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NOAA’s National Weather Service. 2010 Spring Flood Outlook #2 March 5, 2010. By: Darrin Hansing ILX Service Hydrologist. N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c e L i n c o l n , I L. Winter Precipitation. Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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NOAA’s National Weather NOAA’s National Weather ServiceService

2010 Spring Flood Outlook 2010 Spring Flood Outlook #2#2

March 5, 2010March 5, 2010

By: Darrin HansingBy: Darrin HansingILX Service HydrologistILX Service Hydrologist

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Winter PrecipitationWinter Precipitation

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Soil ConditionsSoil Conditions

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

Soil Depth 0” - 12” Soil Depth 0” - 72”

Soil moisture 20 to 30% above normal

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

River ConditionsRiver Conditions

Illinois Streamflow ConditionsIllinois Streamflow Conditions● ● The colors represent current streamflow percentiles The colors represent current streamflow percentiles compared to historical daily values.compared to historical daily values.

● ● Only gages with at least 30 years of records are used.Only gages with at least 30 years of records are used.

● ● Overall above normal streamflows in central sections of Overall above normal streamflows in central sections of Illinois with normal to below normalIllinois with normal to below normal conditions across the remainder of conditions across the remainder of the state.the state.

● ● Currently no flooding occurring Currently no flooding occurring across Illinois.across Illinois.

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Snow pack and SWESnow pack and SWE

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

Snow Water EquivalentSnow Water Equivalent

Snow DepthSnow Depth

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Snow pack and SWESnow pack and SWE

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

Snow Water EquivalentSnow Water EquivalentSnow DepthSnow Depth

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Flood Outlook SummaryFlood Outlook Summary

Below normal probability for Below normal probability for reaching flood stagereaching flood stage

Near normal probability for Near normal probability for reaching flood stagereaching flood stage

> 20% above normal probability for > 20% above normal probability for reaching flood stagereaching flood stage

6% 20% above normal probability 6% 20% above normal probability for reaching flood stagefor reaching flood stage

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Flood Outlook ComparisonsFlood Outlook Comparisons

Feb 19Feb 19thth OutlookOutlookBelow normalBelow normal

Near normalNear normal

> 20% above > 20% above normalnormal

6% to 20% above 6% to 20% above normalnormal

Mar 5Mar 5thth OutlookOutlook

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Flood Outlook Summary - What can we expect?Flood Outlook Summary - What can we expect?

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

Flood Outlook Summary - What can we expect?Flood Outlook Summary - What can we expect?

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

March 5March 5thth issuance issuance February 19February 19thth issuance issuance

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

OutlooksOutlooks

6 – 10 Day Outlooks6 – 10 Day Outlooks

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

OutlooksOutlooks

30 Day Outlooks30 Day Outlooks

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

N a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eN a t i o n a l W e a t h e r S e r v i c eL i n c o l n , I LL i n c o l n , I L

OutlooksOutlooks

30 – 90 Day Outlooks30 – 90 Day Outlooks

Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010Spring Flood Outlook #2 – Issued March 5, 2010

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