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SCIENTIFIC SEMEIOTIC
AS-DEFINED-BY-CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE
(ALSO PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC)
15 JULY 2007
E.T. NOZAWAADVANCED OPERATIONS RESEARCH ANALYST
KENNESAW, GEORGIA 30160
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
et.071507
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS
SOFT SCIENCES:
• GWOT/NCW PLACING NEW EMPHASIS ON SOFT SCIENCES
• GREATER ROLE IN AMERICAN INTELLIGENCE FOR• ANTHROPOLOGY• SOCIOLOGY• SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY• HISTORY/ANCIENT HISTORY• ARCHEOLOGY• GEOGRAPHY• HUMANITIES• CRITICAL THINKING, ETHICS, ESTHETICS• etc.
• SOFT SCIENCES BECAME A “SCIENCE” WHEN ITADOPTED THE SCIENTIFIC “METHODS” OF THE HARD
SCIENCES BUT WITHOUT EXAMINING ASSUMPTIONS
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
1
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS
SOFT SCIENCES:
• WEAKNESS IN PHILOSOPHICAL FOUNDATIONS
• BASIS KNOWLEDGE HAS KNOWN FLAWS
• NOMINALISM HAS GREAT DIFFICULTY INSUPPORTING MENTALISTIC SCIENCES
• LOGICAL POSITIVISM WAS DECLARED A “COLLAPSED PHILOSOPHY” C.1955
• STOVEPIPE NATURE OF SCIENCE SLOWS TRANSFEROF KNOWLEDGE CHANGES ACROSS SILOS
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
2
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
WHY SHOULD PHILOSOPHY BE RE-EXAMINED?
• PREVAILING PHILOSOPHY DETERMINES FOUNDATIONAL
BOUNDARIES OF CURRENT SCIENTIFIC THOUGHT
• PROCESS INCLUDES/EXCLUDES DOMAINS OF THOUGHT
• ARISTOTELEAN THOUGHT MODIFICATIONS
• NOMINALISM – REMOVED ARISTOTELIAN “FORM” THEREBY
• EXCLUDED THEOLOGICAL AND METAPHYSICAL
• INADVERDENTLY EXCLUDED NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL LOGIC IN THEBELIEF THAT LOGIC AND PSYCHOLOGY WERE ONE AND THE SAME
• HUMANISM EJECTED THE TEACHINGS OF JOHN DUNS SCOTUS
• EXCLUDED LOGIC AND ART OF REASONING
• LOGICAL POSITIVISM BUILT ON NOMINALISM AND HUMANISM
• EXCLUDED STUDY OF THE “MIND”
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
3
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
WHO IS MINDING THE SHOP?
• WHO ARE THE KEEPERS OF KNOWLEDGE?
• RELIGIONS, GOVERNMENTS, FRATERNITIES, PRIVATE GROUPS, AND UNKNOWN?
• STANDARDS ARE PUBLIC, PRIVATE, AND UNKNOWN?
• HISTORIES ARE PUBLIC, PRIVATE, AND UNKNOWN?
• WHAT HAPPENS TO EXCLUDED KNOWLEDGE?
• JUST FADES AWAY UNTIL RESURRECTED OR BECOMES HIDDEN:
• SYSTEM OF LOGIC DETERIORATED UNTIL BOOLE. PEIRCE THEN BUILT ON BOOLE, JOHN DUNS SCOTUS,
AND ARISTOTLE.
• ART OF REASONING DECLINED UNTIL IT WAS RECOVERED, RESTATED, AND ADVANCED BY PEIRCE
IN THE 19TH CENTURY.
• THEORY OF SIGNS RECONSTRUCTED BY PEIRCE
• NO ONE IS MINDING THE SHOP.• WE ARE MOVING UNIMPEDED AND FREE-WHEELING DOWN A DEADEND PATH
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
4
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
• PEIRCE WAS PROPHETIC; WE ARE VERY NEAR
THE NADIR OF INTELLIGENCE AND SYSTEMS ANALYTICAL CAPABILITY.
• LOGICAL POSITIVISM AND NOMINALISM DOMINATE
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, JOINT OPERATIONS CONCEPTS (JOpsC),
MILITARY SYSTEMS ANLYSIS , NON-MILITARY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS,
LAW ENFORCEMENT, AND OTHER ANALYSIS ORIENTED AGENCIES.
