Performance Assessment Modeling with GoldSim

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Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

1 West Valley Quarterly Public Meeting • June 2016

Performance Assessment Modeling with GoldSim

2 West Valley Quarterly Public Meeting • June 2016

Presentation Outline

•  Introduction to GoldSim •  Handling Uncertainty •  A GoldSim PA Example

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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The GoldSim Interface

MODEL BROWSER WINDOW

MODELING PANE

DRAWING TOOLS

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GoldSim Basic Model Elements Data: input of a fixed value

Stochastic: input of a distribution for a value

Expression: a mathematical expression

Selector: for building complex conditionals

Event: timed or triggered event and consequences

Extremum: for tracking maximum values

Lookup Table: input of a table of values

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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GoldSim PA Model Elements Species: input of chemical and rad species

Fluid: definition of a fluid (in this case, water)

Solid: definition of a porous solid

Source: contaminant source

Cell: compartment containing materials

Aquifer: definition for simple groundwater transport

Receptor: definition of an exposed receptor

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Model Elements: Materials

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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Model Elements: Pathways

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The Species List

A list of radionuclide species is defined, along with the decay rate and decay products (and branching fractions) for each.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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Many Types of Distributions are Available to Represent Uncertainty

uniform

normal

triangular

gamma log-normal

What is chosen must have some basis in reality.

discrete

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Typical Results Any state or condition of the model can be tracked and graphed through time (e.g. concentrations, flow rates, doses).

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Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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A Screenshot Tour of Neptune’s

Generic PA Model

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Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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Modeling elements are logically organized on the page, with clear naming and accompanying text.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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This example shows how soil/water partition coefficients (Kds) are defined.

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Here’s an example of how the rate of water flow into the ground is calculated.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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Infiltration is defined with some uncertainty, since we do not know the value perfectly.

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Detail of the definition of UnsatFlux. Note that names that make sense are used.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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A single run (deterministic) simulation will generate a single time history of dose.

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A probabilistic simulation will generate several time histories of dose, showing uncertainty.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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A probabilistic simulation can also be shown using a statistical summary.

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Many types of results can be examined.

Neptune’s Performance Assessment Modeling Using GoldSim

June 2016

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The Generic PA Model is available here:

www.neptuneinc.org/genericpa

The GoldSim Player is available here:

www.goldsim.com/web/downloads

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