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OPTIMA INCO-MPC Third Management Board Meeting , May 18/19 2008 Gumpoldskirchen. DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at. Thursday, May 18. 09:00-09:15 Welcome & agenda ESS - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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OPTIMA INCO-MPCOPTIMA INCO-MPCThird Management Third Management
Board MeetingBoard Meeting,,May 18/19 2008May 18/19 2008 GumpoldskirchenGumpoldskirchen
OPTIMA INCO-MPCOPTIMA INCO-MPCThird Management Third Management
Board MeetingBoard Meeting,,May 18/19 2008May 18/19 2008 GumpoldskirchenGumpoldskirchen
DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH
A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH
A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at
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Thursday, May 18Thursday, May 18
09:00-09:15 Welcome & agenda ESS
09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO
10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS
11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
09:00-09:15 Welcome & agenda ESS
09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO
10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS
11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
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Thursday, May 18Thursday, May 18
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
14:00-14:45 Stakeholder WS, Jordan C.z
14:45-15:30 Stakeholder WS, Turkey SUMER
15:30-17:00 stakeholders, communication IRMCo
17:00-18:00 WP 16, dissemination IRMCo
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
14:00-14:45 Stakeholder WS, Jordan C.z
14:45-15:30 Stakeholder WS, Turkey SUMER
15:30-17:00 stakeholders, communication IRMCo
17:00-18:00 WP 16, dissemination IRMCo
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Friday, May 19Friday, May 19
09:00-09:45 case study: Dhiarizos ATLANTIS
09:45-10:30 case study: Gediz SUMER
10:30-11:15 case study: Zarqa UJO
11:15-12:00 case study: Litani ELARD
12:00-14:00 lunch break
09:00-09:45 case study: Dhiarizos ATLANTIS
09:45-10:30 case study: Gediz SUMER
10:30-11:15 case study: Zarqa UJO
11:15-12:00 case study: Litani ELARD
12:00-14:00 lunch break
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Friday, May 19Friday, May 19
12:00-14:00 lunch break
14:00-14:45 case study: Alexander/Wadi Z. IPCRI
14:45-15:30 case study: Melian CNTD
15:30-16:15 case study: Martil UH2M
16:15-16:30 second AR, CS2
16:30-17:00 WP15, comparative analysis ELARD
17:00-18:00 workplan, any other business
12:00-14:00 lunch break
14:00-14:45 case study: Alexander/Wadi Z. IPCRI
14:45-15:30 case study: Melian CNTD
15:30-16:15 case study: Martil UH2M
16:15-16:30 second AR, CS2
16:30-17:00 WP15, comparative analysis ELARD
17:00-18:00 workplan, any other business
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MEETING OBJECTIVESMEETING OBJECTIVESMEETING OBJECTIVESMEETING OBJECTIVES1. Review of Project Status and
progress, active work packages: WP04, WP05, case studies
2. Discussion of stakeholder issues, dissemination, communication
3. Agree on next steps of technical work (economic assessment, optimization model workshop)
1. Review of Project Status and progress, active work packages: WP04, WP05, case studies
2. Discussion of stakeholder issues, dissemination, communication
3. Agree on next steps of technical work (economic assessment, optimization model workshop)
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OPTIMA OBJECTIVEOPTIMA OBJECTIVEOPTIMA OBJECTIVEOPTIMA OBJECTIVEDevelop a common structured approach to
water resources management in several parallel case studies:
Common approach and method for
• Identifying issues
• Involve end users
• Describe the systems
• Model/optimize them
• Analyze/compare
Develop a common structured approach to water resources management in several parallel case studies:
Common approach and method for
• Identifying issues
• Involve end users
• Describe the systems
• Model/optimize them
• Analyze/compare
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OPTIMA: Project Overview OPTIMA: Project Overview
• 3 year duration to JUNE 2007
• Started: July 2004
Current PM: 24 of 36
or 2/3 (67%) over – case study results ?
• 3 year duration to JUNE 2007
• Started: July 2004
Current PM: 24 of 36
or 2/3 (67%) over – case study results ?
