PEOPLE, PLANET, PROFIT Prosperity through Sustainability€¦ · PEOPLE, PLANET, PROFIT Prosperity...

Dr Caroline Noller & Darren Vaux

PEOPLE, PLANET, PROFITProsperity through Sustainability

The Broader Context of Sustainability

Natural Capital Balance Sheet, Consumption & RenewalHow do we measure it?

Ecological Footprint of Humanity per capita

Source

Ecological Footprint of China & USA

Source

Climate Change - Do you believe?

Time lag between cause and effect

Probability of negative outcome

A male who is a smoker at age 35 is 25x more likely to contract cancer in later life

It is statistically arguable that Climate Change resulting from Human activity is more likely than smoking causing cancer

Climate Change and the Marina Industry

1.Sea level rise

2.Increase in frequency of weather events

1.Cost of energy

2.Cost of materials with high embodied energy of poor recyclability

CLIMATE EFFECTS

REGULATORY EFFECTS

Sea Level Rise

Sea surface temperature

Global Temperature and Extreme Weather Events

Atmospheric CO2

Source NASA

Emissions reduction targets

Impacts for the Marina Industry• Adapt to Sea level rise and changing weather patterns over

next 20 years - beyond that who knows?

• Climate is on a warming path - dramatic changes required to prevent acceleration in the rate of change.

• Governments slow to react and will apply blunt regulation to achieve international targets that are geo-politically prejudiced

• Marina and Boating Industries are vulnerable as we are energy intensive & behind other industries like automotive and property

Solution: Industry Initiative and self regulation

Cities must accommodate an additional billion people

2030 Goal 1 Planet

Office Building2.0 – 2.7 Planets

Retail Centre2.7 – 3.3 Planets

“world’s best practice” office 2 Planet equivalent

900-1,200 Gm2/m2/annum

2,400–3,200 Gm2/m2/annum

2,400–2,900 Gm2/m2/annum

Retail Tenants1 – 4 Planets

The Sustainability GAP

BMW i

50% smaller life cycle carbon footprint

LCA the evidence base for sustainability claims

Slide | 6

ANZ Docklands - embedded services50% smaller operational carbon footprint

Dutch Building Code mandatory LCA

Embodied impact of capital investments (buildings, hardstands, infrastructure etc) Operational impacts of tenants,

maintenance, collateral etc.

Impact by aspect & potential no cost gain

• Buildings - 20-30%

• Energy - 30%

• RM & I - 10-15%

• Consumption 5-10%

Embodied Carbon - Buildings & Tenants

Aluminium framed with timber deck [4.5 T/m]

Concrete with steeland timber [~0.6 T/m]

Concrete and EPSand timber [~ 0.5 T/m]

Aluminium framed with timber deck RECYCLED[~1.1 T/m]

Concrete with steeland timber RECYCLED[~0.3 T/m]

Concrete EPSand timber RECYCLED[~ 0.3 T/m]

Tenants

Operating Carbon Footprint

1. Energy efficiency measures (LED / timers / insulation).2. Passive design of buildings.3. Behaviour change (pay per use).4. Alternative / embedded technology (wind / solar / PV / electric).5. Integrating consumption systems / recycling.

Marine Industry Response

• Understand - full LCA of marina impact

• Develop a voluntary benchmark and rating scheme

• Wait to be regulated

Conclusions

1. Climate change concerns not going away.2. Physical implications ca be adapted to in the short term.3. The carbon footprint of marinas will be regulated.4. Early action required to guide industry self regulation 5. Learn from lessons from car and building sector.

QUESTIONS?