RSMC Nadi Activity Report RSMC Technical Coordination Meeting 26 th – 29 th November 2002, Nadi...

RSMC Nadi Activity Report

RSMC Technical Coordination

Meeting 26th – 29th November 2002,

Nadi Fiji

SW Pacific

RSMC Nadi AOR

Vision

To be a regional To be a regional leaderleader in in meteorological science and meteorological science and

expertise, and in the expertise, and in the provision of provision of qualityquality weather weather

and climate servicesand climate services..

Mission To provide meteorological To provide meteorological

expertise and professional services expertise and professional services in support of Fiji’s economic in support of Fiji’s economic development, and for the safety development, and for the safety and benefit of the community.and benefit of the community.

To deliver quality forecast, To deliver quality forecast, warning and advisory services to warning and advisory services to the South Pacific Island Nations the South Pacific Island Nations and Territories falling within FMS’s and Territories falling within FMS’s area of responsibility.area of responsibility.

Objectives to satisfy Fiji’s need for supply of weather and

climatological data, archive and analyse this data, and based on this, issue forecasts, warnings and other information as required;

to function as a RSMC for tropical cyclones in the Southwest Pacific under the WWW Programme of WMO.

to monitor the climate of Fiji and advise on any changes due to global warming and other factors;

to provide public/marine forecast and warning services for other South Pacific Island States as agreed;

to provide marine and aviation forecast and warning services as per international agreement; and

Organisation & Resources

FMS has 2 main output Divisions :FMS has 2 main output Divisions :1.1. Forecast ServicesForecast Services and and2.2. Climate Services.Climate Services.

There are 6 support Divisions :There are 6 support Divisions :1.1. Computing and Information SystemsComputing and Information Systems2.2. Technical SystemsTechnical Systems3.3. Reporting & FacilitiesReporting & Facilities4.4. Services DevelopmentServices Development5.5. Finance and Finance and 6.6. Administration. Administration.

Weather Forecasting Centre

IncorporatesIncorporates….….

1.1. National Weather Forecasting National Weather Forecasting and Tropical Cyclone Warning and Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre.Centre.

2.2. Regional Forecast Centre.Regional Forecast Centre.3.3. Regional Specialised Regional Specialised

Meteorological Centre Nadi – Meteorological Centre Nadi – Tropical Cyclone Centre.Tropical Cyclone Centre.

Public and Marine Services Public Public andand Marine Marine for Fiji, for Fiji, Tonga, Tonga,

Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.

Special Advisory ServicesSpecial Advisory Services for for Vanuatu and Samoa.Vanuatu and Samoa.

TD SummariesTD Summaries to all NMSs in the to all NMSs in the region and beyond (RSMC function). region and beyond (RSMC function).

International marine forecasts and International marine forecasts and warningswarnings for area from Eqtr to 25ºS for area from Eqtr to 25ºS between 160 º E to 120 º W. between 160 º E to 120 º W.

Aviation Services Forecasts and warningsForecasts and warnings within within Nadi Nadi

FIRFIR (TAFs, ARFORs, ROFORs and (TAFs, ARFORs, ROFORs and SIGMETs).SIGMETs).

In additionIn addition, TAFs and ARFORs for , , TAFs and ARFORs for , Samoa, Tonga, Niue and Cooks Samoa, Tonga, Niue and Cooks ((Auckland OceanicAuckland Oceanic) plus TAFs only ) plus TAFs only for Christmas island (for Christmas island (US-controlledUS-controlled).).

TC Advisories for International Air TC Advisories for International Air Navigation in area Eqtr to 40Navigation in area Eqtr to 40ººS bet S bet 160160ººE and 120E and 120ººW. W.

Tropical Cyclone Services Forecasts, Warnings and Advisory

Services for Fiji, Tonga, Niue, Cook Islands, Tuvalu, Tokelau, Kiribati, Nauru and Wallis & Futuna.

Special Advisory Services for Vanuatu and Samoa.

TD Advisories/Summaries to all NMSs in the region and beyond.

International marine warnings for area from Eqtr to 25ºS between 160 º E to 120 º W.

CREX to NWP Centres

RSMC Nadi AOR Geostationary Satellite Coverage

GMS-5

140ºE

GOES-10

135ºW

Fleet Numerical Meteorology & Oceanography Center, Monterey Website

CIMSS Website

MOST Website - Quikscat

BoM – Darwin RSMC Website

SW Pac TC Forecasting Page

Strike Probability Website

SH Satellite Page

ADDS & Aviation Pages

AOR TC activity since 1990

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

No. of TCs

No. ofHurricanes

RSMC Nadi Forecast Errors

RSMC Nadi Forecast Errors

050100150200250300

94/95

95/96

96/97

97/98

98/99

99/00

00/01

2001/02

Season

Mea

n E

rror

(km

)

T+24

T+12

T+0

Plans AIFS TC Module to be integrated into AIFS TC Module to be integrated into

FIMSFIMS Storm Surge ModelStorm Surge Model Collaboration with Climate Services on Collaboration with Climate Services on

seasonal TC activity predictionsseasonal TC activity predictions Partnership with Hydrology Division on Partnership with Hydrology Division on

comprehensive flood warning system for comprehensive flood warning system for FijiFiji

HRD WMO SH TC Course and PWS Workshops WMO SH TC Course and PWS Workshops

– 2000 & 2002– 2000 & 2002 TC Simulation Exercise/Workshop - 2000TC Simulation Exercise/Workshop - 2000 Mentor Training – 2001Mentor Training – 2001 2-month Internships – Honolulu FO - 20012-month Internships – Honolulu FO - 2001 Locally conducted courses for Classes 3 Locally conducted courses for Classes 3

and 4 Mets – in collaboration with WMO and 4 Mets – in collaboration with WMO and JICAand JICA

Exchange/attachments with other Exchange/attachments with other RSMCs/TCWCsRSMCs/TCWCs

Challenges

Professional staff retention.Professional staff retention. Automation.Automation. Government policies.Government policies. Un-interrupted geostationary satellite Un-interrupted geostationary satellite

coverage.coverage. Commercial services.Commercial services. Research.Research.

Future Plans

Access and utilise data from new platformsAccess and utilise data from new platforms

-- in collaboration with the international in collaboration with the international research community (eg NRL, CIMSS, research community (eg NRL, CIMSS, NOAA) on data retrieval and use.NOAA) on data retrieval and use.

Exchange with RSMCs and TCWCs on Exchange with RSMCs and TCWCs on expertise, tools and techniquesexpertise, tools and techniques