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School Organisation Plan Hackney Learning Trust November 2019
School Organisation Plan 2019-2024 Page 2 of 33
OFFICIAL: Sch Org Plan 2019-2024 FINAL
LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
1. Introduction
This document sets out the Council’s School Organisation Plan from 2019 to 2024. Local authorities have a statutory duty to ensure there is a sufficient number of school places for pupils and that places are planned effectively. In Hackney, this is managed by Hackney Learning Trust (HLT), the Council’s education service. Since 2008 Hackney experienced significant and unprecedented growth in demand for reception places with very high rolls between 2014 and January 2016. This trend was replicated across the country and in London. In response, local authorities nationally created additional school places to cater for the increased demand. Furthermore, additional places were created by the government’s Academy and Free School programmes. Since 2016 however, a sudden fall in demand for reception places across London began to occur and has, in the main, continued to fall. The reason why rolls are falling is unclear, but it is thought to be a combination of changes to welfare benefits, rising rents and the possible effects of Brexit. Falling reception rolls has led to a significant number of surplus places in reception, year 1 and year 2 in the borough which has impacted on the efficient running and financial stability of some schools. HLT have implemented a School Place Planning Group (SPP) to monitor school rolls, school roll projections and the financial health of schools, taking steps, where appropriate, to implement school organisation changes across the borough in consultation with other council departments. At a later date, this plan will feed into the Council’s Capital Programme and Asset Management Strategy. This plan provides schools, governing bodies and the public with:
an overview of the educational provision on offer in Hackney
a summary of current pupil numbers and projected demand
the factors considered by Hackney Learning Trust when determining the need to increase or reduce school places
a summary of planned place reductions up until September 2020 This plan will be reviewed and updated annually with the latest school roll, projections and any further proposed changes to school organisation. Note: Hackney’s Childcare Sufficiency Audit is outlined fully in a separate document at: https://www.hackneyservicesforschools.co.uk/extranet/hackney-childcare-sufficiency-assessment A summary of the main issues in planning Early Years places is outlined in Appendix 1. Hackney’s duty to provide provision for pupils with Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND) can be found at: https://www.hackneylocaloffer.co.uk/kb5/hackney/localoffer/advice.page?id=WaZA5W4YiPQ
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
2. Education provision in Hackney
The number and range of educational provision in Hackney is shown in table 1, 2 and 3 below.
Table 1. Educational provision
Nursery Schools (2)
Community 2
Primary (58 schools)
Community 38
Voluntary Aided 14
Free school 3
Academy 3
Secondary (16 schools)
Academy 8
Voluntary Aided 5
Community School 2
Free school 1
Special schools (3)
ASD - Autistic Spectrum Disorder and SLD - Severe Learning Difficulty - 4-19 yrs 1
SpLD - Specific Learning Difficulty, VI - Visual Impairment, OTH - Other Difficulty/Disability, HI - Hearing Impairment, SLCN - Speech, language and Communication, ASD - Autistic Spectrum Disorder, SEMH - Social, Emotional and Mental Health, MSI - Multi-Sensory Impairment, PD - Physical Disability, MLD - Moderate Learning Difficulty, SLD - Severe Learning Difficulty and PMLD - Profound and Multiple Learning Difficulty - 3-19 yrs 1
Complex and inter-related special needs - 11-17 yrs 1
Resourced maintained provision (5)
Autism 3
Language 2
PRU/Alternative Provision (2)
PRU (New Regents College) 1
AP Academy 1
Sixth Forms (11)
Sixth Forms (operational) 12
Colleges (2)
BSix Sixth Form College
New City College Hackney
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
In addition to the provision shown in the table above, there are a significant number of Independent schools (mainly Orthodox Jewish) in Hackney. Place planning for Independent schools is not undertaken by HLT. These schools sit outside the maintained sector.
Table 2. Nursery and Primary schools – Published admission numbers 2019/20 and 2020/21 School
Published Admission Number (PAN)
19/20 20/21
Comet Nursery School 60* 60*
Wentworth Nursery School 60* 60*
Baden Powell Primary School 30 30
Benthal Primary School 60 60
Berger Primary School 60 60
Betty Layward Primary School 60 60
Colvestone Primary School 30 30
Daubeney Primary School 90 90
De Beauvoir Primary School 30 30
Gainsborough Community Primary School 60 60
Gayhurst Community School 75 75
Grasmere Primary School 30 30
Grazebrook Primary School 60 60
Hackney New Primary School 50 50
Halley House School 30 30
Harrington Hill Primary School 60 60
Holmleigh Primary School 30 30
Holy Trinity CE Primary School 60 60
Hoxton Garden School 60 60
Jubilee School 60 60
Kingsmead Primary School 30 30
Lauriston Primary School 60 60
London Fields Primary School 60 60
Lubavitch Junior Boys School 30 30
Lubavitch Ruth Lunzer Girls’ Primary School 30 30
Mandeville Primary School 60 60
Millfields Community School 90 90
Morningside Primary School 60 60
Mossbourne Parkside Academy 60 60
Mossbourne Riverside Academy 90 90
Nightingale Primary School 30 30
Northwold Primary School 60 60
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
Table 2. Nursery and Primary schools – Published admission numbers 2019/20 and 2020/21 School
Published Admission Number (PAN)
19/20 20/21
Orchard Primary School 90 90
Our Lady & St. Joseph RC Primary School 30 30
Parkwood Primary School 30 30
Princess May Primary School 60 60
Queensbridge Primary School 60 60
Randal Cremer Primary School 60 60
Rushmore Primary School 60 60
Sebright School 60 60
Shacklewell Primary School 60 60
Shoreditch Park Primary School 60 60
Simon Marks Jewish Primary School 30 30
Sir Thomas Abney School 60 60
Southwold School 60 60
Springfield Community Primary School 30 30
St. Dominic’s Catholic Primary School 60 60
St. John & St. James CE Primary School 30 30
St. John of Jerusalem CE Primary School 30 30
St. John the Baptist CE Primary School 60 60
St. Mary’s CE Primary School 30 30
St. Matthias CE Primary School 30 30
St. Monica’s RC Primary School 30 30
St. Paul's with St. Michael's CE Primary School 30 30
St. Scholastica RC Primary School 30 30
The Olive School 90 90
Thomas Fairchild Community School 60 60
Tyssen Community Primary School 60 60
William Patten Primary School 60 60
Woodberry Down Community Primary School 90 90
Total Places 3035 3035
*full time equivalent places
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
From September 2019, Yesodey Hatorah Senior Girls’ School will no longer be part of the secondary
transfer process as pupils transfer in year 5.