• U.S. “SOFT SCIENCE” SYSTEMS ANALYSIS IS ON A DEAD-END PATH
• THERE IS NO ONE MINDING THE SHOP.
• WHAT’S THE PENALTY?
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
5
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC6
WHAT IS THE NATURE OF THE THREAT?• WESTERN PHILOSOPHIES ARE UNABLE TO YIELD THE ANSWERS WE
NEED TO FIGHT AND DEFEAT THE NETWORKED, INTELLECTUALLY
AGILE DETERMINED ENEMY WHO IS OFTEN HIGHLY EDUCATED
AND FIGHTS COHESIVELY AND SYSTEMATICALLY
• WESTERN PHILOSOPHIES YIELD INCOMPLETE, INACCURATE,
IMPRECISE, INCONSISTENT, INCOHERENT, UNTIMELY, INFLEXIBLE,
AND UNTRUSTWORTHY NON-SYSTEMATIC SOLUTIONS.
• SOLUTIONS ARE UNIMAGINATIVE, SHALLOW, AND
DEVOID OF BREADTH AND DEPTH OF KNOWLEDGE AND ANALYSIS
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHO WAS CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
• CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE• BORN: 1839 CAMBRIDGE, MA• DIED: 1914 MILFORD. PA• HARVARD UNIVERSITY• SCIENTIST AT U.S. COAST SURVEY• LECTURER: JOHNS HOPKINS UNIV• ENGINEERING CONSULTANT• PHILOSOPHER - PRAGMATICISM • RANKED WITH ARISTOTLE & LEIBNIZ
PRAGMATICISM:• ONLY RECOGNIZED MAJOR PHILOSOPHY
DEVELOPED BY AN AMERICAN.• ORIGINAL NAME = PRAGMATISM• CREDIT FOR DEVELOPMENT OFTEN
ERRONEOUSLY GIVEN TO W. JAMES.• METHODOLOGY – LOGIC OR PROCESS
CENTERED .
PRAGMATICISM• OPEN-SYSTEM PHILOSOPHY• HUMAN-CENTERED PHILOSOPHY• SEPARATES LOGIC FROM PSYCHOLOGY• BASIS FOR ART OF REASONING• SYSTEM OF LOGIC• GENERATES NEW IMAGINATIVE IDEAS• ABSTRACTIVELY ORDERED SYSTEM
OF SCIENCE• DEVELOPED FOR COMMUNITY OF
INQUIRERS (COLLABORATIVE).
SYSTEMS ORIENTED PHILOSOPHY:GERMAN PHILOSOPHERS SEE PEIRCE’SPHILOSOPHY HAVING IMPACT ON
• PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE• PHYSICS• LANGUAGE• ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE• SOCIOLOGY• LAW• LITERATURE• CULTURAL STUDIES… AND MUCH MORE!
7
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS THE RELEVANCE OF PEIRCE?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED…
CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE(1839-1914)
INSTITUTIONALISMEDUCATION
QUINCUNTIAL PROJECTION (CARTOGRAPHY)
EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS (GRAPHICAL LOGIC)
THEORY OF SIGNS - TERIDENTITY
ECONOMY OF RESEARCH (OPS RESEARCH)
EXPERIMENTAL PSYCH (CONCEPT OF SELF)
UNIV OF CHICAGODYADIC SCIENCE OF SIGNSFOUNDER: NON-SCIENTIFIC. SEMIOTICS
G. MEAD C.W. MORRIS
INDUCTION - STATISTICSINDUCTIVE ANALYSISBLIND TESTINGRANDOM SAMPLINGSAMPLE SIZE ~ 30THEORY OF ERRORS
HARVARD- CONCEPTUAL PRAGMATISM
W. SHEWHART W. E. DEMING DEMING PHILOSOPHY LEAN SIGMA PHILOSOPHY
JAPANESE QUALITY MANAGEMENT
THEOREMATIC & COROLLARIAL DEDUCTION
R. BURCH
PEIRCEAN KNOWLEDGEDISCOVERY ENGINE (PKDE)
THEORY OF SIGNSEXISTENTIAL GRAPHSHYPOTHESIS GENERATIONREDUCTION THESIS
VALENTAL GRAPHS
EXPERIMENTALPSYCHOLOGY N. WIENER CONCEPT OF FEEDBACK
ESTIMATION THEORYCYBERNETICS
PURE/APPLIEDMATHEMATICS
HISTORY OFSCIENCE
INFLUENCEDVICTORIANPHILOSOPHERS.
