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B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
RESIDENTIAL SECTOR LANDSCAPE
2019 Fall Roundtables
Jess Kincaid, Residential Sector Lead
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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We are committed to a viable residential sector and
We have a plan
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Residential Landscape
01 02 03 INTRO
04 Near-term Strategy
Long-term Strategy
What Else?
4
The Residential Landscape
01
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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ENERGY STAR®
LEDs and
Fixtures
HPWH
DHP
PTCS ASHP
PTCS VS ASHP
Insulation and
Air Sealing
Windows
FY 2019 Residential
Energy Savings to Date
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Lighting
HPWH
DHP?
PTCS ASHP
PTCS VS ASHP
Insulation and
Air Sealing
Windows
FY 2022 Residential
Projected Energy
Savings
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N Cost-Effectiveness Primer: Why we have a mountain to climb
800 kWh
Increased Baseline
0 kWh 1000 kWh
Savings 200 kWh Savings 300 kWh STANDARD PRODUCT
500 kWh
Savings 500 kWh EFFICIENT PRODUCT
600 kWh
EFFICIENT PRODUCT
Efficiency Programs Help the Market Become More Efficient Evaluation Results Show More Energy Consumption than Forecast Efficient Product Consumes Half the Energy
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Benefit
Cost
Standard Product Efficient Product Cost $100 $115 Cost
Annual kWh 1,000 500 Annual kWh
Benefit-to-Cost Ratio 1.66
Cost-Effectiveness Primer: Why we have a mountain to climb
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Benefit Cost
Standard Product Efficient Product Cost $100 $115 Cost
Annual kWh 800 500 Annual kWh
Benefit-to-Cost Ratio 1.00
Cost-Effectiveness Primer: Why we have a mountain to climb
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Benefit
Cost
Standard Product Efficient Product Cost $100 $115 Cost
Annual kWh 800 600 Annual kWh
Benefit-to-Cost Ratio 0.66
Cost-Effectiveness Primer: Why we have a mountain to climb
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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How this impacts
residential measures:
1. Program successes are causing higher measure baselines.
2. Evaluated energy savings are often lower than expected.
3. Installed measure costs are increasing.
4. Updated codes and standards result in the loss of some measures.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Keep all the measures we can by keeping them
cost effective.
Make measures easier to implement
once we know we can keep them.
Create new measures to fill the gap.
What we are trying to do
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
• Programs are easier to implement.
• Residential and commercial offerings have more synergy.
• Contractor workforce is well trained and eager to participate.
• You have more opportunities to help your customers feel comfortable in their homes, while reducing their energy costs.
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The Future
02 Near-term strategy and how to get involved
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Maitri
Dirmeyer
Claire
Gleason
Amy
Burke
Jess
Kincaid
Dave
Murphy
Gary
Smith
Paul
Hawkins
The Residential programs team
Thank you for your help!
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Determine the future of retail.
Increase use of PTCS.
Ensure DHP cost effectiveness.
Increase use of weatherization.
Primary strategies:
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Annual Energy Savings
from Simple Steps (aMw)
The Retail Challenge:
New
approach design due Dec. 2019.
Current contract ends
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Retail: Help us
determine the
program
future.
Retail Future An offering that:
• Is easy to implement.
• Attributes funding to utilities.
• Works for more expensive measures such as water heaters and thermostats.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
aM
w
PTCS annual savings
are declining
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The PTCS Challenge:
Decision in early 2020.
Testing in 2020.
Implement Oct. 1, 2021.
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Target
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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PTCS Future
Double measure utilization by:
Simplifying program requirements: • Streamline specification. • Reduce paperwork.
Increasing in-field support for contractors.
Reducing contractor call backs for failure.
PTCS: Participate in
webinars and help
us choose between
implementation
options.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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The DHP Challenge:
Can we keep them
cost effective?
Target completion
Dec. 2020.
Measure Average TRC Sunset Date
Ductless Heat Pump for Forced Air Furnace SF and MH 1.175 Sep. 2021
Ductless Heat Pumps for Zonal Heat SF 1.069 Nov. 2019
Ductless Heat Pumps for Zonal Heat MH 1.069 Nov. 2019
Ductless Heat Pumps for New Construction Single Family >5 Jan. 2021
Ductless Heat Pumps for Multifamily 0.43 Sep. 2021
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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DHP Future
Compile research, evaluation, and program strategies to make measure cost effective.
Research energy savings and cost impact of:
• Cold climate • Higher heating and cooling
efficiency • System configuration
Evaluate savings by home and heating type.
Reduce installation cost.
Improve installation practices.
DHPs: Participate in
webinar and help
us with cost
reduction ideas and
data collection.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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The Weatherization
Challenge:
Begin implementation
summer 2020.
Field services and program support
begin winter 2020/2021.
Insulation 6,000-14,000
Insulation 1,400
Windows 1,200
Windows 5,000-12,000
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Weatherization:
Expect outreach and
lots of questions
beginning next
spring.
Weatherization Future
• Ensure there are enough contractors to achieve targets.
• Provide utility implementation support.
• Provide contractor support to ensure reliable energy savings.
• Provide marketing support to find remaining customers and encourage energy-efficient upgrades.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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03 Long-term Strategy: Key Research Projects
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Key Research Projects
Questions: Robert Weber, Residential Tech Lead – RMWeber@BPA.gov
Heat Pump Water
Heaters
Smart Line Voltage
Thermostats
Packaged Terminal
Heat Pumps
HVAC Research Roadmap
Develop technologies for multifamily homes and manufactured homes.
Determine if new technologies are cost effective.
Determine whether they are a cost effective approach for multifamily.
Develop a strategy to respond more quickly to potential new measures and savings challenges.
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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What other new (electric) energy-efficiency measures are you interested in?
We are looking at: • Residential behavioral • Level 2 EV chargers • Central air conditioning • Commissioning existing
ASHPs • Duct insulation and repair • Cellular shades • VRV ADHP/ DHP • Multifamily water heating • CO2 Combined space and
water heating • MH ASHP retrofit • New lighting technologies
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04 What Else?
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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How can we help you be successful?
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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What are your
biggest residential implementation
challenges?
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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Are there
areas where you would like residential training support?
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
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What would
you like us to know about your residential programs?
B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N
Jess Kincaid JBKincaid@bpa.gov
Developed by the Bonneville Power Administration | Fall 2019
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