19/20 20/21
Cardinal Pole Catholic School 180 180
City of London Academy Shoreditch Park 100 100
Clapton Girls' Academy 180 180
Hackney New School 100 100
Haggerston School 240 210
Lubavitch Senior Girls' School 30 30
Mossbourne Community Academy 216 216
Mossbourne Victoria Park Academy 168 168
Our Lady's High School 120 120
Skinners' Academy 180 180
Stoke Newington School 255 255
The Bridge Academy 180 180
The City Academy, Hackney 180 180
The Petchey Academy 180 180
The Urswick School 150 180
Yesodey Hatorah Senior Girls' School 0 0
Total Places 2459 2459
Table 3. Secondary schools –
Published admission numbers 2019/20
and 2020/21
School
Published
Admission
Number (PAN)
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
3. Primary Planning
Local authorities (LAs) have a statutory duty to ensure there is a sufficient supply of school places for pupils resident in their area. This document addresses the sufficiency of mainstream places. As noted in the introduction above, provision for pupils with Special Educational Needs & Disabilities (SEND), is addressed in a separate plan. A child is of "compulsory school age" on the 1st January, 1st April or 1st September following their 5th birthday. For example, children becoming 5 years old between 1st January and 31st March are of compulsory school age at the beginning of the term after 1st April. Pupils are required to be in full time education when they become of compulsory school age.
3.1 Primary census
In 2008, Hackney, like most other London boroughs, experienced a sudden and dramatic increase in the demand for reception places. In response to this unprecedented surge, HLT rolled out a primary expansion plan to ensure that it continued to meet its statutory duty to secure a sufficient number of school places for Hackney resident pupils. The expansion programmes saw the creation of 330 permanent primary places as well as a raft of bulge classes between 2009 and 2014. These additional places were created at the same time as the Department for Education (DfE) approved four new free schools/academies to open between 2013 and 2016; The Olive School, 90 places; Mossbourne Riverside Academy, 90 places; Halley House Free School, 60 places; and Hackney New Primary School, 50 places. These new schools created a further 290 unplanned reception places. Halley House has since reduced to 30 places each year. The number of primary pupils on roll in mainstream primary schools in Hackney between 2003 and 2019 is shown in Table 4 below. Table 4. Actual primary rolls between 2003 and 2019
Academic
Year
(January
census)
Rec Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6
No. of pupils
dropping off
between
Reception
and Year 6
% drop off
between
Reception and
Year 6
2002/03 2367 2422 2372 2330 2225 2142 2166
2003/04 2365 2344 2362 2300 2251 2117 2113
2004/05 2275 2379 2329 2318 2265 2235 2120
2005/06 2345 2293 2307 2280 2275 2236 2184
2006/07 2228 2305 2232 2259 2222 2209 2184
2007/08 2379 2212 2257 2205 2232 2161 2158
2008/09 2412 2397 2155 2229 2165 2186 2131 236 10.0
2009/10 2487 2409 2371 2114 2198 2133 2157 208 9.6
2010/11 2603 2483 2389 2347 2094 2185 2130 145 6.8
2011/12 2572 2618 2462 2366 2350 2090 2190 155 7.1
2012/13 2738 2633 2620 2476 2370 2352 2095 133 6.3
2013/14 2745 2818 2626 2608 2471 2368 2347 32 1.4
2014/15 2846 2725 2790 2605 2558 2468 2369 43 1.8
2015/16 2805 2803 2702 2745 2577 2545 2451 36 1.5
2016/17 2757 2778 2757 2643 2691 2548 2510 93 3.7
2017/18 2633 2736 2728 2713 2601 2650 2522 50 2.0
2018/19 2562 2612 2675 2680 2667 2569 2613 125 4.8
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The table above shows that the number of reception children on roll (the second column) has fluctuated over the years, but saw a steady increase between 2013 and 2015 before decreasing. The rate of attrition (the number of children that leave) as the cohorts move through to the end of the primary phase can be seen by the diagonal coloured cells and the last two columns. In January 2019, there were 2562 reception pupils and 3035 reception places available giving rise to 473 surplus reception places (15.5%). It should be noted that the current number of surplus places does not take into account the decision to reduce reception places in some schools in 2019/20 and 2020/21, as described in the ‘falling rolls’ section below. This significant fall in reception numbers (a decrease of 284 pupils from 2015 to 2019) as shown in table 4 above, is not unique to Hackney. Many inner London local authorities are reporting fewer reception pupils each year, which is likely to be due to a combination of changes to welfare benefits, rising rents and the possible effects of Brexit. Furthermore, projections indicate that demand for reception places is not expected to increase in the short term to the level of reception places available. Falling rolls have also affected the early years phase - the most recent data (2018) shows that the total number of 3 year old children accessing provision in early years schools and settings has fallen from a total of 4211 to 4008 over three years (appendix 1).