9 OPTIMA: time tableOPTIMA: time table
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OPTIMA: Work Plan PhasesOPTIMA: Work Plan Phases
1. Requirements and constraints, DSS processes (end users)
2. Data compilation, tool development
3. Parallel case studies, baseline scenarios, economic assessment, optimization scenarios, results
4. Comparative evaluation, dissemination (end users).
1. Requirements and constraints, DSS processes (end users)
2. Data compilation, tool development
3. Parallel case studies, baseline scenarios, economic assessment, optimization scenarios, results
4. Comparative evaluation, dissemination (end users).
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OPTIMA: Milestones OPTIMA: Milestones Milestone Month Milestone Description
M1 06 End of preparatory phase, first workshop
M2 12Methods and tools prototypes ready, start of operational phase
M3 18Case studies implemented, first results of optimisation runs (baseline scenarios !)
M4 24Post-optimal analysis and assessment phase initiated
M5 33Case studies completed, second stage optimisation
M6 36 Project and reporting completed
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Work Plan (simple version)Work Plan (simple version)
WP 01: done
WP 02: done
WP 03: doneWP 04: largely done, no partner inputs yet ?
WP 05: largely done
WP 06: done, ongoing support
WP 01: done
WP 02: done
WP 03: doneWP 04: largely done, no partner inputs yet ?
WP 05: largely done
WP 06: done, ongoing support
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Work Plan (simple version)Work Plan (simple version)
WP 07 Cyprus + + -WP 08 Turkey + + +WP 09 Lebanon + - -
WP 10 Jordan + - -WP 11 Palestine/Israel + - -WP 12 Tunisia + - -WP 13 Morocco + - -
WP 07 Cyprus + + -WP 08 Turkey + + +WP 09 Lebanon + - -
WP 10 Jordan + - -WP 11 Palestine/Israel + - -WP 12 Tunisia + - -WP 13 Morocco + - -
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Baseline targets:Baseline targets:Baseline targets:Baseline targets:
• WRM performance targets:– Complete and reasonable scenario– Total outflow +/- 25% observations– Daily flow at least for ONE station close to end
node */ 2
– Basic economic assessment (basis for optimization and comparison )
• STREAM performance targets:– DO/BOD within reasonable ranges – any WQ
observation data ?– WQ related economics under development
• WRM performance targets:– Complete and reasonable scenario– Total outflow +/- 25% observations– Daily flow at least for ONE station close to end
node */ 2
– Basic economic assessment (basis for optimization and comparison )
• STREAM performance targets:– DO/BOD within reasonable ranges – any WQ
observation data ?– WQ related economics under development
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Gender issues:Gender issues:Gender issues:Gender issues:
• Activities ?
• Update report ?
• Future plans ?
• Activities ?
• Update report ?
• Future plans ?
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Case studies: how to proceedCase studies: how to proceed
By PM 18 (December 2005):
• Baselines ready for each case
• Basic economic assessment
• Basic water technologies ready to link, on-line data base
• Optimization framework agreed:– Criteria, objectives, constraints
By PM 18 (December 2005):
• Baselines ready for each case
• Basic economic assessment
• Basic water technologies ready to link, on-line data base
• Optimization framework agreed:– Criteria, objectives, constraints
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Case studies: how to proceedCase studies: how to proceed
Optimization framework:• Objectives, constraints:
• Instruments, water technologies:
New questionnaires ?
(used for SH workshop in Turkey)
Optimization framework:• Objectives, constraints:
• Instruments, water technologies:
New questionnaires ?