MODERN LOGICSCHRODER
JEGALKIN ALGEBRA
PEIRCE MANUSCRIPTS
V. FINNHYPOTHESISGENERATION
FEEDBACK SELF-CTRL LOOPSCIENCE OF INFERENTIALS
- ABDUCTIONECONOMY OF RESEARCH
SCIENCE OF INQUIRY
SKOLEMLOWENHEIM
GOEDEL?
R. A. FISHER?
HERBRAND
BOCHVAR
LADY VICTORIAWELBY
JASTROW
J. ROYCE C.I. LEWIS
J. DEWEY
8
JEGALKIN
POPPER
R A FISHER
O H MITCHELL
DIGITAL COMPUTER
ALGEBRA OFRELATIONS.
CHRISTINELADD-FRANKLIN
MARQUAND
QUANTIFICATION.
VIENNA CIRCLE
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED…
PEIRCEAN REALISM: - MATTER - FORM
ARISTOTLE: - MATTER - FORM
SCHOLASTIC REALISM: - MATTER - FORM
EJECTION OF LOGIC AND ART OF REASONING
NOMINALISM: - MATTER ONLY - DESCARTES
LOGICAL POSITVISM: - MATTER - UNIFY SCIENCE
333 BC
14TH CENTURY
17TH CENTURY
21TH CENTURY?
21ST CENTURY
WHAT ARE THE PHILOSOPHICAL ISSUES?
REJECTION OF MINDBEHAVIORISM
RE-INSERT SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHYAND CONSTRUCT A SYSTEM OF SCIENCE &
SYSTEM OF LOGIC
MINDLESS
PEIRCE - MINDFULSURPASSES KNOWN SEPHARDIC?
SOURCE:SEPHARDIC
12TH CENTURY
SEPHARDIC?VERSION
WE ARE HERE!!!
THEY ARE HERE?
TOWARDS A TRUECOLLABORATIVE PHILOSOPHY
COLLAPSEDC.1955
PHILOSOPHY IN DECLINEWHO’S MINIDING THE SHOP?
CHAOS?
9
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY
et.071407
WESTERNSYSTEMS
SCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY
RUSSIAN REFLEXIVE PROCESSES
WHAT ARE THE RELATIONSHIPS AMONG THE VARIOUS VIEWS?
LOGICAL POSITIVISM
NOMINALISM
UNIVERSAL PRINCIPLES AND TRUTHSOF RIGHTEOUSNESS AND MORALITY
PEIRCEANREALISMARISTOTLE
ROYALSOCIETY (EARLY)
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
C.2004SIMPLIFIED
OTHER MAJOR CONTRIBUTING
WESTERN TRADITIONS NOT SHOWN
10
CENTRALASIA
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
2000 BC 1750 BC 1500 BC 1250 BC 1000 BC 750 BC 500 BC 250 BC 0 250 AD 500 AD 750 AD 1000 AD 1250 AD 1500 AD 1750 AD 2000 AD
BUDDHA
LAO TZU
CONFUCIUS
LAYMAN’S SCIENTIFIC VIEW OF HISTORY – 2025 BC TO PRESENT
ASSYRIA
BABYLONIA
HITTITES
ALEXANDERTHE GREAT
X
PERSIA
EGYPTIAN CRUSADES
BYZANTINE EMPIRE X
FALL OFCONSTANTINOPLE
MIDDLEAGES RENAISSANCE
X
XWILLIAM OF OCCAM
XDESCARTES
NOMINALISM: MATTER
X
X
X
ROMANEMPIREX
JULIUSCAESAR
UNIVERSITYOF PARIS
X - SPINOZA
X
JOHN DUNS SCOTUS
XPEIRCE
REALISM: FORM AND MATTER
XPYTHAGORAS
PLATOX
XPROCLUS
X
XX ATTILA X
GENGHISKHAN
?
XU.S. CONSTITUTION
SUN TZU
X
BaroqueGothicRomanesque
EUCLIDX
PTOLEMAIC
ANCIENT GREECE
CHINA
FU HSI
XARISTOTLE
DARKAGES
AQUINAS
X
BOOLE
REBIRTH OF LOGICAFTER 550 YEAR DECLINE
X
HANSHANG TANG
MING MANCHUYUAN
X - LEIBNIZX - KANT
X - WESTERNERS IN CHINA X - BRUNO
ROYAL SOCIETY
X MEROVINGIAN EMPIREX ABRAHAM X SAUL
JIMMU
SEPHARDIC ?