In Hackney, the statutory duty to plan school places (for reception to year 11) is undertaken by the use of 14 planning areas, which are broadly based on Hackney’s electoral ward boundaries. The location and number of primary schools in each planning area is shown below. Table 5. Planning areas and Primary Schools
Planning
Area
Number Planning Area Name Number of Schools
PA1
Brownswood/Stamford Hill West/Woodberry Down (Holmleigh, Lubavitch Ruth Lunzer,
Lubavitch Junior Boys, Parkwood, Sir Thomas Abney, Woodberry Down) 6
PA2 Cazenove (Jubilee, Simon Marks, The Olive School, Tyssen) 4
PA3 Spingfield (Harrington Hill, Springfield) 2
PA4 Clissold (Betty Layward, Grasmere, St. Mary's, St. Matthias) 4
PA5 Stoke Newington (Grazebrook, William Patten) 2
PA6 Hackney Downs (Baden Powell, Benthal, Nightingale, Northwold, St. Scholastica) 5
PA7 Leabridge (Millfields, Rushmore, Southwold) 3
PA8 Dalston/Shacklewell (Colvestone, Halley House, Holy Trinity, Princess May, Shacklewell) 5
PA9 Hackney Central (Mossbourne Parkside) 1
PA10 Homerton (Berger, Morningside, St. John & St. James) 3
PA11
Kings Park/Hackney Wick (Daubeney, Gainsborough, Kingsmead, Mandeville,
Mossbourne Riverside, St. Dominic's) 6
PA12
De Beauvoir/Haggerston/Hoxton East & Shoreditch/Hoxton West (De Beauvoir, Hackney
New Primary, Hoxton Garden, Our Lady & St. Joseph, Randal Cremer, St. Monica's, St.
John the Baptist, Sebright, Shoreditch Park, Thomas Fairchild) 10
PA13 London Fields (Gayhurst, London Fields, Queensbridge, St. Paul's with St. Michael's) 4
PA14 Victoria (Lauriston, Orchard, St. John of Jerusalem) 3
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Diagram 1 illustrates planning areas and the number of surplus reception places in each planning area using the January 2019 census (2018/19 academic year).
Diagram 1. Reception vacancies by Planning Area (based on January 2019 census)
The diagram above illustrates that Planning Area 3 (Springfield) at 43%, Planning Area 11 (Kings Park & Wick) at 35%, and Planning Area 12 (De Beauvoir, Hoxton East & Shoreditch, Haggerston, Hoxton West) at 29.2% are the areas with the highest level of surplus reception vacancies. A decision has been taken to reduce the Planned Admission Numbers (PANs) in all three of these planning areas – to be implemented in 2019 and 2020. This is outlined further in section 3.5 (Proposed School Organisation changes over the next 2 years).
PA1 270 places 220 filled/ (50 vac – 18.5%)
PA2 240 places 214 filled/ (26 vac – 11%)
PA3 120 places 68 filled/ (52 vac – 43%)
PA6 210 places (159 filled/ 51 vac – 24%)
PA7 210 places 201 filled/ (9 vac – 4.2%)
PA11 420 places 272 filled/ (148 vac – 35%)
PA4 150 places 136 filled/ (14 vac – 9.3%)
PA9 60 places 58 filled/ (2 vacancies – 3.3%)
PA12 530 places (375 filled/ 155 vac – 29.2%)
PA10 150 places 141 filled 9 (9 vac – 6%)
PA13 225 places 215 filled/ (10 vac – 4.4%)
PA14 180 174 filled / (6 vac – 3.3%)
PA8 270 places 209 filled/ (61 vac – 22.5%)
PA5 120 (zero vac)
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LONDON BOROUGH OF HACKNEY, HACKNEY LEARNING TRUST
3.2 Primary Planning and projections
School roll projections are commissioned by the Greater London Authority (GLA) to ensure that we plan future places effectively. Projections data takes into account a range of data such as population, birth, migration, fertility rates, GP registrations, housing data and school rolls. The model then predicts the number of children expected to require places at borough and ward level. Chart 1 below shows the last 5 sets of projections based on January and October censuses. Chart 1. Comparison between projections received between January 2017 and January 2019
The chart above illustrates that the January 2019 projections sit in the ‘middle’ of all previous projections over the last two years. However, these projections still represent a significant decrease in what was projected in January 20171.
1 The GLA’s ‘Medium migration’ scenario assumes that domestic migration rates start at recent (relatively high) levels
and fall to the long term average over a period of five years .
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Table 6. GLA reception projections and places available (based on January 2019 census)
The table above shows the projected number of children based on the most recent census (January 2019) compared to the available number of places (both permanent and temporary). The projections indicate that there will be a general increase in projected pupil numbers over the next few years; an increase of 7 pupils in 2020, 45 fewer pupils in 2021, before increasing by 50 pupils in 2022. The last three columns show the projected number of reception places given the temporary and permanent reductions in some schools from 2019 and 2020. These reductions are described further in the next section below.
3.3 Falling rolls
Over the years, HLT has sought to maintain a reception place surplus rate of 5% to ensure that places are available for pupils who apply outside of the normal admission round. However, in recent years, the number of actual surplus reception places has significantly exceeded this acceptable level and as stated in section 3.1 (Primary census), currently stands at 473 surplus reception places or 15.5%. As shown in table 6 above, the number of reception surplus places is projected to continue to exceed the 5% surplus rate. Low school rolls can cause logistical, staffing and financial pressures for schools, affecting schools’ ability to plan effectively. For small schools (defined as primary schools with fewer than 210 pupils on roll and/or a measured capacity of less than 210 places, and secondary schools with relatively undersized rolls or Sixth Forms or both), the financial challenges are more acute as small schools do not benefit from economies of scale. Finding the right balance between providing an adequate number of surplus places and reducing the current high levels is challenging. However, HLT is taking steps to address this via the School Place Planning (SPP) Group; working with affected schools to assess how they can be supported during this period of significant change. It should be noted that the projected number of surplus reception places (the last column in Table 6 above), is reducing (when compared to the fifth column) and may, with further likely reductions, begin to fall to the 5% level of surplus places deemed appropriate.
