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Q3 2018
Quarterly Market
Indicators
2
Content
Disclaimer Page 3
Mobile services Page 4
Fixed line telephony services Page 6
Broadband services Page 8
Definitions Page 10
3Tuesday, December 18, 2018
TRA has relied on information supplied to it by third parties. It has not independently verified that data and as such does not make any
representations or warranties, either express or implied, that:
the information is free from inaccuracies, errors or omissions;
the information is exhaustive;
the information is of merchantable quality and fitness for a particular purpose.
TRA, including its officers, board members, employees, agents and contractors, is not liable for:
any inaccuracy, error or omission in the information contained in this document; nor
any loss, damage, cost or expense whether direct, indirect, consequential or special, incurred by, or arising by reason of, any person using
or relying on the information and whether caused by reason of any inaccuracy, error, omission or misrepresentation in the information or
otherwise.
Disclaimer
4
• By the end of Q3 2018, Mobile subscriptions continued its decline to reach 2.1 million subscriptions;
which is about a 11% decrease from the end of 2017 and a 19% decrease compared to Q2 of 2017.
• Mobile penetration rate declined to 136% by the end of Q3 2018. This decrease is attributed to the
increase in the reported population number during 2018 and the 11% decrease in number of mobile
subscriptions compared to the end of 2017 due to changes in consumer behavior moving from pre-paid
services to post paid services which provide more data allowances catering for the changing needs of
subscribers.
• A noticeable change in the Mobile market is the increase of Postpaid subscribers and decrease of
Prepaid subscribers. As of Q3 2018, Postpaid subscribers increased by 16,784 subscription while prepaid
subscriptions decreased by 268,749.
Mobile services: Subscriptions
Number of Mobile subscriptions
End of Q2 2018
2,112,512 Subscribers136% Penetration rate
* In 2018, IGA revised population figures for the year 2018 to 2023** Revised the number of accepted mobile porting requests
for Q4 2017
2015 2016 2017 Q3 2018
Total 2,541,688 2,994,865 2,364,477 2,112,512
% of Prepaid 78% 81% 74% 70%
% of Postpaid 22% 19% 26% 30%
12,923 14,049
12,040
7,892
3,751 3,185 3,018 2,652 2,328 4,160
Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Number of Accepted Mobile Porting Requests
2,4
76
2,5
07
2,5
42
2,6
41
2,8
27
2,8
03
2,9
95
2,6
93
2,6
75
2,6
14
2,3
64
2,2
67
2,1
91
2,1
13
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
Tho
usa
nd
s
Number of mobile subscriptions
Total
Prepaid
Postpaid
2.21 2.33 2.54 2.99 2.36 2.11
173% 177%187%
213%
163%
136%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Mil
lio
ns
Mobile subscriptions and penetration
Total mobile subscriptions Mobile penetration rate
5
Mobile services: Traffic (Minutes)
• Total outgoing mobile traffic decreased by 13.5% between Q3 2018 and Q3 2017
continuing the downward trend on voice calls usage.
• The Total domestic outgoing mobile traffic decreased by 12.9% (164 million
minutes) in Q3 2018 compared to Q3 2017, whereas the total international mobile
outgoing voice traffic decreased by 15% (81 million minutes).
• Prepaid voice traffic continued to account for the majority of outgoing domestic
mobile calls and represents 53% of total domestic mobile voice traffic in Q3 2018.
Total Outgoing Traffic in Minutes
(Domestic + International)
Q3 2017
1,813,066,131
Q3 2018
1,567,269,735
(13.5%)
337 297 278 279 265 267 267 253 247 233 245 248 252 244
- 50
100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Average Monthly Minutes Per Subscription(Domestic-International)
8
65
2,290
1,567
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
-
20
40
60
80
Dat
a Tr
affi
c in
Mill
ion
s
Vo
ice
Traf
fic
in M
illio
ns
Mobile Voice Traffic Vs Mobile Broadband Data Traffic
Mobile Broadband Traffic (GB) Mobile Voice Traffic (minutes)
1,5
79
1,5
24
1,5
61
1,4
17
1,3
77
1,2
73
1,2
94
1,2
41
1,1
93
1,1
09
631
728
785
695
617
540
513
475
474
458
T O T A L O U T G O I N G M O B I L E V O I C E T R A F F I C I N M I L L I O N S O F M I N U T E S
( D O M E S T I C - I N T E R N A T I O N A L )Domestic
6
Fixed telephony services: Subscriptions (PSTN & Wireless)*
• As of Q3 2018, Fixed telephony subscriptions has decreased by 2%.
