134

134.2

134.4

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e3

128.2

128.4

128.6

128.8

129

129.2

129.4

129.6

129.8

130

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e8

-74.4

-74.3

-74.2

-74.1

-74

-73.9

-73.8

-73.7

-73.6

-73.5

-73.4

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e7

99.2

99.4

99.6

99.8

100

100.2

100.4

100.6

100.8

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e6

132.4

132.6

132.8

133

133.2

133.4

133.6

133.8

134

134.2

134.4

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e5

59.8

59.9

60

60.1

60.2

60.3

60.4

60.5

60.6

60.7

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e4

-196.5

-196

-195.5

-195

-194.5

-194

-193.5

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e1

Trans. -9.5975*Manf -18.68*Trade -10.72*Expenditure - .74526*Receipts + 37.498*H.Price + .24044*FEDFundRate -5.4982*E.Price = e1

99.2

99.4

99.6

99.8

100

100.2

100.4

100.6

100.8

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e6

Techn. + 5.8934*Manf + 7.3473*Trade + 5.6809*Expenditure -18.934*H.Price -0.27489*M2Stock -0.11858*FEDFundRate + 2.9075*E.Price = e6

59.8

59.9

60

60.1

60.2

60.3

60.4

60.5

60.6

60.7

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

e4

Social Ser. + 3.5351*Manf + 4.3259*Trade + 3.1639*Expenditure + .26596*Receipts -12.431*H.Price - .070038*FEDFundRate + 1.7818*E.Price = e4

Manufacturing and Trade were

the culprits

Promote Manufacturing

Boost Consumer Confidence

Changes in Immigration Policy