Academic
Year
Reception
projections based
on Janaury 2019
census
Number of places
available based on
published PANS
Projected surplus
places
% surplus based
on PANS
Number of places
available based on
temporary reductions
Projected surplus
reception places
% surplus places based
on temporary
reductions
2019/20 2560 3035 475 15.7% 2930 370 12.6%
2020/21 2567 3035 468 15.4% 2930 363 12.4%
2021/22 2522 3035 513 16.9% 3035 513 16.9%
2022/23 2572 3035 463 15.3% 3035 463 15.3%
2023/24 2613 3035 422 13.9% 3035 422 13.9%
2024/25 2636 3035 399 13.1% 3035 399 13.1%
2025/26 2659 3035 376 12.4% 3035 376 12.4%
2026/27 2697 3035 338 11.1% 3035 338 11.1%
2027/28 2726 3035 309 10.2% 3035 309 10.2%
2028/29 2745 3035 290 9.6% 3035 290 9.6%
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3.4 School organisation changes
The School Place Planning (SPP) Group is a cross directorate group which assesses and monitors place planning issues across all educational phases (see appendix 2 for terms of reference). When making decisions about School Organisation, the SPP Group is guided by HLT’s School Organisation Principles (appendix 3), and has regard to HLT’s School Organisation Matrix (summary scoring provided in appendix 4) and equalities impact assessment. The Local Authority (LA) must follow the DfE’s Statutory Guidance for making changes to LA maintained schools.2 Various approaches are available to local authorities when considering options for school organisation changes – these include reducing the Published Admission Number (PAN), school federations, amalgamations, re-configuring school buildings (e.g. to include specialist provision), and school closure3. The DfE’s process for opening and closing schools and for making significant changes to schools is outlined in appendices 5 and 5a.
3.5 Proposed School Organisation changes over the next 2 years
The following permanent PAN reductions will be made from 2019/20. The decision to reduce the PAN at Halley House was taken by Bellevue Academy Trust. Table 7. Permanent primary PAN reductions in 2019/20
School Current PAN New PAN from 2019
De Beauvoir 60 30
Harrington Hill 90 60
Gainsborough 90 60
Halley House 60 30
Total number of places permanently removed (120)
At the time of writing, the SPP Group has agreed (in consultation with schools), a number of ‘capped’ PAN reductions. Capping a school’s PAN is a temporary measure which seeks to alleviate some of the logistical and financial difficulties associated with low or falling rolls. However, capping is undertaken on the understanding that should there be a sudden influx of pupils that cannot be placed schools are expected to admit up to the published admission number if needed.
Table 8. Capped primary PANs in 2019/20 and 2020/21
School Capped PAN 2019/20 Capped PAN 2020/21
Gainsborough Primary School 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)
Mandeville Primary School 45 (published PAN of 60) 45 (published PAN of 60)
Princess May Primary School 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)
Thomas Fairchild 30 (published PAN of 60) 30 (published PAN of 60)
The Greater London Authority reports that it is too early to predict whether falling rolls will be sustained across London. HLT will, therefore, continue to exercise caution when making permanent changes to schools should the demand for reception places suddenly increase quickly, as it did in 2008. The SPP Group meets regularly to assess when and if steps should be taken to reduce surplus places further. At the time of writing there are no plans to close any schools in the borough.
2 https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/school-organisation-maintained-schools 3 The decision-maker on a school closure proposal (unless the closure proposal is ‘related’ to another proposal that is to be decided by
the Schools Adjudicator), is the LA. In Hackney this will be the Group Director for Children, Adults and Community Health, on the recommendation of the Director of Education, Hackney Learning Trust.
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4. Secondary Planning
4.1 Year 7 projections
Planning secondary places is achieved by comparing the number of Year 7 places with the number of children on roll in year 6. To do this, the number of out borough (OB) children in our schools is subtracted, before adding the estimated number of Hackney resident children in out borough schools. The final calculation looks at the number of out borough children that are likely to obtain places in our secondary schools and the number of Hackney residents that are likely to obtain places in out borough secondary schools in order to derive a ‘final’ projected figure. Secondary projections are based on providing places for 86% of the secondary transfer cohort which is broadly in line with the number of parents that express a first a preference for Hackney schools. There is no division of secondary schools by planning area when planning secondary places, as secondary aged pupils are expected to travel further than primary aged pupils to attend school. Table 9. Secondary projections based on October 2019 census
Note: The blue shaded area from September 2027 indicates GLA projections based on medium levels of migration. These projections do not take into account attrition rates between Reception and Year 6 which range from 2-5% each year.
The table above shows secondary projections based on October 2019 primary census data. Although a shortfall of places (-39 and -34) is projected in 2021 and 2022 respectively, the final column shows that with a planned bulge class and over allocations (the natural movement of pupils before they start school in September), there will be a sufficient number of Year 7 secondary places. Over allocation (an informal arrangement which provides a safeguard for schools ensuring that as pupils leave, or do not start, the final number on October census day or shortly afterwards is in line with the Published Admission Number (PAN)), creates approximately 70 additional secondary places each year. HLT continues to analyse each release of primary rolls as noted and GLA projections to determine the likely effect on future secondary places.
Year Group No. of pupils
on roll
October 2019
census
Year
transferring to
secondary
school
No. of pupils
projected to
require Year 7
places (86% of
Hackney
residents +
approx. 324 out
borough pupils)
Number of
Year 7 places
available
Year 7 place shortfall
(shown in red) or
surplus (shown in
black). ( Based on the
number of places
available)
Year 7
shortfall by
forms of
entry (30
pupils per
class)
Surplus places
following Year 7
over allocations/
bulge classes (approx. +70 places
each year)
Year 6 2534 Sep-20 2457 2459 2 0 72
Year 5 2635 Sep-21 2548 2509 -39 -1 31
Year 4 2663 Sep-22 2543 2509 -34 -1 36
Year 3 2625 Sep-23 2514 2509 -5 0 65
Year 2 2589 Sep-24 2457 2509 52 0 122
Year 1 2530 Sep-25 2442 2509 67 0 137
Reception 2593 Sep-26 2476 2509 33 0 103
1 year before reception 2726 Sep-27 2518 2509 -9 0 61
2 years before reception 2745 Sep-28 2533 2509 -24 -1 46
3 years before reception 2750 Sep-29 2537 2509 -28 -1 42
4 years before reception 2748 Sep-30 2536 2509 -27 -1 43
5 years before reception 2740 Sep-31 2529 2509 -20 -1 50
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5. Post 16 Planning
5.1 Post 16 provision
There are a range of different options for post-16 study in Hackney: schools with sixth forms, the B6 Sixth Form College and the New City College Hackney campus. Neighbouring boroughs and colleges that are linked with specialist qualifications, such as ADA college and The London Screen Academy, provide high quality courses leading to a range of qualifications which further broaden the opportunities available to our students. The most recent census data indicates that sixth form numbers are relatively stable in a very competitive environment. The number of sixth form pupils on roll in Hackney schools is shown below, along with the target admission number. As of January 2019, there are 540 vacant sixth form places. Schools have very different admissions targets depending on the context, the size of the year 11 cohort and the percentage of the year 11 cohort eligible for the sixth form. Up to now only two schools with the largest sixth forms attract a significant sixth form enrolment from out borough schools. All schools except for one now offer a vocational Level 3 programme. Only one school offers a Level 2 vocational programme which is offered only for their vulnerable year 11 students. There are a number of small sixth forms which may not be financially sustainable long term. There is some partnership work developing to mitigate against this. Schools even with small sixth form numbers see it as very important to have a sixth form for a range of reasons, including attracting year 7 pupils and for staff recruitment and retention.