MINOAN
MYCENEAN
X
5760
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICSIMPLIFIED… 11
JAIN X
ZARATHUSTRA X
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
A NAME RECENTLY GIVEN TO A BODY OF SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE
DEVELOPED BY CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE (1839 - 1914). KEY TOPICS INCLUDE:
• PRAGMATICISM• ONLY MAJOR PHILOSOPHY OF AMERICAN ORIGIN
• PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE• ONLY KNOWN COMPLETE SYSTEM OF SCIENCE
• PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF VALENTAL GRAPHS/EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS• SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS/PATTERN ANALYSIS
• PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF LOGIC• LOGIC OF RELATIVES AND ART OF REASONING
• PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF INQUIRY• CLOSED LOOP INFERENTIAL SCIENCE PROCESS
12
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS SEMIOTICS?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
(1) THERE IS MORE THAN ONE VERSION AND SPELLING:
- SEMIOLOGY = SAUSSURE (EUROPEAN)DYADIC
- SEMIOTICS = MOST COMMON FORM IN U.S. AND EUROPEDYADIC
- SEMEIOTIC (SEE-MY-OH-TIK) = CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE (U.S.)TRIADIC
(2) DEFINITION:
- THEORY OF SIGNS OR SCIENCE OF SIGNS
• EXISTENCE OF TECHNICAL SEMEIOTIC UNKNOWN OUTSIDE OF PHILOSOPHY.• SEMIOTICS AND SEMIOLOGY ARE NON-TECHNICAL
13
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
LOCKHEED MARTIN
AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS
LOCKHEED MARTIN
AERONAUTICAL SYSTEMS
UNCLASSIFIED/NOFORN
TRIADIC
LOGIC BASEDHIERARCHICAL
SYSTEMS THINKING
SIMPLIFIED HIERARCHY
SCIENCE OF SIGNS
SEMIOLOGY FERDINAND DE SAUSSURE
SEMEIOTICCHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE
SEMIOTICSC.W. MORRIS
UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO
DYADICLINGUISTICSSOCIALISTIC
DYADICHUMANISTIC
LOGICALPOSITIVISM
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC: SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY DEVELOPED ONLY FOR SCIENTISTS AND ENGINEERS.
AVOID NON-TECHNICAL SEMIOTICS AND SEMIOLOGY.
WHAT MAKES PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTICDIFFERENT FROM THE OTHER “SEMIOTICS”?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC14
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS A SIGN?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
WHAT IS A SIGN?- PEIRCEAN DEFINITION:
PEIRCE = ANYTHING ( R) WHICH IS SO DETERMINED BY ANYTHING ELSE
CALLED ITS OBJECT (O)
AND SO DETERMINES AN EFFECT UPON A PERSON WHICH I CALL ITS INTERPRETANT
- PEIRCEAN TERIDENTITY (VALENTAL GRAPH)
O (OBJECT)
R (REPRESENTAMEN)
I (INTERPRETANT)
15
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
STARTING POINT FOR PEIRCE’S ENTIRE SYSTEM OF LOGIC
WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
RECONSTRUCTION OF SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY AND UNIFICATION WITH MATHEMATICS AND THE CONVENTIONAL SCIENCES:
COMPLETE 21ST CENTURY SCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGY
MATHEMATICS
CONVENTIONAL SCIENCE
SCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY
16
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
- MATHEMATICS (MOST ABSTRACT OF THE SCIENCES)
- SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY
- PHENOMENOLOGY (PHANEROSCOPY)
- NORMATIVE SCIENCE
- ESTHETICS
- ETHICS
- LOGIC (SEMEIOTIC)
- METAPHYSICS
- CONVENTIONAL SCIENCE- PSYCHICAL SCIENCES - PSYCHOLOGY - HISTORY- PHYSICAL SCIENCESINSTRUMENTS NEEDED
FOR OBSERVATIONSAND EXPERIMENTATION
THESE ARE SCIENTIFICTERMS NOT
METAPHYSICAL ORTHEOLOGICAL TERMS
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY?
17
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
• PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC REPRESENTS THE ENTIRETY OF PEIRCEAN SCHOLARSHIP
• ONE OF MANY KEY ELEMENTS IS PEIRCE’S SYSTEM OF SCIENCE:
WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE ?