• The fixed-wired telephony services continue to increase, as it has recorded an
increase of 6,491 subscription from end of Q3 2017 to Q3 2018.
• On the other hand, fixed-wireless service has decreased by 7,227 subscriptions
between Q3 2017 to Q3 2018.
• Accepted ported fixed lines were 381 requests in Q3 2018.
End of Q3 2018
230,18215% Penetration rate
2015 2016 2017 Q3 2018
Total 242,439 233,917 234,709 230,182
% of Fixed Wired 73% 76% 79% 82%
% of Fixed Wireless 27% 24% 21% 18%
*The number of OLO’s subscriptions’ are estimated for 2018. The number of fixed telephony were revised in for 2017 subscriptions.
*The number of Fixed telephony for Q2 2018 was revised by an operator.
Number of fixed telephony subscriptions
152
596
109 218
399
1,238
789
236 109
381
Q22016
Q32016
Q42016
Q12017
Q22017
Q32017
Q42017
Q12018
Q22018
Q32018
Number of Accepted Fixed Line Porting Requests
249 237 231 231 230
19%17%
16% 16%15%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Tho
usa
nd
s
Number of fixed lines
Total Fixed wired Fixed wireless Penteration
73% 76% 79% 78% 82% 82%
27% 24% 21% 22% 18% 18%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Distribution of fixed lines by access type
Fixedwireless(e.g.WiMax)
Fixed(Wired)
7
Fixed telephony services: Traffic (PSTN & Wireless - Minutes)*
•Domestic fixed telephony traffic continued the downward trend as traffic has
decreased between Q3 2018 & Q3 2017 by 5.9% a decline of 1.956 Million
minutes.
• The monthly average outgoing minutes per subscription decreased to 134
minutes in Q3 2018 compared to 144 minutes in Q3 2017.
• International Outgoing Fixed line traffic decreased in 2018 due to the removal of
ISDN traffic from the calculation.
Total fixed domestic outgoing
traffic in minutes
Q3 2017
32,904,064
Q3 2018
30,947,274
(5.9%)
* The OLO’s traffic (minutes usage) is estimated for 2017 ^ In 2018 Fixed ISDN traffic has been removed
** The OLO’s traffic was revised from Q4 2014 to Q4 2016
*** Domestic traffic was revised in June 2018 due to an operator revision
52
,16
8,3
28
51
,95
2,8
97
47
,66
3,3
09
44
,84
9,2
46
40
,13
0,5
86
39
,64
6,4
01
36
,25
1,0
84
34
,33
9,8
22
32
,90
4,0
64
31
,72
1,1
05
30
,53
5,5
85
29
,98
5,5
57
30
,94
7,2
74
Fixed Line Total Domestic Outgoing Traffic (Minutes)
221 216202 191
173 170 166 154 144 136 128 130 134
Average Outgoing Domestic Minutes Per Subscription
4,2
72
,50
4
3,9
25
,24
8
3,8
01
,61
2
3,5
93
,41
0
1,9
19
,42
1
1,7
48
,55
1
1,5
48
,43
6
Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Total Outgoing International Fixed lines Traffic^
Total Outgoing International Fixedlines Traffic
8
Broadband services: Subscriptions
At the end of Q3 2018, there were about 2.3 million broadband subscriptions, a
decrease of 3% compared to end of 2017, and an increase of 3,759 compared to Q2
2018.
Broadband penetration stayed stable at 148% at the end of Q3 2018.
Fixed broadband subscription has increased by 2% between Q2 2018 & Q3 2018
while mobile broadband subscription stayed stable over the same period.
Add-on broadband to voice and pay-per-use mobile broadband represent 66% of
mobile broadband subscriptions at the end of Q3 2018. In addition, 80% of mobile
subscribers have data subscription confirming the importance of data services to the
consumers.
End of Q3 2018
2,297,366148% Penetration rate
* The number of OLO’s subscriptions’ are estimated for 2017 and 2018.