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Table 10. Sixth form roll and admission number (January 2019)
Name of School Year 12 Year 13 6th form Admission (2018)
The Bridge Academy 110 107 250
Cardinal Pole Catholic School 68 68 189
The City Academy, Hackney 103 98 240
City of London Academy Shoreditch Park 0 0 0
Clapton Girls’ Academy 154 105 285
Hackney New School 0 0 0
Haggerston School 49 40 89
Lubavitch House School (Senior Girls) 22 1 46
Mossbourne Community Academy 140 139 400
Mossbourne Victoria Park Academy 0 0 0
Our Lady's Catholic High School 84 68 145
The Petchey Academy 90 52 240
Skinners’ Academy 78 59 250
Stoke Newington School & Sixth Form 184 172 365
The Urswick School 54 40 126
Yesodey Hatorah School 0 0 0
Total Pupils 1136 949 2625
Mossbourne Victoria Park will not open a sixth form on the Victoria Park Road site. Pupils wishing to stay on in the sixth form will attend the Downs Park Road site. At the time of writing, Hackney New School has decided to defer the planned 2019 opening of its planned sixth form provision. Further sixth form places are planned at The City of London Academy Shoreditch Park from 2022.
Table 11. Travel into and out of each borough in the region- 16-18 year olds (May 2018 LCCIS data)
Borough Import Export Remain in borough
Resident Cohort
BARKING & DAGENHAM 1939 2563 3014 5577
BARNET 3207 3496 4599 8095
BEXLEY 1655 2466 3015 5481
BRENT 1231 4908 3291 8199
BROMLEY 2126 1404 4855 6259
CAMDEN 3155 1652 1561 3213
CITY OF LONDON 279 34 8 42
EALING 1186 4306 3483 7789
ENFIELD 1559 3977 4525 8502
GREENWICH 1529 2796 2724 5520
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Borough Import Export Remain in borough
Resident Cohort
HACKNEY 1595 2595 2750 5345
HAMMERSMITH & FULHAM 2261 1279 1442 2721
HARINGEY 1527 3218 2208 5426
HARROW 2491 2436 3063 5499
HAVERING 1740 1661 3851 5512
HILLINGDON 2799 2385 4612 6997
HOUNSLOW 1804 2749 3305 6054
ISLINGTON 3892 1802 1562 3364
KENSINGTON & CHELSEA 1785 913 532 1445
KINGSTON-UPON-THAMES 2451 1252 1778 3030
LAMBETH 1088 3559 1930 5489
LEWISHAM 2067 3537 2471 6008
MERTON 795 2586 1304 3890
NEWHAM 1924 3653 4934 8587
REDBRIDGE 1549 2946 4365 7311
RICHMOND-UPON-THAMES 1591 1686 2637 4205
SOUTHWARK 634 3550 1712 5262
SUTTON 1090 1568 2637 4205
TOWER HAMLETS 799 1775 3787 5562
WALTHAM FOREST 3203 2541 3349 5890
WANDSWORTH 2678 1780 2160 3940
WESTMINSTER 4959 1270 1346 2616
Highlighted in yellow top ten importer/exporters.
The above data is derived from 16-18 year old young people, confirmed in this academic year as studying at FE College, 6th form college, school sixth form, an ISP, or repeating year 11. It does not include expired records.
5.2 Where are our students going – How do we track them?
The post 16 destinations of our students are tracked via the September Guarantee process, linked to a statutory reporting timetable. An annual Travel to Study report for young people resident in Hackney, is produced along with activity surveys for each school every year in the Spring Term. The table below shows the amalgamation of this information, at borough level, relating to Year 11 leavers from Hackney schools. According to the 2018 activity survey the vast majority of our year 11 students go onto further study with the majority taking A levels (1368) in a wide range of institutions.