PEIRCEAN SYSTEM OF SCIENCE
1. THEORETICAL SCIENCE
1.1. SCIENCE OF RESEARCH1.1.1. MATHEMATICS
1.1.2. SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY1.1.2.1. PHANEROSCOPY1.1.2.2. NORMATIVE SCIENCE
1.1.2.2.1. AESTHETICS1.1.2.2.1. ETHICS1.1.2.2.3. SEMEIOTIC
1.1.2.2.3.1. SPECULATIVE GRAMMAR1.1.2.2.3.2. SPECULATIVE CRITIC1.1.2.2.3.3. SPECULATIVE RHETORIC
1.1.2.3. METAPHYSICS
1.1.3. SPECIAL SCIENCE1.1.3.1. PHYSICAL SCIENCES1.1.3.2. PSYCHICAL SCIENCES
1.2. SCIENCE OF REVIEW2.0 PRACTICAL SCIENCES
PEIRCEANSCIENTIFICPHILOSOPHY
STRUCTURE ISNON-EXISTENT IN NOMINALISMAND LOGICALPOSITIVISM
LOGICAL POSITIVISTDOMAIN OF STUDY
HIGHER LEVELSOF ABSTRACTION
LOWER LEVELSOF ABSTRACTION
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC18
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SCIENCE OF INQUIRY?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
MANY DESCRIPTIONS OF THE “SCIENTIFIC METHOD”APPROACH THIS PROCESS IN WORDS OR SIMPLE DIAGRAMS
BUT USUALLY LACK ABDUCTION AND ECONOMY OF RESEARCH
PROVIDES POSSIBLE EXPLANATIONOF COLLECTED INFORMATION
LINKS HYPOTHESIS TOPOSSIBLE OBSERVABLES
NEW EXPLANATION IS APPLIEDTO THE KNOWLEDGE BASETO DRAW CONCLUSIONS
DEDUCE OBSERVABLE CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESIS
(PEIRCEAN DEDUCTION)
TEST CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESIS(PEIRCEAN INDUCTION
HYPOTHESISGENERATION
(PEIRCEAN ABDUCTION)
ECONOMY OF RESEARCH
(PEIRCEAN OPTIMIZATION)
COSTEFFECTIVESOLUTIONDATA
EXPERIENCE
EMERGINGTECHNOLOGOY
OPTIMALITY CRITERIA
19
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
PEIRCEANINFERENTIAL SCIENCE
PEIRCEANANALYTIC
PEIRCEANSYNTHETIC
INDUCTIONABDUCTION COROLLARIALDEDUCTION
THEOREMATICDEDUCTION
EXPLANATION
IMAGINATION
EVALUATION
STATISTICAL ESTIMATION
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN INFERENTIAL SCIENCE?
DEFINITION OF DEDUCTION:PEIRCE’S GREATEST DISCOVERY
… ANTICIPATED GOEDEL.
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC 20
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
COMPONENTS OF CRITICAL THINKING
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN CONCEPTUAL SYSTEM DESIGN?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
OPTIMIZATIONPROCESS
OPERATIONSRESEARCH
SYSTEMSANALYSIS
SYSTEMSDESIGN
SYSTEMSEVALUATION
MILITARY NEED CONCEPT
FORMULATIONSYSTEM
DEFINITIONALTERNATIVE SYSTEM
DESIGNS
COST- EFFECTIVEDESIGN
OPTIMALITYCRITERION
PRIMARYMOES/FOMSCONSTRAINTS
SCIENCE
EXPERIENCE
A CRITICAL THINKING MODEL USED FOR AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM DESIGN
MOES/FOMS
21
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
• SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE
• ABDUCTIVE REASONING
• OPERATIONS RESEARCH
• ADVANCED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
• ADVANCED SYSTEMS DESIGN
• ADVANCED SYSTEMS EVALUATION
• SYSTEMS ANALYSIS
• OPERATIONAL ANALYSIS
• SYSTEMS EFFECTIVENESS
• SYSTEMS ENGINEERING
• PROJECT ENGINEERING
WHAT IS TOP-DOWN INTELLIGENCE AND WARFARE ANALYSIS?
