Participatory Scenario -based Research for Climate Change...

Participatory Scenario-based Research for Climate Change Adaptation in East Africa

(Experience from ASSAR Project)

Alemayehu Zewdie, ASSAR Research into Use and Capacity Building Coordinator, Oxfam

Azewdie@Oxfam.org.uk or alemayehuzewdie@yahoo.com www.assar.uct.ac.za

7th January 2019, Natural Resource Management Session

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Content of the Presentation

Introduction ASSAR focus area

ASSAR aim ASSAR Research into Use / Research for Impact Multi-Scale Approach

Stakeholder mapping and Power analysis Participatory Scenario Analysis (PSA)

PSA – Ethiopia: Prosopis juliflora PSA – Kenya: Pasture Scarcity

Summary

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Introduction

CARIAA – Collaborative Adaptation Research in Africa and Asia Research focused in climate change “hot-spots” CARIAA Research Questions:

What makes people in “hot-spots” vulnerable to climate change?

What works and does not work in adaptation? What are the barriers and enablers to / for adaptation?

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CARIAA Hot-Spot Projects Glacier-fed river basins: Hi-Aware Deltas and low lying coastal areas: DECCMA Semi-Arid Regions: PRISE & ASSAR

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ASSAR focus Area

East Africa: Ethiopia and Kenya Ethiopia: Afar Kenya: Isiolo

West Africa: Ghana and Mali South Africa: Botswana and Namibia South Asia: India

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ASSAR Aim:

ASSAR Aim to: Improve understanding of:

Vulnerability Barriers to, enablers of and best options

for adaptation How to communicate information on

vulnerability and adaptation

ASSAR Research Question: What are the barriers and enablers for effective,

long-term adaptation, and what is required to enable more widespread, sustained adaptation?

Where are the knowledge and capacity gaps in accessing, contextualizing and acting on climate information?

What new approaches can be developed to lead to more effective shaping and communication of climate messages?

Barriers

Enablers

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ASSAR Research into Use / Research for Impact

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Multi-Scale Approach

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District

Province

National

Community

Regional

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Stakeholder Mapping & Power Analysis

Net-map (Eva, 2007): Flow of information, knowledge, services and advice Flow of funding Lines of authority (both formal and informal) Levels of influence

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Stakeholder Mapping & Power Analysis

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Participatory Scenario Analysis (PSA)

PSA is a deliberative process through which groups of stakeholders are supported to explore some of the trade-offs and synergies associated with different scenarios or management approaches for a particular issue.

PSA aim is to bring different stakeholders together and discuss

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Participatory Scenario Analysis (PSA) – Prosopis juliflora

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Scenario 1: Containment

Scenario 2: Targeted Eradication

Scenario 3: Large-scale Commercial Utilisation

Scenario 4: Community Focused Utilisation

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PSA – Prosopis juliflora (Preferred Scenario)

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Participatory Scenario Analysis (PSA) – Pasture Scarcity

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Scenario 1: Enclosures with socially progressive policies

Scenario 2: Increasingly formalised Zoning of land Scenario 3: Reduction in number of herds and transition out of Pastoralism

Scenario 4: Changing herd composition and increasing preference for market

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PSA – Pasture Scarcity (Preferred Scenario)

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How the Experience would address the problem?

Local knowledge (available knowledge) integrated with scientific knowledge to solve the problem

Involve all stakeholders at all level (local to national/international) – this increase the uptake of the research

Work on research, policy and practice interface (which is important aspect of doing research) – Evidence based policy

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Summary: Research, Policy & Practice

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Research

Policy

Practice

Evidence based

Multi-stakeholder Engagement

Impact

Final Words

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Summarize your presentation in one final sentence.

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