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Table 12. Post 16 destinations 2018
Post-Compulsory Education
Barking & Dagenham Barking and Dagenham College
Barnsley Barnsley College
Barnet Ashmole Academy
Barnet & Southgate College (Wood Street Campus)
Hendon School
King Alfred School
Woodhouse College (Sixth Form)
Bromley London South East Colleges - Bromley College
Camden
Camden School for Girls
La Swap Consortium
North Bridge House Senior School
The UCL Academy
Westminster Kingsway College - King's Cross (WKC)
Croydon The BRIT School of Performing Arts
Ealing Jewish Seminary
Enfield Barnet & Southgate College (Southgate Campus)
Capel Manor College (FE)
CONEL College Enfield
The Latymer School (Enfield)
Lea Valley High School
Nightingale Academy (Enfield)
Essex Anglo European School
Epping Forest College
Harlow College
Shenfield High School
Hackney Access Creative College
BSix Brooke House Sixth Form College (B6)
Cardinal Pole Catholic School
Clapton Girls' Academy
Hackney New School
Ickburgh School
Lubavitch Senior Girls’ School
Mossbourne Community Academy
New City College - Hackney Community College Campus (HCC)
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Our Lady's High School
Stoke Newington School and Sixth Form
The City Academy, Hackney
The Petchey Academy
Skinners' Academy
Stormont House School
Hampshire Winchester College (Independent School)
Haringey Ada National College for Digital Skills
Alexandra Park School
CONEL College Haringey
Fortismere School
Haringey Sixth Form Centre
London Academy of Excellence Tottenham
St Thomas More RC School
Harrow Harrow College
Havering Havering Sixth Form College
Hertfordshire Barnet & Southgate College (Borehamwood Campus)
Hertford Regional College
Hillingdon Uxbridge College
Hounslow West Thames College
Islington City and Islington College (CIC) (CANDI)
St Aloysius College
St Mary Magdalene Academy
The Bridge Integrated Learning Space
Tech City College (was STEM Sixth Form Academy)
Kensington & Chelsea Latimer AP Academy
St Charles Catholic Sixth Form College
The Cardinal Vaughan Memorial RC School (CVMS)
Kingston-Upon-Thames Kingston College (South Thames Colleges Group)
Kent North Kent College
Newham Access To Music London
Brampton Manor Academy
Newham FE College
Lambeth King's College London Maths School
Lambeth College
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Lewisham Christ The King 6th Form College (CTK)
LeSoCo - Lewisham Way Campus
Medway Mid Kent College
Newham Access To Music London
Chobham Academy
London Design & Engineering UTC
Newham FE College
Newham Sixth Form College (NewVIc)
Quwwatt Ul Islam Girls School
Redbridge Ilford County High School
Trinity Catholic High School Redbridge
Valentines High School
Richmond-upon-Thames Richmond-upon-Thames College (RuTC)
Slough East Berkshire College
Southwark City of London Academy (SWK)
Table 13. Qualifications taken by post 16 students
Post-Compulsory Education
FE College or School GCE A or AS or A2 level
NVQ Level 3 or equivalent/ BTEC National (Level 3)
NVQ Level 2 or equivalent/ BTEC First (Level 2)
NVQ Level 1 or equivalent/ BTEC Introductory (Level 1)
GCSE Course
FE College Accounting and Finance
Administration and Customer Service
Animal Care and Veterinary Services and Equine
Arts, Fine Arts, Crafts and Design
Business Management
Construction, Building Services and Crafts
Dramatic Arts
Early Years and Play work
Engineering and Manufacturing Technologies
English for Speakers of Other Languages (ESOL)
Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy
Health, Medicine and Dentistry
IT and Electronic Services
Media, Publishing and Communication
Motor Vehicle and Transportation
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Social Care and Counselling
Specific Academic Courses
Sport, Leisure and Recreation
School Year 12 - sixth form
Life Skills / Supported Learning
Media, Publishing and Communication
Specific Academic Courses
Sport, Leisure and Recreation
Sixth Form College (Sixth Form only)
Business Management
Dance and Music
Dramatic Arts
Early Years and Play work
English for Speakers of Other Languages (ESOL)
Fashion
Health, Medicine and Dentistry
Media, Publishing and Communication
Social Care and Counselling
Specific Academic Courses
Sport, Leisure and Recreation
Travel and Tourism
Employment - with no Training
Retailing and Wholesaling
Employment - with Training
Apprenticeship - Intermediate/Level 2
Animal Care and Veterinary Services and Equine and Customer Service
Construction, Building Services and Crafts
Hairdressing and Beauty Therapy
Media, Publishing and Communication
Employment with ACCREDITED
Sport, Leisure and Recreation
Training Re-engagement Provision
Employability Training
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6. Conclusion
All local authorities have a statutory duty ensure a sufficient number of school places. This plan outlines the current provision across educational phases and the projected demand for further places. Due to falling rolls, a trend observed across many London boroughs, Hackney is experiencing a fall in demand for Early Years and Key Stage 1 and 2 places, with an anticipated knock on effect for secondary places. As a result, there is currently a high number of surplus reception places which affects the planning of resourcing by some schools. The School Place Planning Group, in consultation with schools, has decided to permanently reduce the Published Admission Number (PAN) in September 2019 at the following schools:
De Beauvoir
Gainsborough
Harrington Hill Bellevue Place Education Trust has also decided to permanently reduce the PAN at Halley House from September 2019. In addition, temporary ‘capped’ reductions will be made in 2019/20 at:
Gainsborough
Mandeville
Princess May
Thomas Fairchild In 2021, a further temporary ‘capped’ reduction will again be made at Mandeville. Current projections indicate that there is no immediate demand for a new secondary school in Hackney, as earlier projections had indicated. Plans for a new secondary school have therefore been paused indefinitely. However, this will be kept under review. It is too early to predict whether low rolls will continue in Hackney and across London. Hackney Learning Trust’s School Place Planning Group will continue to oversee School Organisation issues, monitoring each new release of school rolls and projections throughout the year to assess how schools can continue to be supported during this period of fluctuating demand for school places. The School Place Planning Group will also keep under review current vacant educational sites for future SEND provision. This document will be a reference source for decision making and the strategic planning of school places, i.e. increasing or decreasing provision, and will be updated annually.