• SUBSYSTEM SYS ENGINEERING
CONVENTIONALSYSTEMS DESIGN
NOTIONAL AND SIMIPLIFED
OPS RESEARCH - REALM OF SYNTHESIS AND ANALYSIS OF
• BLOCKADE OF THE SOUTH• CHAIN HOME INTEGRATED AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM (UK)• U. S. ARTILLERY• COLLOSUS (UK)/HUFF DUFF • OUTER AIR BATTLE AIR DEFENSE SYSTEM
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
ADV CONCEPTUAL SYSTEMS DESIGN
22
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
CRITICAL THINKING TOP DOWN SYSTEMS DESIGN PROCESS
• SCIENTIFIC KNOWLEDGE/ABDUCTIVE REASONING - LOGIC
• OPERATIONS RESEARCH
• ADVANCED SYSTEMS ANALYSIS – MOES/FOMS
COMPLEX CONCEPTUAL SYSTEMS ENGINEERING –
MISSING PROCESSES IN SYSTEMS ENGINEERING TODAY?
NOTIONAL AND SIMIPLIFED
APPLICATON OF SCIENCETO THE SOLUTION OF MILITARY PROBLEMS
WESTERN CIVILIZATION WAS SAVED BY OPERATIONS RESEARCHSEPTEMBER 1940
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC 23
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
HUMAN REASONING MIND
INTEGRATEDNON-PSYCHOLOGICAL
PEIRCEANSEMEIOTIC
DYADICPSYCHOLOGICAL
“OLD-EUROPEAN” THOUGHTLOGIC AND PSYCHOLOGY
INSEPARABLY MIXED
PEIRCEANSEMEIOTIC
REFLEXIVECONTROL
ESTHETICSETHICS
SEMEIOTIC
INFLUENCED BY • CULTURAL BIAS• VIRTUES• CUSTOMS• ATTITUDES• RELIGION• BEILIEFS• EDUCATION • EXPERIENCE• SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY
NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL REASONING THE DOMAIN OF REASON AND BELIEF
FEDERATED TRIADIC
NON- MAINSTREAMWESTERN THOUGHT
STUDY OF HUMAN REASONING NEGLECTED FOR ~610 YEARS
OTHERTRADITIONS
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC24
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
“… I CANNOT BUT THINK IT LAMENTABLE THAT TRUE,
MODERN, EXACT, NON-PSYCHOLOGICAL LOGIC…
DOES NOT RECEIVE SUFFICIENT ATTENTION HERE TO
BE AT ALL IN EVIDENCE.
AS TIME GOES ON THE CONSEQUENCES OF THIS NEGLECT
WILL BE DEEPLY GRAVEN.”
PEIRCE AT HARVARD
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC25
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC 26
WHERE ARE WE TODAY?
• PEIRCE WAS PROPHETIC ; WE ARE VERY NEAR THE NADIE OF
INTELLIGENCE AND SYSTEMS ANALYTICAL CAPABILITY.
• LOGICAL POSITIVISM AND NOMINALISM DOMINATE
INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS, JOINT OPERATIONS CONCEPTS (JOpsC),
MILITARY SYSTEMS ANLYSIS , NON-MILITARY SYSTEMS ANALYSIS,
LAW ENFORCEMENT, AND OTHER ANALYSIS ORIENTED AGENCIES.
• U.S. SYSTEMS ANALYSIS IS ON A DEAD-END PATH
• THERE IS NO ONE MINDING THE SHOP.
• WHAT’S THE ANSWER?
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
BACK UP
27
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
APPLICATIONS:• NEW PHILOSOPHY TO REPAIRS PROBLEMS IN NOMINALISM
• NEW SCIENTIFIC PHILOSOPHY TO OVERHAUL LOGICAL POSITIVISM
• SYSTEM OF SCIENCE• INTEROPERABILITY KNOWLEDGE BASE STRUCTURE FOR NCW
• SYSTEM OF INQUIRY• LOGICAL BASIS FOR OPS RESEARCH AND CONCEPTUAL SYSTEM
ANALYSIS & DESIGN (JCIDS/CBA)
• VALENTAL GRAPHS/TERIDENTITY/MENTAL STRUCTURES• LOGICAL BASIS FOR CULTURAL ANALYSIS & SOCIOLOGICAL ANALYSIS
• EXISTENTIAL GRAPHS• ADVANCED SOCIAL NETWORK ANALYSIS & PATTERN ANALYSIS
• AUTOMATED KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY ENGINE• ADVANCED SORTING/SEQUENCING & ADV INFERENTIAL SYSTEMS • MASSIVE DATA INTEGRATION – SUSTAINMENT, DHM, STRUCTURAL
28
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS THE PEIRCEAN SINGLE WARRIOR MODEL?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
AUTOMATIC AND ADAPTIVE GOAL-SEEKING WEAPONS SYSTEM MODEL
REACH OF COGNITIVE REACTION
TIME
SELF-CONTROL(COMMAND
AND CONTROL)
PURPOSIVEACTION CONTROL(FIRE CONTROL)
DATAGATHERING
(ISR)
ENVIRONMENT(BENIGN, THREAT)
WEAPONS
MOE = RACQ MOE = TREACTION MOE = PI
REACH OF MONITORINGAND SENSING SYSTEM
REACH OF INQUIRY
CLOSED LOOP MGMT SYSTEM
29
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
WHAT IS PEIRCEAN SELF-CONTROL?
