Rural Poverty Dynamics: Development Policy Implications · 2008. 1. 14. ·...

Rural Poverty Dynamics: Development Policy Implications

Christopher B. Barrett*

September 2003 Revision

INTRODUCTION =

RURAL POVERTY DYNAMICS: WHAT WE KNOW

Transitory and chronic poverty

Safety nets and cargo nets

safety nets

cargo nets

Journal of Human Resources

Identifying and explaining chronic poverty

RURAL POVERTY DYNAMICS: WHAT WE STILL NEED TO LEARN

poverty traps

Uncovering poverty traps and threshold effects

endogenous

exogenous

Figure 1: Nonparametric estimates of expected herd size transitions in southern Ethiopia

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.002002 per capita daily income (US$), Madzuu

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

Ros

enbl

att-P

arze

n de

nsity

0 5 10 15 201997 household per capita herd size, Borana, Southern Ethiopia

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

Ros

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Figure 2: Bimodal income in western Kenya Figure 3: Bimodal cattle wealth in southern Ethiopia

0.00 0.50 1.00 1.500

1

2

3

Per capita daily income (2002 US$), 1996 (dotted) and 2002 (solid) Fianarantsoa, Madagascar

Ros

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att-P

arze

n de

nsity

Figure 4: Intertemporal shifts in unimodal income distributions

Explaining poverty traps

some

DEVELOPMENT POLICY IMPLICATIONS

REFERENCES

American Economic Review

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Insurance Against Poverty

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Journal of Political Economy

Handbook of Income Distribution, Volume 1

Handbook of Agricultural Economics, volume 2B

Food Policy

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Insurance Against Poverty

Food Policy

Journal of Economic Literature

Economic Mobility and Poverty Dynamics in Developing Countries

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity

World Development

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Journal of Development Economics

Food Policy

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Journal of Development Economics

Insurance Against Poverty

Journal of Development Studies

Economic Journal

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Journal of Development Economics

Proceedings of the Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics

Review of Economic Studies

American Economic Review 1

Journal of Development Economics

Journal of Development Studies

Economic Mobility and Poverty Dynamics in Developing Countries

World Development

World Bank Economic Review

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

World Development

ournal of Applied Econometrics

Food Policy

Q-Squared: Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Methods Of Poverty Appraisal

Journal of Political Economy

Econometrica

Journal of Monetary Economics

Economic Mobility and Poverty Dynamics in Developing Countries

American Journal of Agricultural Economics

American Economic Review

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Economic Theory and Underdeveloped Regions

Institutions, Institutional Change and Economic Performance

Economic Journal

World Bank Research Observer

Journal of Development Economics

Journal of Political Economy

Economic Journal

American Economic Review

Economic Journal

Journal of Political Economy

Employment for Poverty Reduction and Food Security

Economic Journal

Rural Finance for Food Security for the Poor: Implications for Research and Policy

Journal of Development Economics