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Appendices:
1. Early Years
2. School Place Planning Group - Terms of Reference
3. HLT’s School Organisation Principles
4. HLT’s School Organisation Matrix
5. Statutory guidance that must be followed for opening & closing a maintained school
5a Statutory Process: prescribed alternations
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Appendix 1 – Early Years
Hackney Learning Trust provides provision for children aged under five by cluster areas. The clusters emerged out of the 7 Sure Start Local Programme areas in 2004, predicated on geographical areas and communities rather than solid ward boundaries which presented some barriers. The clusters are used for multi-agency planning areas which groups children’s centres and health partners into networks for planning and service delivery purposes. The City and Hackney Clinical Commissioning Group (CCG) are currently developing an 8 neighbourhood model as their planning areas aligned to GP practices. Hackney children’s centre clusters are shown below. Provision by Cluster 2018 – Child Population based on local super output area (LSOA) data. Note: PVI – Private Voluntary Initiative
Cluster A 4224 children under 5 Number of settings: 2 children’s centres 11 schools 18 PVI Settings
37 Childminders
Cluster B 5127 children under 5 Number of settings: 4 children’s centres 6 schools 41 PVI Settings 23 Childminders
Cluster C 3566 children under 5 Number of settings: 3 children’s centres (2 with childcare) 10 schools 19 PVIs 30 Childminders
Cluster E 2766 children under 5 Number of settings: 4 children’s centres (2 with childcare) 12 schools 15 PVIs 36 Childminders
Cluster F 3074 children under 5 Number of settings: 3 children’s centres 7 schools 7 PVIs 20 Childminders
Cluster D 3121 children under 5 Number of settings: 5 children’s centres 9 schools 10 PVIs 33 Childminders
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Children under 5 There are 20,081 children aged 0-5 years in the borough (source: GP registrations, January 2018). Table 1. Breakdown of 0-5 year olds in Hackney
Age Number of children
Age 0 3868
Age 1 4218
Age 2 4161
Age 3 3993
Age 4 3841
Total 20,081
Three year old free entitlement Three year olds can access 15 hours of free early education in nursery classes in maintained schools, children’s centres, private, voluntary or independent (PVI), nursery provision or with childminders. The data below does not include information on numbers of children accessing free entitlement with childminders. The total number of children accessing provision in schools and settings has fallen from a total of 4211 to 4008 over three years. This is a decrease of 203 children. Between 2016 and 2018, there was a decrease of 246 attending schools, 6 children attending non faith PVI settings, while in independent schools in the same period there was an increase of 49 children. It is unclear how much impact the additional 15 hours (30 hour places) have had on the childcare market. However, those settings providing year round childcare and wrap around provision may be more attractive to working parents already accessing childcare than taking up a term-time nursery class place in a school. Chart 1. The total number of children accessing 15 hours free entitlement funding
The percentage of children attending maintained schools has fallen from 54% of the total to 50%, while the percentage of children attending PVIs (both faith and non- faith) has risen. Early Years funding headcount data shows there to be significant numbers of children accessing Independent School places in Hackney from the London borough of Haringey.
1098
794
2253
1174
784
4211
2098
1162
839
4099
2007
1168
833
4008
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
Schools PVI OJ Total
Three year olds in schools, PVIs and Independent settings 2015-18
2015 2016 2017 2018
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Overall there is a net gain with more children accessing from outside Hackney than Hackney children using non-Hackney provision.
Chart 2. Three year olds accessing free 15 hrs entitlement according to type of provision
The number of children attending non faith settings by cluster area shows a steady year on year fall in Area F where in 2018 only 108 three years olds accessing the free 15 hour entitlement. Area C has seen the number of children attending PVI settings increase over two years, this corresponds with a growth in the child population; area B has also seen an increase between 2017 and 2018. Area A and B have by far the largest number of children accessing a childcare place overall. Chart 3. Three year olds accessing free 15 hrs entitlement PVI settings according to cluster area
54%
28%
19%
51%
28%
20%
50%
29%
21%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
School% PVI% OJ %
Three year olds attending Schools and Settings
2016 2017 2018
198186
221
154
191
148
199
224
203
169
240
139
216
166
217205
238
120
188
212
256
182
222
108
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
A B C D E F
Number of 3 Year olds in PVIs by Cluster
2015 2016 2017 2018
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Chart 3 above shows that the vast majority of independent schools are in Area B (there is only one school in Area A). The number of children accessing early education with independent providers has remained relatively static over the previous four years only increasing by 39. Four year old free entitlement
Most four year olds attend reception classes in maintained schools however 15 hours of early education is universally available until the end of the term in which a child becomes 5 years old. Independent schools therefore, largely serving the Orthodox Community, continue to offer this to families. The number of four year olds accessing the free entitlement has increased over the previous two years. An increase in the number of children for whom Early Years Foundation Stage Profile data is submitted also reflects the trend although it must be stated that the EYFSP dataset is not a reliable source to establish trends as only pupils for whom data is collected are from those in receipt of EY funding in the summer term i.e. approx. a third of the total cohort. Chart 4. The number of 4 year olds accessing 15 hours free entitlement (not yet in Reception)
There has been a gradual fall in reception rolls since 2016. Whilst an increase in roll on the current trend is projected for 2020, numbers are not expected to increase to the same level as that reached in 2016 until 2030. The percentage of children attending maintained schools has fallen from 54% of the total to 50%, while the percentage of children attending PVIs (both maintained and Independent), has risen. Settings providing year round childcare and wrap around provision may be more attractive to working parents already accessing childcare instead of taking up a term-time school nursery class place. The number of children accessing early education with Independent providers has remained relatively static over the previous four years only increasing by 39 children. Further considerations for Early Years
The take up of free entitlement with childminders is not reflected in these datasets, though numbers will be negligible. The take up of free entitlement by eligible two year olds is not universally available therefore is not reflected.
910
897
940
961
860
880
900
920
940
960
980
2015 2016 2017 2018
The number of 4 year old children accessing 15 hours
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The impact of the 30 hours is not yet fully understood, though it is clear that the most disadvantaged and vulnerable children are unlikely to be eligible for 30 hours. Whilst there is sufficient childcare capacity to meet current demand and changing policy, the current demand appears to be in the Independent providers. This is reflected by 9 ‘faith’ childminders who have been registered over the last three years, an increase of 100%.
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Appendix 2 - School Place Planning Group - Terms of reference
The purpose of the School Place Planning (SPP) Group is to develop a cross directorate place planning strategy in light of falling reception rolls. The specific aims of the group is to assess place planning issues across all phases, and will include the following: School Place Planning:
To assess the current level of school places in the borough in light of falling reception rolls through regular monitoring of surplus or deficit places
To assess and monitor the financial health/viability of schools that are receiving applications below their Published Admission Number (PAN), implementing safeguards where possible/appropriate
To review the educational estate with a view to streamlining the number of surplus places
To develop a coherent school organisation strategy which is regularly monitored to ensure that it is ‘future proof’ should a sudden increase in reception applications be received
To submit recommendations arising from the SPP Group to the Hackney Learning Trust’s Senior Leadership Team for a final decision
To communicate the decisions of the SPP Group to Hackney Council via the Hackney Management Team (HMT) or the Directorate of Children’s Services Management Team (DCSMT)
To publish the School Organisation Plan (SOP) on HLT’s website annually.