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC
KNOWLEDGEBASE
(BELIEF SYSTEM)
MGMTACTIONS
COURSESOF
ACTION
SITUATIONALSTATE VARIABLES
PURPOSIVEACTION
CONTROLUSER
PREDICTION
PREDICTEDSITUATIONAL
STATE VARIABLESUNCERTAINEXTERNAL
INFO WORLD
INACCURATEINCONSISTENTINCOMPLETE
PERCEPTUALSYSTEM
INNOVATIONS
UNCERTAIN INFORMATION ESTIMATES
SITUATIONALAWARENESSVARIABLES
SITUATIONASSESSMENT& PLANNING
DECISIONBELIEF
MODEL FOR AUTOMATIC AND ADAPTIVECOMMAND AND CONTROL SYSTEM
30
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
ADVANCED MASSIVE DATA INTEGRATION
GENERIC SIMPLIFIED
PKDE
DATA
COLLECTOR
DATABASE
INPUTMIDDLEWARE
SORTER
SEQUENCER
INFERENTIAL
GENERATOR
OUTPUTMIDDLEWARE
KNOWLEDGE
DISCOVERY
DATABASE
PEIRCEAN KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERERY ENGINE
DATA
(BELIEF LOGIC UNIVERSAL ENGINE)
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC31
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
SITUATIONALSTATE VARIABLES
UNCERTAININFORMATION• INACCURATE• INCONSISTENT• INCOMPLETE
SITUATION ASSESSMENT
HYPOTHESISGENERATION
DIAGNOSTICSYSTEM
SENSORS
HIGH FIDELITY
MONITORINGSYSTEMS
VEHICLEENVIRONMENT
FINE FAULTDETECTION/ISOLATION
SYSTEMS
FINE FAULTTRACKINGSYSTEMS
NORMALMONITORING
SYSTEM
FINE FAULTINFORMATION
FUSION
INDUCTION:EXPERIMENTDESIGN AND
TEST
DIAGNOSTICSYSTEM
MANAGEMENT
VEHICLE HEALTH
MGMT SYSTEM
INTELLIGENTKNOWLEDGE/DATA BASE
SIMPLIFIED NOTIONAL AUTOMATED BIMODAL DIAGNOSTIC SYSTEM
HIGHFIDELITYTRIGGER
AUTOMATED REASONING SYSTEM
DATA
VEHICLE MGMT SYSTEM
DEDUCTION:POSSIBLE
CONSEQUENCESOF HYPOTHESES
NORMALFAULT
ISOLATIONSYSTEM
DETECTIONS TRACKS
SYSTEMTIME
PURPOSIVE ACTION
OFFBOARDDATA
DATA COLLECTIONSENSOR STEERINGDWELL TIME/TIME LINES
RESOURCEALLOCATION
ANDCONTROL
OPTIMALITYCRITERIA/CONSTRAINTS
FINE FAULTINNOVATION
PROCESS
DIFFERENCES
FINE FAULTKNOWLEDGE
FUSION
PERCEPTION
DATA
OPTIMIZATIONAND
PLANNING (BELIEF)
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC32
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
ADVANCEMENT OF LOGIC SLOWED BY A PERCEPTION THAT IT IS A NON-ISSUE
CHARLES SANDERS PEIRCE OBSERVED:
“FEW PERSONS CARE TO STUDY LOGIC,
BECAUSE EVERYBODY CONCEIVES HIMSELF
TO BE PROFICIENT ENOUGH IN THE
ART OF REASONING ALREADY.”
PEIRCEAN SEMEIOTIC33
© 1995 - 2007 BY E. T. NOZAWA. ALL RIGHTS RESERVEDPROPERTY OF E. T. NOZAWA/FOR REFERENCE ONLY et.071407
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