Number of broadband subscriptions
Mobile Broadband – Q3 2018
Proportion of broadband subscriptions by access type – Q3 2018
8.3% 91.7%
Fixed broadband (wired+wireless) Mobile broadband
Pay-per-use13%
Standalone21.1%
Add-on to voice 65.9%
172,4
73
178,2
99
169,1
75
194,1
44
199,3
44
186,2
92
190,2
81
25
3,3
04
35
9,1
94
32
5,9
77
31
7,5
90
33
5,2
84
41
3,0
28
44
4,7
75425,777
537,493495,152 511,734 534,628
599,320635,056
2014 2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Broadband services subscriptions from a fixed location(Dedicated Broadband)
Fixed Broadband Subscribtion (Wired & Wireless) Standalone mobile broadband (e.g. dongle, USB, tablet) Total
1,9
77
,60
2
2,4
07
,40
8
2,3
73
,30
6
2,3
41
,53
3
2,2
93
,60
7
2,2
97
,36
6
146%
171% 164%
151% 148% 148%
100%
150%
200%
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
2015 2016 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018
Broadband Subscriptions and Penetration
Subscription Penetration
9
Broadband services: Data Traffic*
• The upward trend in data consumption is continuing to grow as data traffic
reached to 145.9 PB in Q3 2018, a growth of 21.7% over the year from Q3
2018.
• Year-on-Year, Mobile broadband traffic has increased by 10% while Fixed
broadband traffic has increased by 33%.
•The monthly average mobile broadband traffic per mobile subscription
remained at 10 GB compared to the monthly average fixed broadband traffic
per fixed subscription which increased to 142 GB.
• Overall, the monthly average traffic per user remained at 21 GB.
Total data traffic in Gigabyte
* The OLO’s traffic (data usage) is estimated for 2018
** Revised Q2 2018 mobile data traffic from 136.7 PB to 142.2 PB
Q3 2017
119,960,799
Q3 2018
145,994,500
21.7%
24 26 28 32 29
42
54 61 64
67
77 81
3135
41
4952 54
58 59 61 6265 65
Fixed Broadband Traffic (GB) Mobile Broadband Traffic (GB)
12 11 13 16 17 18 18 21 21
6358
82
98108 109 113
138 142
8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10
Per Subscription Per Fixed Broadband Subscription Per Mobile Broadband Subscription
10
Definitions
Indicator Definition
Fixed-telephone subscriptions Fixed-telephone subscriptions refers to the sum of active number of analogue fixed-telephone lines, voice-over-IP (VoIP) subscriptions,
fixed wireless local loop (WLL) subscriptions.
Prepaid mobile subscribers Prepaid mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions (ITU code i271p) Refers to the total number of mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions
that use prepaid refills. These are subscriptions where, instead of paying an ongoing monthly fee, users purchase blocks of usage time.
Only active subscriptions should be included (those used at least once in the last three months for making or receiving a call or carrying
out a non-voice activity such as sending or reading an SMS or accessing the Internet).
Postpaid mobile subscribers Postpaid mobile-cellular telephone subscriptions Refers to the total number of mobile-cellular subscriptions where subscribers are billed
after their use of mobile services, at the end of each month. The postpaid service is provided on the basis of a prior arrangement with a
mobile cellular operator. Typically, the subscriber’s contract specifies a limit or allowance of minutes, text messages, etc. The subscriber
will be billed at a flat rate for any usage equal to or less than that allowance. Any usage above that limit incurs extra charges.
Theoretically, a subscriber in this situation has no limit on use of mobile services and, as a consequence, unlimited credit.
Active mobile-broadband
subscriptionsActive mobile-broadband subscriptions refers to the sum of standard mobile-broadband and dedicated mobile broadband subscriptions
to the public Internet. It covers actual subscribers, not potential subscribers, even though the latter may have broadband enabled-
handsets. The indicator can be further broken down into:
Standard mobile-broadband subscriptions (ITU code i271mb_active): Refers to active mobile-cellular subscriptions with an advertised
data speed of 256 kbit/s or greater that allow access to the greater Internet via HTTP and have been used to make a data connection
using Internet protocol (IP) in the previous three months. Standard SMS and MMS messaging do not count as active Internet data
connections, even if they are delivered via IP.
This includes mobile subscriptions that use mobile-broadband services on a pay-per-use basis. It excludes mobile subscriptions with a
separate monthly data plan for mobile-broadband access (see Indicator 25b, Dedicated mobile broadband subscriptions).
Dedicated mobile-broadband subscriptions (ITU code i271md): Refers to subscriptions to dedicated data services (over a mobile
network) that allow access to the greater Internet and that are purchased separately from voice services, either as a standalone service
(e.g. using a data card such as a USB modem/dongle) or as an add-on data package to voice services that requires an additional
subscription. All dedicated mobile-broadband subscriptions with recurring subscription fees are included as ‘active data subscriptions’
regardless of actual use. Prepaid mobile-broadband plans require use in the last three months if there is no monthly subscription. This
indicator could also include mobile WiMAX subscriptions.
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PO Box 10353
Kingdom of Bahrain
Phone: 0000 1752
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