Post 16
To monitor the size of sixth forms including places taken up by Hackney and out borough residents
To maintain an overview of the range of qualifications offered against demand
To monitor the number/proportion of post 16 SEND young people
To keep under review the range and breadth of student destinations
Special Educational Needs and Disabilities (SEND)
To assess the current level and quality of SEND places/provision in the borough against demand by types of need
To assess and monitor the financial health/viability of schools and settings with SEND provision
To review the educational estate with a view to ensuring value for money
To develop a coherent SEND sufficiency strategy which is regularly monitored and aligned to mainstream provision to ensure that likely future demand can be accommodated
To communicate the decisions of the working group to other interested stakeholder groups e.g. SEND Partnership Board, Capital Grant Project Group
Early Years
To assess the current level and quality of Early Years (EY) places/provision in the borough against demand by types of need
To monitor the sufficiency, trends and take up of childcare places across the borough
To monitor and plan for EY places at risk of closure
To communicate the decisions of the working group to other interested stakeholder groups e.g. 0-5’s Oversight Group.
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Appendix 3 – Hackney Learning Trust’s School Organisation Principles
School changes
1. HLT will support viable expansions of
popular and successful schools in line with
Department for Education (DfE) policy
wherever possible.
2. In planning for changes to school
organisation such as expansion,
amalgamation, federation and closure, HLT
will take into account the factors set out in
HLT’s School Organisation Matrix, which
includes and weights the following factors:
a. school popularity (number of first
preferences), as defined by parental
preference through the admissions and
appeals process as well as other means
that might be used, for example local
knowledge;
b. the number of surplus places in reception
and across all year groups - HLT
recognises the educational value of as
many schools as possible being
maintained at a full or nearly full level. To
this end HLT will determine a target level
of surplus places in each planning area,
expected to be around 5%, but which may
be adjusted to take account of particular
local circumstances and provision in
neighbouring planning areas;
c. Ofsted rating;
d. building issues (disposal only under the
strictest of circumstances, rationalisation
of the estate/places net capacity,
suitability, condition, the cost of remedial
works, re-build);
e. the school’s budget/balance;
f. other factors, such as the school’s
resilience to withstand significant change
(e.g. a newly appointed
Headteacher/Principal, the school is part
of SRAS).
3. HLT values the diversity offered by
denominational provision and recognises the
role of the voluntary, independent and
academy sectors in providing school places.
4. Generally, HLT believes primary education
should be provided within a mixed
environment.
Quality and diversity
HLT will seek to ensure that
sufficient attractive high-quality
state-funded school provision is
available within the borough to meet
the needs of all children aged 5-16.
School size and configuration
1. HLT will look at the implications of
early years provision when bringing
school organisation proposals
2. HLT will set arrangements for primary
schools which admit at least 30 and no
more than 90 pupils per year, in order
to maintain educational standards.
3. HLT will positively support
arrangements for schools with
admissions numbers in multiples of 30.
Where this is not possible preference
will be given to arrangements with
admission numbers in multiples of 15.
HLT will attach priority to amending
other arrangements in these directions.
4. HLT will generally support
arrangements for “all through” 4-11
primary schools rather than separate
infant and junior arrangements.
Location
HLT will aim to provide school places within
a 2 mile walking distance for children aged
between 5 years and 7 years and 3 miles
for children who are 8 years and above, in
line with DfE guidelines.
HLT will aim to avoid large geographical gaps in provision.
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HLT’s Senior Leadership Team have endorsed the School Organisation Principles outlined above to aid decision making for school organisation proposals.
School budgets/finances
HLT will consult with schools prior to the
implementation of any changes to funding
of maintained schools. The funding will be
allocated in line with the Operational
Guidance, School Funding Regulations and
sanctioned by Schools Forum.
The Early Years National Funding Formula
implemented in April 2017 provides
protected transitional sustainability funding
for maintained nursery schools until March
2020, The ending of the transitional income
will impact on future sustainability of
nursery schools.
Education property
HLT will seek to ensure that school premises are
well maintained, fit for purpose and meet all
relevant national standards for space and health
and safety.
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Appendix 4 – Hackney Learning Trust’s School Organisation Matrix The school organisation matrix outlines Hackney schools’ health in areas the following areas:
School rolls
Over/undersubscription
Application preferences
School vacancies
Ofsted rating
School finances The above factors are plotted and scored on a matrix. Other issues such as the condition of the school building and school location are also noted. A summary of the scoring system is detailed below. Table 1. Matrix scoring system
Criteria Score range
% of Reception or Year 7 Vacancies
0-13 % = 5 14-27% = 4 28-41% = 3 42-55% = 2 55% + = 1
Ofsted rating Outstanding = 3 Good = 2 Requires improvement = 1
% of Vacancies in (Rec-Year 6), or (Year 7-11)
0-15% = 3 16-30% = 2 31% + = 1
School balance 15% + surplus = 5 Under 15% surplus = 4 Over 8% surplus = 3 Less than 8% = 2 Deficit = 1
Each school is scored against each of the factors noted above and a total score generated. Schools which attain high totals (e.g. 14) are indicative of an overall ‘healthier’ position than those with lower total scores (e.g. 6).
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Appendix 5 – Statutory guidance that must be followed for opening and closing a maintained school.
Source: Opening and closing maintained schools - Statutory guidance for proposers and decision-makers November 2018
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Appendix 5a – Statutory process: prescribed alterations The statutory process for making prescribed alterations to schools has four stages:
Stage Description Timescale Comments
Stage 1 Publication (statutory proposal/notice)
Stage 2 Representation (formal consultation)
Must be 4 weeks As set out in the ‘Prescribed Alterations’ regulations
Stage 3 Decision LA should decide a proposal within 2 months otherwise it will fall to the Schools Adjudicator
Any appeal to the adjudicator must be made within 4 weeks of the decision
Stage 4 Implementation No prescribed timescale It must be as specified in the published statutory notice, subject to any modifications agreed by the decision-maker
Source: Making significant changes (‘prescribed alterations’) to maintained schools- Statutory guidance for proposers and decision-makers October 2018
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