(used for SH workshop in Turkey)
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Model use targets:Model use targets:Model use targets:Model use targets:
WRM performance targets:
• Complete and reasonable scenarios includes groundwater links, realistic reservoir data
• Provide observation data for CONTROL NODES, add control nodes for all monitoring stations -> compliance, flood damages
• Basic economic assessment
WRM performance targets:
• Complete and reasonable scenarios includes groundwater links, realistic reservoir data
• Provide observation data for CONTROL NODES, add control nodes for all monitoring stations -> compliance, flood damages
• Basic economic assessment
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OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:
1. Technologies are applied to NODES.
2. Each technology affects some model parameters (demand, efficiency/losses) for the different node types at a cost.
3. Benefits accrue from water supplied.
4. Optimization approach: Satisficing• First round: Model selects the combinations
of technologies that meets all constraints
1. Technologies are applied to NODES.
2. Each technology affects some model parameters (demand, efficiency/losses) for the different node types at a cost.
3. Benefits accrue from water supplied.
4. Optimization approach: Satisficing• First round: Model selects the combinations
of technologies that meets all constraints
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OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:OPTIMISATION:
CONSTRAINTS:
• Global constraints
• Node specific constraints
• Sectoral (not implemented)
• directly derived from model results
CONSTRAINTS:
• Global constraints
• Node specific constraints
• Sectoral (not implemented)
• directly derived from model results
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TECHNOLOGIES:TECHNOLOGIES:TECHNOLOGIES:TECHNOLOGIES:
Are NOT restricted to technology in a narrow sense, can include policies and institutional change that do affect supply, allocation, demand, efficiency, quality
FOR example: – Pricing/subsidies affects demand– Market (privatization) affects allocation– Enforcement (regulatory change) affects
quality and efficiency
Are NOT restricted to technology in a narrow sense, can include policies and institutional change that do affect supply, allocation, demand, efficiency, quality
FOR example: – Pricing/subsidies affects demand– Market (privatization) affects allocation– Enforcement (regulatory change) affects
quality and efficiency
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Water TechnologiesWater TechnologiesWater TechnologiesWater Technologies• Name, META DATA• Description (unstructured, hypertext HTML, types)
• Application domain• allocation, supply, structures, quality
• Investment (annualized):• unit cost, reference unit for scaling
• Operation (annual):• OMR unit cost, reference unit for scaling
• Effects multiplier for:• Demand, consumptive use, distributions losses
/MANUALS/WATERWARE/watertechnologies.html
• Name, META DATA• Description (unstructured, hypertext HTML, types)
• Application domain• allocation, supply, structures, quality
• Investment (annualized):• unit cost, reference unit for scaling
• Operation (annual):• OMR unit cost, reference unit for scaling
• Effects multiplier for:• Demand, consumptive use, distributions losses
/MANUALS/WATERWARE/watertechnologies.html
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WP 14: post-optimal analysisWP 14: post-optimal analysisWP 14: post-optimal analysisWP 14: post-optimal analysisWP leader: Corridoi.zeroWP started: PM 13 (July 2005)
Any Activities ?Minimally: define an operational framework,
also for stakeholder involvement !• Compile CRITERIA that the model produces
or that can be derived, compare with stated issues
• Analyze relationships, correlation structure• Repeat with optimization results if and when
available, analyze implicit weights and identify stakeholder preferences.
WP leader: Corridoi.zeroWP started: PM 13 (July 2005)
Any Activities ?Minimally: define an operational framework,
also for stakeholder involvement !• Compile CRITERIA that the model produces
or that can be derived, compare with stated issues
• Analyze relationships, correlation structure• Repeat with optimization results if and when
available, analyze implicit weights and identify stakeholder preferences.
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WP 15: comparative analysisWP 15: comparative analysisWP 15: comparative analysisWP 15: comparative analysis
WP leader: ELARDWP starts: PM 25 (July 2006)
Activities: closely related to WP14• Compile the CRITERIA selected in
WP14 from each baseline scenario, analyze ranges and relationships;
• Repeat with optimization scenarios if and when available.
WP leader: ELARDWP starts: PM 25 (July 2006)
Activities: closely related to WP14• Compile the CRITERIA selected in
WP14 from each baseline scenario, analyze ranges and relationships;
• Repeat with optimization scenarios if and when available.
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Thursday, May 18Thursday, May 18
09:00-09:15 Welcome & agenda ESS
09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO
10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS
11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
09:00-09:15 Welcome & agenda ESS
09:15-10:15 WP04, water technologies INTERGEO
10:15-11:15 WP05, GIS data NCRS
11:15-12:00 model scenarios, optimization ESS
12:00-14:00 Lunch break
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