Residential HVAC Brown Bag March 15, 2016 · 2016-03-15  · Residential HVAC Brown Bag March 15,...

Residential HVAC Brown Bag

March 15, 2016

Presenters:

Sarah F. Moore, Residential Sector Lead

Jessica Kramer, Residential Senior Program Support

Bonnie Watson, HVAC Market Research Lead

Michelle Lichtenfels, Commercial Program Manager

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Discussion Topics

PTCS

Quality

Assurance

• Improving Installation Performance

• Informing Program Design

Market Research

• Leveraging HVAC Sales Data

• Informing Program Design

PTCS &

Air NW

• Collaboration between Residential and Commercial HVAC

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Pre May 2015

Post May 2015

Inspectors: 9 utilities and CLEAResult

History & Evolution of QA Process

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Gains from Grading Model

More Detail on Failures

Identify Trends

Improve Trainings & Outreach

Review Inspection

Results

Revisit Failing Criteria

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

2015 Projects: Passes & Fails

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

PTCS Duct Seal "F" Grades FY 2015

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

ASHP Inspection "F" Grades FY 2015

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Next Steps

Review data

quarterly

Identify trends

Update team on the findings and trends: +Quality Inspector and PTCS Trainer Meetings +PTCS Trainings/Exams +PTCS Communications

Review program design

HVAC Market Research

A preview into what we learned about

the HVAC market

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Residential HVAC Supply Chain

Manufacturers Distributors Contractors

& Builders

End Users

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Consolidated Market Players

Manufacturers Distributors

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Fragmented Market Players

Contractors

& Builders

End Users

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

When do People

Need a New Heat Pump?

When new homes

are built When units

burn out

~56% ~44%

Source: Momentum Savings model, PENRES (1992) and RBSA (2011) data

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

What Utilities Touch Today

Source: Regional utility program data (publics and IOUs) and AHRI shipment data

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

High-Efficiency HVAC Sales

Need a Boost

AT OR ABOVE

PROGRAM

MINIMUM

EFFICIENCY

(≥9.0 HSPF) BELOW PROGRAM

MINIMUM EFFICIENCY

(<9.0 HSPF) 82%

18%

Source: Distributor sales data for 2013 and 2014

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

ASHP Efficiency Requirements

7.5

8

8.5

9

9.5

10

10.5

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* 2018*

HS

PF

Federal Standards Program Requirements

CURRENT

SAVINGS PAST

SAVINGS

FUTURE

SAVINGS

POTENTIAL

*Projection

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Conclusion

Opportunity to engage with partners

that influence decision-making

Still lots of opportunity to help the

HVAC industry become more efficient

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Next Steps

Further Research

Program collaborating with Market Research,

NEEA, Commercial

Review program design with

Utility Engagement

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Residential and Commercial HVAC

Collaboration

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

QUESTIONS? DISCUSSION

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Contact

• Sarah F. Moore, sfmoore@bpa.gov

• Jessica Kramer, jlkramer@bpa.gov

• Bonnie Watson, bfwatson@bpa.gov

• Michelle Lichtenfels, melichtenfels@bpa.gov

Appendix

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

PTCS Duct Seal "F" Grades FY 2015

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

ASHP Inspection "F" Grades FY 2015

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

CR Inspectors vs. Utility Inspectors

Time period reviewed: Since Grading System Implemented

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

Example of Grading Model

B O N N E V I L L E P O W E R A D M I N I S T R A T I O N

• DS and HP add the total projects slides…

• Is it possible to show in the HP that is VSHP

please do this.