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Report of the Facts & Figures Committee Tore Forsmo Chairman. Committee Members. Paul BUYL (Belgium) Cédric CHARPENTIER (France) Jim CRAIG (USA) Andrea CUPIDO (Italy) Tore FORSMO (Norway) (Chairman) Pamela FROOD (UK/IUA) Patrizia KERN (Switzerland) (New) Jens SCHILDKNECHT (Germany) - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Report of the Facts & Figures Committee
Tore ForsmoChairman
Committee Members
Paul BUYL (Belgium)
Cédric CHARPENTIER (France)
Jim CRAIG (USA)
Andrea CUPIDO (Italy)
Tore FORSMO (Norway) (Chairman)
Pamela FROOD (UK/IUA)
Patrizia KERN (Switzerland) (New)
Jens SCHILDKNECHT (Germany)
Astrid SELTMANN (Norway) (Secretary)
Simon STONEHOUSE (UK/Lloyd’s)
Global Shipping Market TrendsFacts & Figures CommitteeFacts & Figures Committee
Tore ForsmoManaging Director
The Central Union of Marine Underwriters, Oslo, Norway
Thanks also to F&F Committee Members Cédric Charpentier and Simon Stonehouse
Special Ships 3.2%(+13.7%)
Ore/Bulk/Oil 0.3% (-33.2%)
Ro-Ro cargo 2.8% (+1.8%)
Reefer ships 2.8% (-12.6%)
Chemical tankers 3.3% (+3.6%)
Liquefied gas 2.9% (+8.8%)
Bulk carriers 15.8% (+12.4%)
Passengers 9.8% (+7.9%)
Container ships 8.5% (+37.1%)
Oil Tankers 19.1% (+8.8%)
General cargo 31.5% (-11.8%)
WORLD REPORTED FLEET Total number : 41,110 shipsincreased by + 5.4 % on the
period Average age : 19.1 years
22.6
17.3
15.6
22.4 years 10.9
year
16.3
18.2
19.1
20
.5
21.3
World Merchant Fleet by type of ship of 300gt and over
As at January 1st 2006 – number of ships in share of the World Reported Fleet, growth rate 2001-2006 (%) and average age
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
944,497
11,937 111,663 8,087
353,537
24,227
9,943
333,633
72,121
6,605 6,754 5,990
- 49.9%
+ 18.2%
+ 24.0%
- 5.6%
+ 27.2%
- 10.6%- 15.7%
+ 14.2%
+ 76.4%
+ 41.4%
+ 30.6%
+ 19.4%
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Oil Tankers Chemical tankers Liquefied gas Bulk carriers Ore/Bulk/Oil Container ships Passengers General cargo Reefer ships Ro-Ro cargo Special Ships Total
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1,000dwt in 2006 Growth rate 2000/ 2006
World Merchant Reported Fleet by type of ships 300gt and over
As at January 1st, 2006 – Deadweight and growth rate 2000-2006
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
41,110 ships (+ 13,4%)
38,917 ships (+ 7.4%)
761,909 mDWT (+ 15.5%)
944,498 mDWT (+ 45,9%)
506,544 mGT (+ 11.7%)
639,658 mGT (+ 38,5%)
0 %
5 %
10 %
15 %
20 %
25 %
30 %
35 %
40 %
45 %
50 %
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
World Merchant Fleet of ships of 300gt and over
Evolution of the growth rates (GT, DWT, and Number of ships) between 1995 and 2006
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
- 0.2 % (+ 0.45%)
- 1.2 % (+ 1.5%)
+ 1.9 % (+ 2.9%)
+ 6.0 % (+ 5.4%)
- 1.8 % (- 0.3%)
- 0.9 % (- 10.8%)
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Oil Tankers
Liquefied gas
Bulk carriers
Container ships
Passengers
General cargo
Growth rate in 2005 (in 2004)Share of World Fleet
World Merchant Fleet by main types of ship of 300gt and over
Evolution of the number of ships in shares (%) of the world fleet 1996 – 2006, Growth rate in 2005
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
13,07112,905 12,916 12,646
12,46212,707
13,12113,342 13,305
13,84014,480
15,668
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
1,000,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
1,000dwt
National Flag (dwt) Foreign Flag (dwt)
Ships of 1,000 GT
Total Units in the :
Reported Fleet
Not Reported Fleet
Total World Fleet (1,000gt and over)
26,192
3,524
26,247
3,686
26,221
4,174
26,486
4,117
26,942
3,909
28,375
3,567
29,716 29,933 30,395 30,603 30,851 31,942
World Merchant Reported Fleet by National and Foreign Flag
As at January 1st, 2006 – thousand DWT and number of ships
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
World Merchant Fleet – Top Ten Countries
DWT-rank 2006 (2005)
Country of ManagementTotal fleet - 1,000DWT
2006
% share on the Total
World Fleet Reported in
2006
Growth rate 2005/2006
Growth rate 1996/2006
1(1) GREECE 159,413 18.0% -0.7% 34.8%2(2) JAPAN 131,010 14.8% 10.4% 50.4%3(3) GERMANY 70,279 7.9% 22.3% 312.4%4(4) CHINA, PR of 64,187 7.2% 18.6% 87.5%5(6) USA 46,897 5.3% 13.7% -1.9%6(7) HONG-KONG 43,382 4.9% 11.2% 40.0%7(5) NORWAY 43,292 4.9% -1.6% -9.9%8(8) KOREA, Rep.of 29,421 3.3% 9.6% 43.7%
9(10) CHINESE TAÏPEI 24,319 2.7% 2.8% 70.5%10(11) SINGAPORE 22,274 2.5% 0.1% 77.7%
634,474 71.6% 7.9% 47.3%Others countries 251,288 28.4% 5.0% 25.4%
885,762 7.1% 40.4%
936,363
WORLD MERCHANT FLEET - THE TOP TEN COUNTRIES OF MANAGEMENT As at January 1st, 2006 – Rank in 2006 (in 2005) and thousand of DWT (Ships of 1,000gt and over )
3,567 ships for 50.6 million dwt not reported
Total Top Ten Countries of Management
Total World Merchant Fleet by Country of Management
Total World Merchant Fleet (including fleets for which the Country of Management is unknown)
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
1,00
0 D
WT
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
Years
1,000 DWT NF 1,000 DWT FF Average Age NF Average Age FF
Top Ten Countries Fleet Average Age : 14.6 years
Ships of 1,000 GT and
Average Age FF : 13.1 years
Average Age NF : 17.5 years
World Merchant Fleet – Top Ten Countries by National (NF) and Foreign Flags (FF)
As at January 1st, 2006
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
112.6 112.3 115.6
177.0
219.5
85.7
67.9
13.9
53.0
3.6
6.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Tankers >=1,000dwt Bulk Carriers >=10,000dwt LNG/LPG Carriers Container Vessels >=5,000dwt Others (of which Passenger Vessels >=1,000grt) General cargo (>= 300gt)
230.6
Orderbook Evolution by type of ship
in million DWT
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
World Shipbuilding: Shares of Deliveries
Source: Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%1
97
5
19
77
19
79
19
81
19
83
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
% C
GT
De
liv
eri
es
Japan
Europe
Korea
China
Others
Vessels on order by Country of Build@ August 2006 (Numbers)
Source: Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
China24%
FSU2%
Europe19%Far East
8%
Japan19%
Middle East1%
South Korea23%
Taiwan1%
USA1%
Americas1%
Unknown1%
Total No 5,653
Source: Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
Vessels on order by Country of Build@ August 2006 (DWT)
Americas1% China
24%
Europe6%
Far East2%Japan
29%
Middle East1%
Taiwan1%
FSU1%
Unknown0%
South Korea35%
Total 275.6 million DWT
Top Contracting Countries by Number of Vessels on Order
Source: Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Top Contracting Countries by DWT of Vessels on Order
Source: Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
0
10,000,000
20,000,000
30,000,000
40,000,000
50,000,000
+ 4.2 %
+ 6.3 %
+ 3.7 %
+ 4.5 %
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
1,900
2,100
2,300
2,500
2,700
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 (*)
Maj
or t
rad
es
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Total W
orld T
rade
Crude oil and oil products
The 4 main Dry Bulk Cargoes (Iron Ore, Coal, Grain, Bauxite/Alumina)
Other Cargoes
Total World Trade
(*) estimates
World Seaborne Trade Volume
Development 1993-2005 (in million tonnes) - Growth rate in 2005
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
estimates
126.2
201.6
122.1
0
30
60
90
120
150
180
210
240
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (*)
Grain
Non ferrous metal
Agricultural raw material
Index 2000 = 100
World Market Price Indices for Selected Commodities
Annual Average (1993-2005) – Average in 2006 as at end of April (*)
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
100
262.7
190.0
221.5
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (*)
Iron ore, scrap metals
Coal
Crude oil
Index 2000 = 100
World Market Price Indices for Selected Commodities
Annual Average (1993-2005) – Average in 2005 as at end of April (*)
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
FREIGHT MARKET (indices) – YEARS 1995 to 2006 (January to April 2006)
Source: Indicators issued from various sources such as ISL Bremen for World fleet and trading figures and Clarkson Research Studies for shipbuilding and scrapped vessels.
334.8
324.8
345.9
278.3
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Time Charter Index (1 to 2 months)
General Freight Index
Grain Freight Index
Miscellaneous Freight Index
Index 1972 = 100
Container Vessels & Risk AggregationF&F Open Forum
• Container Operations and Risk Handling from a Port Point of View
• Capt. James McNamara, President, National Cargo Bureau Inc., New York
• Container Operations and Risk Handling from the Underwriters’ Point of View
• Matthias Kirchner,Manager, Marine & Aviation, Axa Corporate Solutions, Germany
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